Sane-Pressurization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$234

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

356

Trades

656

lifetime

Volume

$9.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-27 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 42% +$73

Other

23% 44% -$3

Politics

8% 48% +$168

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+116	$23	21¢	$24	+$1	10-15 11:31
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	Yes		+15	$5	4¢	$1	-$4	09-01 12:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:15 UTC	2	$562	371	365	+6	Up	+$167	03-02 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 12:25 UTC	2	$460	306	301	+5	Up	+$142	03-02 12:30
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	4	$351	222	222	+0	No	+$22	09-16 07:25
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	4	$282	232	232	+0	Yes	+$171	05-06 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:40 UTC	2	$221	173	170	+3	Down	+$34	02-28 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:45 UTC	2	$208	140	138	+2	Down	+$70	03-01 08:50
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$199	150	150	+0	No	+$99	02-25 09:18
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	2	$189	133	133	+0	open	—	10-05 09:25
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by march 31	10	$182	461	425	+36	No	-$51	03-10 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$143	265	0	+265	Up	+$122	05-07 10:34
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31	6	$115	451	387	+64	Yes	+$53	01-25 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:55 UTC	1	$100	185	0	+185	Up	-$100	04-23 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC	1	$95	176	0	+176	Up	-$95	03-01 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:00 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$27	03-02 19:05
will trump say million or billion or trillion 25 times during wef address on january 21	4	$86	99	42	+57	Yes	+$40	01-21 11:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 08:05 UTC	8	$81	109	108	+1	Up	+$20	03-01 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:10 UTC	5	$79	90	88	+2	Up	-$3	03-01 11:14
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	7	$79	371	0	+371	No	-$79	04-23 07:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:20 UTC	1	$77	138	0	+138	Down	+$61	03-01 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:50 UTC	3	$77	176	51	+125	Down	+$22	02-28 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:05 UTC	6	$74	91	66	+25	Up	+$24	03-01 12:08
Will Chewy say "Mobile" during earnings call?	3	$73	105	105	+0	Yes	+$43	09-08 11:46
Will Chewy say "Amazon" during earnings call?	2	$71	49	49	+0	No	+$12	09-09 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$68	45	45	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 10:25
will powell say inflation 60 times during january press conference	2	$62	254	0	+254	No	-$62	01-28 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 07:55 UTC	2	$59	107	9	+98	Up	+$48	04-23 07:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:45 UTC	5	$56	46	46	+1	Down	+$21	03-01 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:45 UTC	4	$56	101	40	+61	Down	+$20	02-28 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:10 UTC	1	$55	100	0	+100	Down	-$55	03-02 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:25 UTC	3	$55	177	55	+122	Up	+$15	02-28 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:10:27	Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x624b27…
10-27 08:09:18	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x795456…
10-27 08:08:24	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x6dc67a…
10-27 08:07:51	Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xb31d63…
10-15 11:31:07	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	96	19¢	$18	0x341195…
10-05 09:25:47	Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	No	SELL	133	85¢	$113	0x88e0c3…
09-25 08:10:51	Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	No	BUY	133	57¢	$76	0x50ba96…
09-17 18:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0x5f2c48…
09-17 18:35:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x520f17…
09-17 18:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xde253d…
09-17 18:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x87bac7…
09-17 18:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0xe9c28d…
09-17 18:02:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x19dbfe…
09-17 17:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$21	0xdea58a…
09-17 16:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xe74eca…
09-17 15:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcbb90f…
09-17 15:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0xa7b460…
09-17 15:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8e48ea…
09-17 15:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd956fa…
09-17 07:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x13aae0…
09-17 07:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4aa397…
09-17 07:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfa6b8d…
09-17 07:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x66aa2a…
09-17 06:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xae5c24…
09-17 06:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x83f093…
09-17 06:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x0cc3f1…
09-17 06:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x8ce134…
09-17 06:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0xd68e14…
09-17 06:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3c1bf3…
09-16 18:57:57	Will Warsh say "Dissent" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x4843f5…
09-16 12:38:16	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x722590…
09-16 12:37:36	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0x11b591…
09-16 11:20:10	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf97118…
