Possible-Toad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.5%

Resolved

Trades

600

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-08 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 34% +$7

Other

1% 17% $-4

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 3 4pm et	10	$75	55	55	+0	open	—	02-03 22:24
bitcoin up or down february 3 1pm et	10	$74	70	70	+0	open	—	02-03 18:44
btc updown 5m 1785372300	24	$69	105	0	+105	open	—	07-30 00:47
bitcoin up or down january 31 4am et	8	$54	92	52	+40	open	—	01-31 09:18
btc updown 15m 1776287700	4	$53	33	32	+1	open	—	04-15 21:27
bitcoin up or down february 2 5pm et	9	$52	70	70	+0	open	—	02-02 22:56
btc updown 15m 1776227400	5	$46	43	21	+22	open	—	04-15 04:42
btc updown 15m 1768030200	13	$43	50	15	+35	open	—	01-10 07:43
btc updown 15m 1767718800	25	$43	51	29	+23	open	—	01-06 17:14
btc updown 15m 1776277800	9	$43	33	22	+11	open	—	04-15 18:42
btc updown 15m 1776058200	6	$39	70	0	+70	open	—	04-13 05:38
bitcoin up or down january 31 2am et	4	$35	30	20	+10	open	—	01-31 08:29
btc updown 15m 1776221100	4	$34	33	11	+22	open	—	04-15 02:57
bitcoin up or down february 4 3pm et	4	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	02-04 21:35
bitcoin up or down january 31 3am et	6	$32	30	30	+0	open	—	01-31 08:30
bitcoin up or down february 2 10pm et	8	$31	50	50	+0	open	—	02-03 03:26
btc updown 15m 1776278700	4	$31	20	15	+5	open	—	04-15 18:58
bitcoin up or down february 2 2pm et	6	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	02-02 20:01
btc updown 5m 1785967500	6	$28	25	25	+0	open	—	08-05 22:08
btc updown 15m 1776272400	3	$27	32	0	+32	open	—	04-15 17:12
btc updown 15m 1776240000	3	$26	32	0	+32	open	—	04-15 08:07
btc updown 5m 1785967200	6	$26	25	25	+0	open	—	08-05 22:02
btc updown 15m 1776222000	3	$26	33	0	+33	open	—	04-15 03:05
btc updown 15m 1776286800	3	$24	33	0	+33	open	—	04-15 21:09
btc updown 15m 1776242700	3	$24	28	0	+28	open	—	04-15 08:58
btc updown 5m 1785968100	9	$24	45	0	+45	open	—	08-05 22:16
btc updown 15m 1776225600	3	$23	32	0	+32	open	—	04-15 04:08
btc updown 5m 1785965100	7	$22	45	0	+45	open	—	08-05 21:26
btc updown 15m 1776238200	3	$21	33	0	+33	open	—	04-15 07:36
bitcoin up or down february 1 2am et	4	$21	30	30	+0	open	—	02-01 07:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 04:21:12	btc updown 5m 1786162800	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb09d4b…
08-08 02:14:10	btc updown 5m 1786155000	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x80560b…
08-06 00:36:18	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x333ed6…
08-06 00:36:17	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc29f46…
08-06 00:36:17	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb629bc…
08-06 00:36:17	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa1706e…
08-06 00:36:15	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89a270…
08-06 00:36:05	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9acea3…
08-06 00:35:35	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x86fbca…
08-06 00:35:26	btc updown 5m 1785976500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x433902…
08-06 00:26:00	btc updown 5m 1785975900	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6bc7d2…
08-06 00:25:48	btc updown 5m 1785975900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5fddbf…
08-06 00:25:38	btc updown 5m 1785975900	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x862dea…
08-06 00:25:36	btc updown 5m 1785975900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ef484…
08-05 22:25:27	btc updown 5m 1785968700	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x472d6b…
08-05 22:25:20	btc updown 5m 1785968700	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x598b57…
08-05 22:25:18	btc updown 5m 1785968700	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa38d83…
08-05 22:25:18	btc updown 5m 1785968700	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x310b7e…
08-05 22:16:11	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x868c48…
08-05 22:15:51	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xdc333e…
08-05 22:15:38	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd3bc4b…
08-05 22:15:38	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x70ad53…
08-05 22:15:30	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x40ba48…
08-05 22:15:30	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1f5abb…
08-05 22:15:17	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcda7ad…
08-05 22:15:17	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xa6ba63…
08-05 22:15:17	btc updown 5m 1785968100	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x66f867…
08-05 22:08:09	btc updown 5m 1785967500	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x297fa5…
08-05 22:07:44	btc updown 5m 1785967500	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x61a06d…
08-05 22:07:39	btc updown 5m 1785967500	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xbfcb0e…
08-05 22:07:14	btc updown 5m 1785967500	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2df529…
08-05 22:06:32	btc updown 5m 1785967500	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x57d8c2…
08-05 22:05:27	btc updown 5m 1785967500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1b999…
08-05 22:02:39	btc updown 5m 1785967200	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x52e671…
08-05 22:02:38	btc updown 5m 1785967200	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x85fcd4…
