Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

-$85

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

739

lifetime

Volume

$122.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

$444

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-15 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-203

Politics

27% 50% +$1

Crypto

5% 100% +$32

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-897	$-359	50¢	$-444	$-85	06-15 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	7	$3.3K	1,873	1,873	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 16:15
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	5	$3.0K	1,881	1,992	-111	open	—	03-18 15:37
will atltico madrid advance to the round of 16	13	$2.8K	1,810	1,810	+0	open	—	02-20 02:42
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	10	$2.3K	1,435	1,435	+0	open	—	02-26 08:20
will mrbeast say hottest during his next video	3	$2.1K	1,268	1,268	+0	open	—	03-18 15:57
will iran successfully target shipping on march 29 2026 519	3	$2.0K	1,152	1,152	+0	open	—	03-26 03:27
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	8	$1.9K	1,204	1,123	+81	open	—	02-23 07:34
will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	5	$1.9K	1,877	0	+1,877	open	—	02-28 04:16
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	4	$1.8K	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	03-25 16:55
will railbird self certify sports event contracts by march 31 2026	3	$1.7K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	03-22 11:51
will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 322	2	$1.7K	1,233	1,233	+0	open	—	04-11 09:23
will adolescence win best new scripted series at the 41st film independent awards	4	$1.5K	859	859	+0	open	—	02-12 11:45
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	4	$1.4K	942	942	+0	open	—	03-31 02:07
will sayf win sanremo 2026	3	$1.4K	830	830	+0	open	—	02-22 17:37
Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.4K	777	777	+0	open	—	04-27 09:11
will seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in february	7	$1.3K	807	807	+0	open	—	02-18 02:41
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	5	$1.3K	713	713	+0	open	—	02-20 19:32
elc cha por 2025 12 06 cha	4	$1.3K	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	02-09 06:32
will club brugge advance to the round of 16	5	$1.1K	731	731	+0	open	—	02-16 13:21
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 28 be between 2000000 and 2200000	4	$1.1K	935	935	+0	open	—	02-25 10:03
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	3	$1.1K	717	717	+0	open	—	02-16 12:39
will trump say two week or two week this week april 19	5	$1.1K	917	916	+1	open	—	04-13 09:39
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	4	$1.1K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	02-20 11:28
will trump say accords during meeting with netanyahu	5	$1.0K	1,332	1,332	+0	open	—	02-11 02:45
andrew tate posts february 13 february 20 100 129	11	$1.0K	767	1,422	-655	open	—	02-20 18:47
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	8	$1.0K	1,368	1,368	+0	open	—	03-26 02:35
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	7	$1.0K	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	02-25 22:05
will liftoff mobiles market cap be between 4pt75b and 5pt00b at market close on ipo day	4	$952	532	532	+0	open	—	02-06 16:39
bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 hsv	4	$930	609	609	+0	open	—	02-20 10:41
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$919	691	691	+0	open	—	02-06 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:53:21	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	659	40¢	$264	0xd8548d…
06-15 13:53:03	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	40¢	$95	0xd4f472…
04-27 09:47:36	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	SELL	321	26¢	$83	0xf1e056…
04-27 09:11:12	Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	777	88¢	$684	0x0b0880…
04-24 05:03:06	Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	777	87¢	$676	0xea948a…
04-24 02:53:18	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	BUY	321	27¢	$87	0xf4cc79…
04-21 04:13:38	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x220519…
04-13 11:36:19	arg gim aaj 2026 03 08 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	588	89¢	$523	0x7dcbb3…
04-13 09:39:07	will trump say two week or two week this week april 19	Yes	SELL	252	57¢	$144	0xe94522…
