Sad-Cone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,301

lifetime

Volume

$69.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 05-23 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 93% +$170

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$1.1K	611	611	+0	open	—	05-01 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$1.1K	591	591	+0	open	—	04-30 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	23	$1.1K	683	683	+0	open	—	05-01 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	13	$1.1K	682	682	+0	open	—	05-01 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$1.1K	674	674	+0	open	—	05-01 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	31	$1.1K	635	635	+0	open	—	05-03 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	39	$1.1K	653	653	+0	open	—	05-03 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	7	$1.1K	595	595	+0	open	—	05-01 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	17	$1.1K	572	572	+0	open	—	04-30 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$1.1K	568	568	+0	open	—	05-01 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	12	$1.1K	562	562	+0	open	—	04-30 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	open	—	04-29 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$1.1K	560	560	+0	open	—	04-29 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	5	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	05-01 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	5	$1.0K	641	641	+0	open	—	05-01 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	27	$962	595	595	+0	open	—	05-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	30	$835	658	658	+0	open	—	05-04 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	26	$740	444	444	+0	open	—	05-04 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	10	$627	409	401	+8	open	—	04-25 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$500	641	0	+641	open	—	05-04 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$500	677	0	+677	open	—	05-03 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$450	507	0	+507	open	—	04-29 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	23	$439	286	286	+0	open	—	05-14 15:52
btc updown 15m 1777053600	22	$423	274	269	+5	open	—	04-24 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$420	233	233	+0	open	—	05-14 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	8	$419	233	233	+0	open	—	05-15 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$412	214	214	+0	open	—	05-14 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$400	580	0	+580	open	—	05-04 12:02
btc updown 15m 1777016700	2	$305	321	18	+303	open	—	04-24 07:55
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	1	$300	408	0	+408	open	—	05-19 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 09:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xb741ce…
05-23 09:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xf71709…
05-19 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfcbe8f…
05-19 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xb60cbe…
05-19 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb0a00f…
05-19 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa81b7e…
05-19 21:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa2eaae…
05-19 21:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x59978c…
05-19 21:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xd7cc15…
05-19 21:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x113e49…
05-19 20:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x8aa07a…
05-19 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x44320a…
05-19 20:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xdaf694…
05-19 20:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xaffb70…
05-19 20:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xb8a65d…
05-19 20:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xebc2ad…
05-19 19:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x968c2e…
05-19 19:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x46f480…
05-19 19:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x234754…
05-19 19:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf33df8…
05-19 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x21f7b8…
05-19 18:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x9dee67…
05-19 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x1ee914…
05-19 18:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x1f554d…
05-19 17:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xe80d0c…
05-19 17:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x582788…
05-19 15:41:29	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	408	74¢	$300	0xbc48fa…
05-19 07:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x55ede1…
05-19 06:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x1420d6…
05-19 06:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8999b0…
05-18 17:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x8c67b6…
05-18 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x11d054…
05-18 15:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xff9d46…
05-18 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9ebdce…
05-17 13:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x868369…
05-17 13:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x818d96…
05-17 12:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x604bea…
05-17 12:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x5cf68c…
05-17 10:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x064459…
05-17 10:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xdbcd75…
05-17 10:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xc5b804…
05-17 10:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0xf8253d…
05-17 09:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0890ef…
05-17 09:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xc0cad9…
05-17 09:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x9b6d3e…
05-17 09:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xe5c311…
05-17 09:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf258db…
05-17 09:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6803fe…
05-17 09:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3c593a…
05-17 09:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xe43180…
05-16 20:41:58	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0xa8e247…
05-16 17:29:02	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xd8d4fe…
05-16 11:11:56	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0x874b72…
05-16 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc36dcf…
05-16 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x496118…
05-16 09:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0xb71ad5…
05-16 09:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0xa62389…
05-16 09:06:59	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x2adf3a…
05-15 18:29:43	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x88da2f…
05-15 14:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	114	99¢	$112	0x4c752f…
05-15 14:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd47c36…
05-15 14:32:37	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xc22c28…
05-15 14:32:32	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x4afcd0…
05-15 13:34:06	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xa57ba7…
05-15 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0xd8404b…
05-15 13:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xc786f0…
05-15 10:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xeddc2f…
05-15 10:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb7d339…
05-15 10:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x650841…
05-15 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x89e62b…
05-15 09:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xf232c6…
05-15 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0x85bba3…
05-15 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x1168e3…
05-15 09:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb062df…
05-15 09:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xa95e7a…
05-15 09:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xa334ae…
05-15 09:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0x9dacd5…
05-15 09:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x74d2ba…
05-15 09:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x2d83c0…
05-15 08:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcaed6a…
05-15 08:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0xb347aa…
05-15 08:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0x779ac9…
05-15 08:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc343a0…
05-15 08:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xfc5636…
05-15 08:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	73	95¢	$69	0x58fd69…
05-15 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xe17e8c…
05-15 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xac1f19…
05-15 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9273fc…
05-15 08:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x1b131b…
05-14 17:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	89	85¢	$75	0xec9e5a…
05-14 17:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd2d1e9…
05-14 17:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x6027c9…
05-14 17:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	47	85¢	$40	0x456ea6…
05-14 17:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1504bd…
05-14 17:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xa0ea5e…
05-14 17:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	214	99¢	$212	0xa77c07…
05-14 17:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0xa04f91…
05-14 16:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	106	92¢	$98	0xeff69f…
05-14 16:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5bbbce…
05-14 16:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x1ebdb1…