Realized P&L
-$117
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved
228
Trades
522
lifetime
Volume
$2.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$32
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-28 01:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Politics
35% 61% -$17
Other
30% 40% -$41
Crypto
26% 46% -$60
Sports
9% 36% +$12
Tech
1% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +7 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 10-24 07:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 10-26 03:08
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$0 10-28 00:12
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$0 10-26 20:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $0 10-24 12:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$0 10-26 17:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +3 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 10-28 00:51
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3 $2 92¢ $2 $0 10-26 17:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 87¢ $2 $0 10-27 15:21
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 $0 10-26 17:01
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 88¢ $2 $0 10-26 22:29
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-26 03:08
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-27 18:06
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 05-29 16:59