Optimistic-Attention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$259

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 06-02 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 41% +$221

Other

27% 33% -$169

Politics

20% 33% -$198

Sports

2% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+148	$146	100¢	$148	+$2	06-02 21:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		+114	$106	97¢	$111	+$5	06-02 21:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	11	$325	336	+336	Up	+$12	06-02 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	2	$271	484	+484	Down	-$29	06-02 21:08
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$195	245	+245	No	-$195	06-02 20:12
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$146	148	+148	open	—	06-02 21:13
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	1	$125	241	+241	Mexico	-$125	06-02 22:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$106	114	+114	open	—	06-02 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	3	$103	194	+194	Down	+$91	06-02 19:58
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?	1	$87	98	+98	No	+$11	06-02 21:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$85	87	+87	No	+$2	06-02 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$82	97	+97	Down	+$15	06-02 19:33
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$74	75	+75	No	+$1	06-02 21:14
BNB Up or Down on June 3?	3	$54	147	+147	Down	-$54	06-02 22:47
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$46	48	+48	Down	+$2	06-02 19:43
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$43	147	+147	open	—	06-02 21:14
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5	1	$37	48	+48	Over	+$11	06-02 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$36	48	+48	Down	+$12	06-02 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	22	$30	198	+198	Down	-$30	06-02 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	3	$19	50	+50	Down	-$19	06-02 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	3	$17	214	+214	Down	+$32	06-02 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	2	$16	505	+505	Down	-$16	06-02 19:42
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$12	196	+196	Up	-$12	06-02 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	3	$11	347	+347	Up	+$38	06-02 20:54
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$10	81	+81	Up	+$71	06-02 21:43
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$8	98	+98	Down	+$90	06-02 21:08
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	5	$8	36	+36	Down	-$8	06-02 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	2	$7	195	+195	Down	-$7	06-02 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	5	$7	366	+366	Down	-$7	06-02 22:41
Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	95	+95	No	-$6	06-02 21:14
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$5	75	+75	No	-$5	06-02 21:25
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	49	+49	Up	-$5	06-02 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 23:13:35	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0xfe1525…
06-02 23:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xc0ee3d…
06-02 23:12:28	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0x41100b…
06-02 23:12:20	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0xd3d04a…
06-02 23:12:13	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0x53f468…
06-02 22:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xf135ef…
06-02 22:47:55	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x98bbab…
06-02 22:47:20	BNB Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0x32c648…
06-02 22:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x270b0a…
06-02 22:41:26	Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	48	78¢	$37	0x06eb8a…
06-02 22:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0xbb63a7…
06-02 22:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xca8538…
06-02 22:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x75a735…
06-02 22:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x40317a…
06-02 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe8143f…
06-02 22:17:31	BNB Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x433b03…
06-02 22:16:27	BNB Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x566fea…
06-02 22:14:24	Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	Serbia	BUY	241	52¢	$125	0xcbaa02…
06-02 22:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xee5db6…
06-02 21:57:33	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xb54e0e…
06-02 21:57:01	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x21f90c…
06-02 21:56:10	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x744ec2…
06-02 21:56:09	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1b8f45…
06-02 21:56:07	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb33b01…
06-02 21:56:07	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x945363…
06-02 21:55:55	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0xba1d3f…
06-02 21:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xe19f8e…
06-02 21:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x502f83…
06-02 21:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x00bd2d…
06-02 21:54:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x53278f…
06-02 21:53:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x74f959…
06-02 21:43:24	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0xddc9f0…
06-02 21:42:33	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x7da7bb…
06-02 21:42:24	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xcbba4f…
06-02 21:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0x2da922…
06-02 21:40:36	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$1	0x06adb7…
06-02 21:40:32	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xd243d2…
06-02 21:40:32	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xcc5218…
06-02 21:40:32	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5b0fc4…
06-02 21:40:32	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3285ff…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xef4443…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xddec97…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xd9b66f…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xbff198…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xb79911…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xace6ba…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xa34752…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x9f60dc…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x7a591b…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x787a17…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x727508…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x662c43…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x63ba1c…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x5ddc83…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0x57ca51…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x4774bc…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x45fece…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1ecc58…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x17c029…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x1175e5…
06-02 21:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x0bd015…
06-02 21:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0xa7883a…
06-02 21:25:49	Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x5a612a…
06-02 21:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x4573d2…
06-02 21:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0xee4d60…
06-02 21:14:51	Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xdaa6aa…
06-02 21:14:51	Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0xa48c8b…
06-02 21:14:42	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?	No	BUY	98	89¢	$87	0x40919e…
06-02 21:14:33	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0x01de5f…
06-02 21:14:31	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	147	29¢	$43	0x4e30ee…
06-02 21:14:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x364fa4…
06-02 21:13:58	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xd345ac…
06-02 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	242	61¢	$148	0xda2127…
06-02 21:08:03	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x95f9f5…
06-02 21:07:51	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x50c411…
06-02 20:58:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x33633a…
06-02 20:58:22	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x7cc148…
06-02 20:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0xe585de…
06-02 20:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x5b9690…
06-02 20:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	46	12¢	$6	0x967cf9…
06-02 20:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x459d9d…
06-02 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x0bd426…
06-02 20:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x739c5f…
06-02 20:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x6e2916…
06-02 20:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x2aadba…
06-02 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb81a0f…
06-02 20:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbc68d0…
06-02 20:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x63db78…
06-02 20:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x30eec4…
06-02 20:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfffcfd…
06-02 20:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xafa985…
06-02 20:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	242	51¢	$123	0xf94c2a…
06-02 20:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0xc51be0…
06-02 20:12:45	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	218	80¢	$174	0xcbe79d…
06-02 20:12:24	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0xb9774a…
06-02 19:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	179	53¢	$95	0xd1fd76…
06-02 19:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xbe1563…
06-02 19:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6995da…
06-02 19:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xc700d9…
06-02 19:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x32b782…