Menacing-Convention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

Trades

872

lifetime

Volume

$21.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-03 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 33% $-75

Other

1% 0% $-9

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1772540100	4	$1.0K	551	550	+1	open	—	03-03 12:29
btc updown 5m 1772540700	2	$819	423	422	+0	open	—	03-03 12:30
eth updown 5m 1772541600	2	$784	400	399	+0	open	—	03-03 12:45
btc updown 5m 1772527200	5	$645	385	383	+3	open	—	03-03 08:44
btc updown 5m 1772540100	4	$645	524	522	+2	open	—	03-03 12:18
eth updown 15m 1772315100	9	$626	397	394	+3	open	—	02-28 22:00
btc updown 5m 1772539500	2	$603	323	322	+0	open	—	03-03 12:08
btc updown 5m 1772527800	4	$557	396	390	+6	open	—	03-03 08:55
eth updown 15m 1772316900	11	$546	540	400	+141	open	—	02-28 22:29
btc updown 5m 1772540400	4	$517	375	372	+3	open	—	03-03 12:25
btc updown 15m 1772470800	4	$467	276	264	+12	open	—	03-02 17:15
eth updown 5m 1772540400	2	$445	249	248	+2	open	—	03-03 12:25
btc updown 5m 1772527500	4	$442	239	238	+1	open	—	03-03 08:48
btc updown 5m 1772528100	2	$422	225	224	+1	open	—	03-03 08:59
btc updown 15m 1772540100	2	$422	239	238	+1	open	—	03-03 12:22
btc updown 5m 1772542200	1	$396	425	0	+425	open	—	03-03 12:53
btc updown 15m 1772313300	4	$387	254	252	+3	open	—	02-28 21:30
btc updown 5m 1772922600	6	$349	385	331	+55	open	—	03-07 22:34
eth updown 5m 1772541300	1	$300	332	0	+332	open	—	03-03 12:38
btc updown 5m 1772519100	4	$295	172	171	+1	open	—	03-03 06:30
btc updown 15m 1772527500	4	$289	173	172	+1	open	—	03-03 08:52
eth updown 5m 1772313300	6	$267	167	165	+2	open	—	02-28 21:19
btc updown 5m 1772318100	2	$260	146	145	+1	open	—	02-28 22:37
btc updown 5m 1776347700	8	$244	255	139	+116	open	—	04-16 13:59
btc updown 5m 1772520000	3	$234	168	126	+43	open	—	03-03 06:44
btc updown 15m 1772541000	2	$228	149	147	+1	open	—	03-03 12:33
eth updown 5m 1772471100	2	$225	128	127	+1	open	—	03-02 17:08
eth updown 15m 1772541000	2	$219	145	143	+2	open	—	03-03 12:32
eth updown 5m 1772470200	3	$215	128	126	+1	open	—	03-02 16:54
btc updown 5m 1772470800	2	$214	150	148	+2	open	—	03-02 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 17:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x36f437…
05-17 15:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x09a4a9…
05-17 15:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x84348d…
05-17 15:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x641b8e…
05-17 15:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x05e92b…
05-17 15:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8e7b6f…
05-17 15:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2a90f0…
05-17 15:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6a4369…
05-17 15:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xea0f9b…
05-17 15:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x655875…
05-17 15:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaa3d43…
05-17 15:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5641a8…
05-17 15:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8613f2…
05-17 15:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x772ee9…
05-17 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4fbd5a…
05-17 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4a3baa…
05-14 00:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe3d497…
05-14 00:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x7cc64e…
05-14 00:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1390e7…
05-14 00:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x09dfc9…
05-14 00:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xcb1ee5…
05-14 00:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x456886…
05-14 00:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x572551…
05-14 00:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x229128…
05-14 00:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x98a6d7…
05-14 00:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	49	95¢	$47	0x877d36…
05-14 00:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6df824…
05-14 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0b8ed6…
05-14 00:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe9bb9f…
05-14 00:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0abe41…
05-14 00:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	71	71¢	$50	0x7c38f6…
05-14 00:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x30b8cd…
05-14 00:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x17deb3…
05-14 00:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x087d85…
05-14 00:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x328a0e…
05-14 00:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf97be8…
05-14 00:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb26066…
05-14 00:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b58c8…
05-14 00:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x680b81…
05-14 00:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc5b2f1…
05-14 00:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd32e8…
05-14 00:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16bd50…
05-14 00:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03ef9e…
05-14 00:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xece527…
05-14 00:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe274b1…
05-14 00:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x23b6c2…
05-14 00:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x10db38…
05-14 00:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0ddb7b…
05-14 00:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x082860…
05-14 00:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x49a995…
05-14 00:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x51dde9…
05-14 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x8dba23…
05-14 00:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	63¢	$26	0xff8d31…
05-14 00:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5a5e58…
05-14 00:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xde568b…
05-14 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc2fa7e…
05-14 00:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x19ed4c…
05-14 00:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc11b29…
05-14 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0x73de1b…
05-14 00:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x22647c…
05-14 00:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa13401…
05-14 00:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	49	61¢	$30	0x19f364…
05-14 00:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6c542a…
05-14 00:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x107adb…
05-14 00:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xd7e67a…
05-14 00:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5d9cef…
05-14 00:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0xe40303…
05-14 00:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x6cc09d…
05-14 00:16:18	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6d0a95…
05-14 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdc3dfe…
05-11 21:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x586342…
05-11 21:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x08e6fc…
05-11 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0x6f62d7…
05-11 21:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xa07603…
05-11 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xe37ae5…
05-11 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x4c8521…
05-11 21:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc01b51…
05-11 21:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x5a9294…
05-11 21:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3dcf62…
05-11 21:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xee5b72…
05-11 21:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x18c97b…
05-11 21:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5d6f73…
05-11 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xccbe17…
05-11 21:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x03918f…
05-11 21:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1415de…
05-11 21:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5f92f7…
05-11 20:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xddc9bf…
05-11 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf4ef1b…
05-11 20:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x078793…
04-22 17:13:44	btc updown 5m 1776877800	Down	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x791bfc…
04-22 17:12:48	btc updown 5m 1776877800	Down	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0x3541f7…
04-22 17:10:22	btc updown 5m 1776877800	Down	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0x82a71d…
04-22 17:09:50	btc updown 5m 1776877500	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x555c40…
04-22 17:09:38	btc updown 5m 1776877500	Up	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0xfef375…
04-22 17:06:42	btc updown 5m 1776877500	Up	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xbe5dfc…
04-22 17:06:26	btc updown 5m 1776877500	Down	SELL	38	38¢	$15	0x7faf1f…
04-22 17:05:16	btc updown 5m 1776877500	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x7052b6…
04-22 17:02:16	btc updown 5m 1776877200	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb05d7b…
04-22 17:01:12	btc updown 5m 1776877200	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7c3c55…
04-22 17:00:22	btc updown 5m 1776877200	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc5e345…