04-13 09:38:51	will trump say two week or two week this week april 19	Yes	SELL	664	57¢	$378	0x746361…
04-13 05:36:27	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	21¢	$32	0x847c8c…
04-13 05:02:23	Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	513	74¢	$380	0x1e1785…
04-12 16:13:29	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 15 20	Yes	SELL	492	9¢	$44	0x99b824…
04-12 16:11:09	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 15 20	Yes	SELL	66	8¢	$5	0x197446…
04-12 09:35:35	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	522	32¢	$167	0x6ec674…
04-12 06:47:41	Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	513	74¢	$380	0xb0819f…
04-12 05:57:53	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xc96012…
04-12 05:57:53	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	13¢	$11	0x879254…
04-12 05:51:11	will trump say two week or two week this week april 19	Yes	BUY	669	61¢	$408	0xf729e6…
04-12 05:50:53	will trump say two week or two week this week april 19	Yes	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x9a5008…
04-12 05:50:51	will trump say two week or two week this week april 19	Yes	BUY	222	61¢	$135	0xd4a897…
04-12 05:26:55	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	522	33¢	$172	0xb98f18…
04-12 00:44:53	Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	No	SELL	915	22¢	$201	0x088b53…
04-11 10:26:59	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x6fb08a…
04-11 09:46:01	will bernie or mamdani say crypto or bitcoin during nyc rally	Yes	SELL	440	8¢	$35	0xd94497…
04-11 09:23:11	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 322	No	SELL	1,233	66¢	$814	0x181ab4…
04-11 09:08:13	will bernie or mamdani say twitch or facebook during nyc rally	Yes	SELL	761	17¢	$129	0x2f4f5b…
04-11 09:08:05	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,544	13¢	$201	0x764610…
04-11 08:23:15	Will Bruno Sangregório as Levi Ackerman (Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	SELL	906	60¢	$544	0x7160fe…
04-11 08:23:05	Will Bruno Sangregório as Levi Ackerman (Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	SELL	295	60¢	$177	0x1a554c…
04-11 08:07:13	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	383	18¢	$69	0xef7a77…
04-11 08:05:59	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	391	18¢	$70	0x255ef2…
04-11 08:05:05	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0x35dfc3…
04-10 05:42:49	will bernie or mamdani say crypto or bitcoin during nyc rally	Yes	BUY	440	20¢	$88	0xd35349…
04-10 05:35:53	cbb cark nal 2026 01 24	Central Arkansas Bears	BUY	586	52¢	$306	0xca4bba…
04-10 05:32:25	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,241	19¢	$236	0xf419ce…
04-10 05:32:09	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	19¢	$56	0xa51820…
04-10 05:31:55	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	559	19¢	$106	0xb2de4e…
04-10 05:28:19	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0xeabc4b…
04-10 05:22:35	will bernie or mamdani say twitch or facebook during nyc rally	Yes	BUY	761	50¢	$380	0xc2f177…
04-10 05:16:19	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 322	No	BUY	1,233	71¢	$875	0xa61148…
04-10 05:10:51	Will Bruno Sangregório as Levi Ackerman (Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	BUY	906	14¢	$127	0x8d1248…
04-10 05:10:33	Will Bruno Sangregório as Levi Ackerman (Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	Yes	BUY	295	14¢	$41	0x7c681b…
04-10 03:44:11	Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?	No	BUY	915	43¢	$393	0x569cc3…
04-10 01:33:33	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	816	20¢	$163	0x38d272…
04-09 23:01:43	Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?	Yes	SELL	767	16¢	$123	0x65bbd1…
04-09 09:54:47	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0x8865bf…
04-09 09:54:39	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	Yes	SELL	422	16¢	$68	0xb6de27…
04-09 09:54:23	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	Yes	SELL	341	16¢	$55	0x8db652…
04-09 07:44:51	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	736	83¢	$611	0x4fc523…
04-09 05:26:07	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	Yes	BUY	559	17¢	$95	0xb03b17…
04-09 05:25:51	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	Yes	BUY	245	17¢	$42	0x0874af…
04-08 06:12:07	ahl mil gra 2026 03 13	Milwaukee Admirals	BUY	723	38¢	$275	0x8558ef…
04-08 02:00:47	Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?	Yes	BUY	767	19¢	$146	0xfce35c…
