Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

Trades

535

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-04 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

36% 100% +$2

Other

36% 0% $-0

Sports

21% 50% +$6

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	36	$339	419	419	-0	No	+$7	04-08 19:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	34	$300	154	154	+0	open	—	04-05 18:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	18	$175	90	90	+0	open	—	04-05 17:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	10	$128	69	69	+0	open	—	04-07 13:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	04-07 13:21
will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	14	$93	150	60	+90	open	—	07-04 17:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	10	$82	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-07 12:57
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	04-06 13:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$73	56	56	+0	open	—	04-05 18:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	7	$73	55	55	+0	open	—	04-05 18:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	04-07 13:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	04-08 14:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	04-07 13:21
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-05 18:03
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	4	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-05 13:45
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$50	166	166	+0	open	—	04-08 10:30
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	04-07 07:55
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	4	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-07 13:21
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	5	$38	78	78	+0	open	—	04-07 15:01
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$32	78	78	+0	open	—	04-07 21:45
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-07 13:21
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$29	32	32	+0	open	—	04-08 21:06
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-05 14:51
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-08 21:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-05 14:31
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-05 18:03
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	$-0	04-05 14:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$25	42	42	+0	open	—	04-08 21:06
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-03 18:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$24	77	77	+0	open	—	04-07 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 17:09:04	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x09d2b8…
07-04 17:08:40	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x6b8676…
07-04 17:05:37	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	U <12	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xdc2f56…
07-04 17:03:25	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	U <12	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x7317be…
07-04 16:50:08	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x88d39b…
07-04 16:50:04	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xf27bd3…
07-04 16:50:04	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xcd5af5…
07-04 16:50:04	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x6a82db…
07-04 16:50:04	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x65ea66…
07-04 16:49:35	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xce4ead…
07-04 16:48:46	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5d396…
07-04 16:48:31	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x4b6f10…
07-04 16:48:02	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x14633f…
07-04 16:47:31	will crazy legs conti eat more than hotdogs at nathans hot dog eating contest 2026 20260703190559110	O 12+	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9e5505…
04-30 13:39:22	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x30053a…
04-29 11:38:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc50a7c…
04-28 07:09:02	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xe3de2d…
04-28 07:03:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xdfff47…
04-28 03:28:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x075823…
04-27 22:55:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc9b7cf…
04-27 20:36:06	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb282c3…
04-27 18:27:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x20d512…
04-27 18:22:00	Major US official out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xffd45b…
04-27 15:42:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd87169…
04-26 20:30:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xdea07c…
04-26 20:03:56	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xbe824e…
04-26 20:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfba674…
04-26 18:59:06	Major US official out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5e5805…
04-26 15:46:38	Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x302d82…
04-26 13:45:30	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x1f325e…
04-26 13:12:46	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x273a5f…
04-26 12:35:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x114ec5…
04-26 08:16:54	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x12678a…
04-26 03:26:26	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xbf6e86…
04-26 03:26:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x24433b…
04-26 01:57:28	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7fe50b…
04-25 23:57:48	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xa96e91…
04-25 23:47:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc2bab9…
04-25 22:46:42	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x70387b…
04-25 22:08:06	Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9ecea0…
04-25 20:51:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x65aa10…
04-25 19:21:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x672f79…
04-25 18:45:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb870ff…
04-25 18:44:48	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x99b6ef…
04-25 18:44:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8cc9b7…
04-25 17:43:34	Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6f0543…
04-25 17:19:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x12984d…
04-25 16:48:40	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xb534b0…
04-25 16:43:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x58961a…
04-25 16:42:08	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xaee14c…
04-25 16:18:46	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xca684d…
04-25 15:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xffbb45…
04-25 15:47:52	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe82d53…
04-25 15:47:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x03faa7…
04-25 15:42:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7814d9…
04-25 15:41:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2c0c31…
04-25 15:41:42	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x399bc0…
04-25 15:41:40	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcf424d…
04-25 15:41:12	Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xf46526…
04-25 14:40:56	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7bef10…
04-25 14:17:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x52fdc7…
04-25 14:06:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xdec5e9…
04-25 13:46:52	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xed0086…
04-25 13:41:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x539482…
04-25 13:40:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa81e31…
04-25 13:40:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xadf68a…
04-25 13:39:38	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x07d2a1…
04-25 12:55:16	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x3f3aae…
04-25 09:37:32	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x878684…
04-25 09:37:28	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x901490…
04-25 08:12:30	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x9746ee…
04-25 07:31:16	Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb682c6…
04-25 06:31:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xc559ca…
04-25 06:26:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3f72f9…
04-25 04:24:50	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x530bbf…
04-25 02:36:28	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xfd4bcc…
04-25 02:24:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x90d01e…
04-25 02:02:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x552654…
04-24 23:15:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xada8fd…
04-24 23:15:52	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf5fc99…
04-24 23:15:52	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x149fbc…
04-24 22:11:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1aa0da…
04-24 22:10:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfa3928…
04-24 21:16:46	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf41fd8…
04-24 20:10:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb26419…
04-24 19:31:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xc3136c…
04-24 19:10:56	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3787f2…
04-24 17:50:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc7d520…
04-24 17:01:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb581a5…
04-24 16:17:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xffcd49…
04-24 16:17:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xa5e631…
04-24 16:17:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x93f026…
04-24 16:17:10	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x3f3a03…
04-24 15:41:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1ca334…
04-24 15:41:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x515dfd…
04-24 15:41:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x359d60…
04-24 15:40:42	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xca068f…
04-24 15:40:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x351503…
04-24 15:40:18	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb8f914…
04-24 15:40:08	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x661129…