Interesting-Wire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

532

Trades

856

lifetime

Volume

$4.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-19 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$17

Sports

1% 0% -$36

Other

0% 100% +$50

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:25 UTC	2	$66	41	40	+1	Down	+$6	04-17 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:10 UTC	2	$65	71	0	+71	Up	+$0	02-24 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:10 UTC	1	$51	52	0	+52	Down	+$1	02-17 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:10 UTC	4	$48	43	40	+2	Up	+$27	04-11 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 01:05 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	02-18 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:05 UTC	5	$39	132	31	+101	Up	+$8	04-22 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:35 UTC	5	$38	42	33	+8	Down	+$7	04-17 23:39
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$36	88	0	+88	No	-$36	07-19 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:25 UTC	3	$35	37	20	+18	Down	+$13	04-18 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:45 UTC	2	$35	45	0	+45	Up	-$3	04-17 23:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:20 UTC	4	$34	55	28	+27	Up	+$1	04-17 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:10 UTC	2	$32	38	0	+38	Down	-$1	02-20 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:30 UTC	5	$32	35	26	+9	Down	-$1	04-17 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:30 UTC	3	$30	29	15	+14	Down	-$10	04-14 14:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:55 UTC	2	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	02-19 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:20 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	02-19 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:00 UTC	5	$29	35	27	+8	Up	+$6	04-12 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 09:35 UTC	3	$29	39	23	+16	Up	+$13	04-12 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$29	33	23	+10	Up	+$9	05-05 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:35 UTC	3	$28	36	29	+7	Up	+$8	04-17 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:50 UTC	5	$26	40	27	+12	Down	+$5	04-12 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 11:45 UTC	3	$26	24	16	+7	Up	+$3	04-18 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$26	27	13	+14	Down	+$10	05-04 02:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:15 UTC	4	$25	38	0	+38	Down	-$25	04-18 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:40 UTC	2	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	02-19 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:20 UTC	8	$25	29	28	+1	Down	+$6	04-12 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:40 UTC	3	$24	33	0	+33	Down	+$2	02-23 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:15 UTC	5	$23	32	21	+11	Down	+$6	04-14 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 23:30 UTC	1	$22	34	0	+34	Down	+$12	03-06 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 12:00 UTC	1	$22	24	0	+24	Down	+$2	02-19 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 11:55:19	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	88	41¢	$36	0x290c21…
07-15 11:17:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0xa279a2…
05-30 04:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1a3c9e…
05-30 04:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xec415b…
05-21 13:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1564a8…
05-21 13:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfd18f3…
05-21 12:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb82444…
05-17 03:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80606d…
05-17 03:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8f4579…
05-17 02:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8e0760…
05-16 14:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0af5f1…
05-16 13:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdf064d…
05-16 13:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b6690…
05-16 13:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfe2461…
05-16 13:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x612de8…
05-16 13:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd286f0…
05-16 12:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b7ec3…
05-16 12:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x456e13…
05-16 12:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbcf759…
05-16 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x51c9f9…
05-16 08:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5159dc…
05-16 08:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe5b7fd…
05-16 08:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x6a274b…
05-16 08:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf5ddfd…
05-16 08:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3322fc…
05-16 08:43:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x503add…
05-16 08:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3058da…
05-16 08:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6ab307…
05-16 08:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb512c9…
05-16 08:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x28d920…
05-16 08:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7cc7c4…
05-16 08:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$6	0x1ff0b1…
05-16 08:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x16bc71…
05-16 08:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xab8ec4…
05-16 08:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x63bd7f…
05-16 08:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x85a197…
05-16 08:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$3	0x50726a…
05-16 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x87cbbe…
05-15 23:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xae50c1…
05-15 23:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd283bb…
05-15 23:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3f6449…
05-15 23:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdf2162…
05-15 23:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa98435…
05-14 15:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe6af4a…
05-14 15:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0ac0a6…
05-14 15:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x2586ec…
05-14 15:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x89378f…
05-14 15:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2fbcf1…
05-14 14:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x437753…
05-14 14:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbb4661…
05-14 14:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x177aee…
05-10 14:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd8fde6…
05-10 12:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4dd944…
05-10 12:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe1aa71…
05-10 12:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd269e4…
05-10 12:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0xdc54c5…
05-10 12:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x515a6b…
05-10 12:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1ae5da…
05-10 12:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7fe360…
05-10 12:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x01d04b…
05-09 23:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x648b38…
05-09 23:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9a56a6…
05-09 23:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0d41ad…
05-09 23:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2ff0f1…
05-09 23:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2b5f47…
05-09 23:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x964ef3…
05-09 23:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xbddcb8…
05-09 23:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x90a76b…
05-09 23:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8db6bd…
05-09 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x5c05d1…
05-09 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xadcf9a…
05-05 13:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x10d967…
05-05 13:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc524e9…
05-05 13:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0xea8582…
05-05 13:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb1f84d…
05-04 04:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x96894e…
05-04 04:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xa6e1ec…
05-04 04:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x13f415…
05-04 03:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd19085…
05-04 03:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc7b8ac…
05-04 03:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x5ad23f…
05-04 03:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xd65625…
05-04 03:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x8bc6e0…
05-04 03:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x489491…
05-04 03:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0xb2481a…
05-04 03:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xac7e67…
05-04 03:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x67d779…
05-04 02:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4d6cf5…
05-04 02:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x2f75c2…
05-04 02:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5f7ec2…
05-04 02:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xf0bae5…
05-04 02:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0a9862…
05-04 02:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb852b3…
05-04 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xebea83…
05-02 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x592930…
05-02 13:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x82b59f…
05-02 13:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe9d6a5…
05-01 08:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeb1e3a…
05-01 08:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfacfbf…
05-01 08:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x9bdd17…