03-31 02:07:51	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	SELL	775	74¢	$574	0x5da7d9…
03-31 02:06:27	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0xaeb89e…
03-31 01:52:57	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	745	43¢	$320	0x8eca55…
03-30 15:57:39	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	801	46¢	$368	0x0b7402…
03-30 14:01:53	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	SELL	151	74¢	$112	0x068792…
03-30 11:03:22	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	745	25¢	$186	0xdffd9b…
03-30 09:14:36	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 15 20	Yes	BUY	429	15¢	$64	0xb30f6d…
03-30 09:14:16	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 15 20	Yes	BUY	129	15¢	$19	0xa22664…
03-30 06:28:28	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	801	42¢	$336	0x1df1f3…
03-30 04:46:30	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	BUY	942	74¢	$697	0xcd4c3a…
03-26 11:12:37	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	Yes	SELL	144	39¢	$56	0x646633…
03-26 11:12:31	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	Yes	SELL	111	39¢	$43	0xc8db4b…
03-26 11:12:23	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	Yes	SELL	376	39¢	$147	0x35e96b…
03-26 07:53:09	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	Yes	SELL	107	41¢	$44	0xbbac28…
03-26 03:27:03	will iran successfully target shipping on march 29 2026 519	No	SELL	373	91¢	$339	0x7fd476…
03-26 03:25:57	will iran successfully target shipping on march 29 2026 519	No	SELL	779	90¢	$701	0x11972e…
03-26 02:35:21	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	589	37¢	$219	0x0c1fc5…
03-26 02:34:13	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	91	37¢	$34	0x823b1d…
03-26 02:32:23	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	289	37¢	$107	0x96d25b…
03-25 18:59:59	will trump say chicken during national agriculture day events	Yes	SELL	342	40¢	$137	0x747f78…
03-25 16:55:45	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	458	87¢	$398	0x37f11f…
03-25 16:55:37	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	613	87¢	$533	0xb14e97…
03-25 16:15:37	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	168	89¢	$150	0x246250…
03-25 16:15:23	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	441	89¢	$392	0x088e2f…
03-25 16:15:13	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	804	89¢	$716	0x1fe622…
03-25 16:14:53	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	460	89¢	$409	0xd22343…
03-25 09:43:33	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	804	89¢	$716	0x6a7292…
03-25 09:43:13	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	760	89¢	$676	0xf3bc15…
03-25 09:42:51	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	309	89¢	$275	0x00ac2b…
03-25 08:34:07	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	969	46¢	$446	0x1a4eb2…
03-25 03:49:51	will trump say chicken during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	145	14¢	$20	0x3f1655…
03-25 03:49:41	will trump say chicken during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	197	14¢	$28	0xcd7f12…
03-24 09:10:21	bra2 crb juv 2026 04 18 crb	Yes	SELL	562	54¢	$303	0xcb6de0…
03-24 08:22:47	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	493	34¢	$168	0x309255…
03-24 07:41:11	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	SELL	323	63¢	$203	0xa9adee…
03-24 07:40:27	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	SELL	583	63¢	$367	0xe7fc6b…
03-24 06:27:43	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	Yes	SELL	162	60¢	$97	0xbe8c93…
03-24 05:54:31	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	No	SELL	658	9¢	$59	0x7ec836…
03-24 04:03:33	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	493	30¢	$148	0x626e9f…
03-24 03:54:43	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	501	82¢	$411	0x6ee39f…
03-24 03:54:23	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	570	82¢	$467	0x2b542b…
03-24 03:15:45	bra2 crb juv 2026 04 18 crb	Yes	BUY	562	48¢	$270	0xdbd037…
03-24 01:18:25	will iran successfully target shipping on march 29 2026 519	No	BUY	1,152	86¢	$991	0x78d42c…
03-24 00:52:21	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	BUY	906	37¢	$335	0x84b2fc…
03-23 10:50:55	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	No	BUY	658	10¢	$66	0xddf4e5…
03-23 08:09:53	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	Yes	BUY	201	55¢	$111	0x28934d…