Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
22
22 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$464
$464 lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$327
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
81%
Other
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -113 $-78 74¢ $-83 $-5 05-05 20:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No -86 $-79 92¢ $-80 $-0 05-05 20:07
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? No -61 $-52 84¢ $-51 +$1 05-05 20:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 +$0 05-05 20:08
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? No -32 $-31 98¢ $-31 $-0 05-05 20:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -460 $-17 $-24 $-7 05-05 14:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No -14 $-13 95¢ $-13 +$0 05-05 19:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Yes -119 $-8 $-9 $-1 05-05 20:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14 $4 26¢ $4 $-1 05-05 13:20