Realized P&L
-$7.46K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.87K
Hit rate
6.0%
Resolved
169
Trades
340
lifetime
Volume
$15.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.57K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 10-25 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
89% 7% -$7,420
Other
9% 45% -$11
Sports
2% 40% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +13,439 $1,842 4¢ $605 -$1,237 10-25 22:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +6,667 $1,000 8¢ $500 -$500 10-24 15:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? No +11,682 $1,000 1¢ $117 -$883 10-23 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? No +10,833 $1,019 1¢ $108 -$911 10-23 00:21
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,747 $157 6¢ $96 -$61 10-24 15:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? No +3,118 $320 3¢ $94 -$226 10-24 15:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? Yes +7,280 $100 1¢ $51 -$49 10-09 13:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -5 -$4 82¢ $-4 +$0 08-21 13:00