08-05 22:02:15	btc updown 5m 1785967200	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xceab1d…
08-05 22:01:02	btc updown 5m 1785967200	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xc36033…
08-05 22:00:36	btc updown 5m 1785967200	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x1b710f…
08-05 22:00:27	btc updown 5m 1785967200	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd7a00a…
08-05 21:26:00	btc updown 5m 1785965100	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb65c3d…
08-05 21:26:00	btc updown 5m 1785965100	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xb21405…
08-05 21:25:59	btc updown 5m 1785965100	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x62d1d7…
08-05 21:25:53	btc updown 5m 1785965100	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x046595…
08-05 21:25:42	btc updown 5m 1785965100	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x038aa9…
08-05 21:25:30	btc updown 5m 1785965100	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7ae793…
08-05 21:25:17	btc updown 5m 1785965100	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x283639…
07-30 19:29:38	btc updown 5m 1785439800	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe56c4f…
07-30 19:29:26	btc updown 5m 1785439800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x952f3b…
07-30 00:52:02	btc updown 5m 1785372600	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2f7f90…
07-30 00:52:02	btc updown 5m 1785372600	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x167afe…
07-30 00:51:53	btc updown 5m 1785372600	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xe79c0b…
07-30 00:51:53	btc updown 5m 1785372600	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x5d873f…
07-30 00:51:53	btc updown 5m 1785372600	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x46291c…
07-30 00:51:51	btc updown 5m 1785372600	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xc8bc2c…
07-30 00:51:11	btc updown 5m 1785372600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x03fbf2…
07-30 00:47:02	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9cecc4…
07-30 00:47:02	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x05ed2b…
07-30 00:46:48	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x697373…
07-30 00:46:45	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3cb6eb…
07-30 00:46:42	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbe2724…
07-30 00:46:32	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdc45bf…
07-30 00:46:30	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe3f0dd…
07-30 00:46:29	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2c641a…
07-30 00:46:27	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x209597…
07-30 00:46:23	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2b51b1…
07-30 00:46:15	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2c1316…
07-30 00:46:03	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x34924f…
07-30 00:45:50	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf64d8c…
07-30 00:45:50	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x93307a…
07-30 00:45:47	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2b3a3c…
07-30 00:45:45	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa5af6d…
07-30 00:45:44	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0e39c1…
07-30 00:45:38	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xeb4297…
07-30 00:45:35	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6ce263…
07-30 00:45:30	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x23d4e3…
07-30 00:45:29	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x92a254…
07-30 00:45:27	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb26377…
07-30 00:45:15	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x669584…
07-30 00:45:14	btc updown 5m 1785372300	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5ffba0…
07-21 18:43:04	btc updown 5m 1784659200	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6119c9…
05-25 03:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x789aaa…
05-14 08:14:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x95d755…
05-14 08:13:52	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xc6f1ca…
05-14 08:13:47	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xf272b9…
05-14 08:13:08	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x3123a1…
05-14 08:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xad8ab7…
05-14 08:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x7572c6…
05-14 08:13:03	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x598ba4…
05-14 08:08:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x537ee4…
05-14 08:08:32	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x42dda8…
05-14 08:08:30	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4195e9…
05-14 08:08:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x262bc5…
05-14 08:08:07	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfde3c0…
05-14 08:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x4d040b…
05-14 08:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x3a9bf7…
05-14 08:04:44	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x0295f0…
05-14 08:03:05	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xa7a559…
05-14 08:03:05	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x51ab2b…
05-14 08:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x4da93b…
05-14 08:03:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xf497aa…