Failing-Butler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

192

Trades

1,320

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-15 11:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% $-11

Other

3% 50% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	5	$30	34	28	+6	Ninjas in Pyjamas	$-6	05-12 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 09:34
sol updown 5m 1773788100	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 22:59
xrp updown 5m 1773978300	3	$8	22	2	+20	open	—	03-20 03:50
btc updown 5m 1773743400	5	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 10:35
btc updown 5m 1773903300	4	$8	11	10	+0	open	—	03-19 06:59
eth updown 15m 1773797400	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 01:46
btc updown 15m 1773797400	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 01:40
btc updown 15m 1773809100	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 04:58
btc updown 15m 1773819000	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 07:40
btc updown 15m 1773808200	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 02:09
sol updown 5m 1773947400	3	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	03-19 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 00:20
eth updown 15m 1773783000	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-17 21:42
eth updown 15m 1773758700	2	$6	5	4	+0	open	—	03-17 15:00
eth updown 15m 1773734400	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-17 08:10
eth updown 15m 1773819000	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:40
xrp updown 5m 1773938100	3	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	03-19 16:40
btc updown 15m 1773761400	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 15:38
sol updown 15m 1773756900	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 14:30
xrp updown 15m 1773754200	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 17:44
sol updown 15m 1773750600	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 12:44
eth updown 15m 1773760500	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 15:29
xrp updown 15m 1773751500	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 14:40
xrp updown 5m 1773765600	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 16:44
btc updown 15m 1773749700	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 11:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfe862e…
05-15 11:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xc53188…
05-15 11:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf167e6…
05-15 11:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4f4fdf…
05-15 11:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd97812…
05-15 11:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x42b1fe…
05-15 11:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8aaf80…
05-15 11:23:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f4a47…
05-15 11:22:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xed2f3e…
05-15 11:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd97eab…
05-15 11:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f29b4…
05-15 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3682e2…
05-15 11:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdd0a80…
05-15 11:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x987810…
05-15 11:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e2bcc…
05-15 11:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x32593b…
05-15 11:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x47b256…
05-15 11:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3917f5…
05-15 10:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x28b377…
05-15 10:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0ea88f…
05-15 10:48:14	Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner	Global Esports	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x83ba36…
05-15 10:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99f2a9…
05-15 10:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9be435…
05-15 10:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7a1550…
05-15 10:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x773b82…
05-15 10:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1d6689…
05-15 10:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x542a47…
05-15 08:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xce78bc…
05-15 08:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc15dca…
05-15 08:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x354188…
05-15 08:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc04161…
05-15 08:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x28c31a…
05-15 08:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8f28b0…
05-15 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7aae60…
05-15 07:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x80fe7e…
05-15 07:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4b0697…
05-15 07:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdc8f7d…
05-15 07:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd75293…
05-15 07:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdbc69d…
05-15 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x460050…
05-15 07:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4738c1…
05-13 04:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb3be84…
05-13 04:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x939b12…
05-13 04:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xcaed38…
05-13 04:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3706c1…
05-13 04:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5bd6a9…
05-13 04:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x222cc1…
05-13 04:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x35683b…
05-13 04:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2f4917…
05-13 03:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e87c4…
05-13 03:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10d68e…
05-13 03:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x45f6ff…
05-13 03:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2b7c67…
05-13 03:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3512a2…
05-13 03:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7fc6cb…
05-13 03:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x55f177…
05-13 03:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb80911…
05-13 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8ac714…
05-13 03:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xedfeaa…
05-13 03:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf26361…
05-13 03:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x689dc9…
05-13 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c9251…
05-13 02:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7d2724…
05-13 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x3fd027…
05-13 02:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc8217…
05-13 02:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x12aaf0…
05-13 02:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x44604e…
05-13 01:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1cb71a…
05-12 11:01:26	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xac578f…
05-12 10:57:21	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	SELL	9	59¢	$6	0x278c22…
05-12 10:55:29	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	10	68¢	$6	0x8b7c58…
05-12 10:29:31	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Ninjas in Pyjamas	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xdac305…
05-12 09:25:00	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x2940f5…
05-12 09:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5378a0…
05-12 09:14:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0876dd…
05-12 09:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf6e6d2…
05-12 09:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdb098b…
05-12 08:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xe44bd7…
05-12 08:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd02428…
05-12 08:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4c21f0…
05-12 08:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3fdb9b…
05-12 07:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5e1158…
05-12 07:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x75e1be…
05-12 06:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9abbcb…
05-12 06:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x72806c…
05-12 06:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc2b314…
05-12 06:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x889e24…
05-12 06:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf0221b…
05-12 06:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x961d95…
05-12 06:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x352749…
05-12 06:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd35485…
05-12 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5cf539…
05-12 06:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x439f18…
05-12 06:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc98fa2…
05-12 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa37f6c…
05-12 06:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x9b5f74…
05-12 04:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcceef9…
05-12 04:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x20ebaf…
05-12 04:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x5504fe…
05-12 04:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x905783…