09-16 11:10:42	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x153573…
09-16 11:03:52	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x550797…
09-16 09:04:25	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9d3ca3…
09-16 09:04:03	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xe2da0d…
09-16 09:03:49	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x31f240…
09-16 09:03:40	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xcd7892…
09-16 08:53:48	Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb78ddd…
09-16 07:48:33	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xd04008…
09-16 07:43:46	will warsh say labor force during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xdc63cc…
09-16 07:31:33	Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa1bdd2…
09-16 07:29:10	Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	44	34¢	$15	0x552da8…
09-16 07:28:24	will warsh say echo during september press conference 20260909	Yes	SELL	47	46¢	$22	0x8ab6ef…
09-16 07:25:52	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	No	SELL	222	84¢	$186	0x18b89a…
09-15 06:40:46	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x468316…
09-14 15:44:12	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	61	75¢	$46	0x56b98f…
09-14 08:34:42	Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x52f478…
09-14 08:33:19	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	92	75¢	$69	0x302ae1…
09-14 08:30:10	Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x26d03c…
09-14 08:29:24	Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xf274f2…
09-14 08:25:27	Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xead4ee…
09-14 08:24:18	Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xc5be73…
09-12 09:05:06	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 86-88%?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x5873c9…
09-11 19:22:06	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x386b1b…
09-10 12:09:54	Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	56	74¢	$41	0x4dfdcd…
09-10 12:09:10	Will Trump say "Education" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x39ccca…
09-10 12:06:54	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x96232e…
09-10 12:06:10	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks at the Pentagon?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3ae467…
09-10 12:04:57	Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x398883…
09-10 12:03:06	Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x5c3305…
09-10 12:01:37	will trump say hundred 10 times remarks at the pentagon	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xf58e0c…
09-09 07:07:10	Will Chewy say "Amazon" during earnings call?	No	SELL	49	85¢	$42	0x75fc99…
09-08 11:46:51	Will Chewy say "Mobile" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	105	55¢	$58	0x1a37c9…
09-04 06:51:45	will chewy say amazon during earnings call 20260909	No	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0x1ef110…
09-04 06:50:31	will chewy say loyalty during earnings call 20260909	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xb57f2b…
09-04 06:48:54	will chewy say headwind during earnings call 20260909	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x7078d4…
09-04 06:45:55	will chewy say modern animal during earnings call 20260909	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x496f6a…
09-04 06:42:52	will chewy say mobile during earnings call 20260909	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa5ccc5…
09-04 06:41:09	will chewy say mobile during earnings call 20260909	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x2e622b…
09-04 06:37:28	will chewy say health 5 times during earnings call 20260909	No	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x864cb1…
09-03 07:39:48	Will Docusign say "CLM" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x7c7f9b…
09-02 08:40:43	Will Docusign say "Customer" 30+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0x8715f2…
09-02 08:39:51	Will Docusign say "Fiscal" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x873e3d…
09-02 08:34:54	Will Docusign say "California" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x05ce7a…
09-02 08:34:07	Will Docusign say "Workspace" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x968b2f…
09-01 16:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x1dd583…
09-01 16:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x8ad2d6…
09-01 16:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x1664fa…
09-01 16:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x06b0c6…
09-01 16:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x55bd99…
09-01 12:51:12	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe4c87b…
05-15 19:18:15	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	113	19¢	$22	0xdda62b…
05-14 18:15:38	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0xb758bb…
05-11 18:07:23	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	36¢	$37	0xf720b5…
05-08 11:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x94be0f…
05-08 11:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xa0f29f…
05-08 11:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xdb1614…
05-08 11:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc2276e…
05-08 11:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x735fad…
05-08 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x335e84…
05-08 11:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf6c82d…
05-08 10:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x6f1618…
05-08 10:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x484b6c…
05-08 10:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xa1578d…
05-08 10:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xcf5866…
05-08 10:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xcc34ce…
05-08 10:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6b072b…
05-08 10:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1e56aa…