Realized P&L
+$3.94K
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
325
lifetime
Volume
$443.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.36K
Open exposure
$24.2K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 12:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
67% 67% -$4,364
Politics
33% 100% +$8,267
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? No +9,298 $7,768 98¢ $9.1K +$1,329 11-10 23:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +9,627 $7,524 82¢ $7.9K +$418 11-10 22:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +4,277 $3,956 93¢ $4.0K +$17 11-13 12:22
FAA outage attributed to Iran? No — +1,450 $1,398 96¢ $1.4K -$10 11-13 22:20
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,719 $1,826 20¢ $1.3K -$516 11-11 23:17
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 8:00 PM ET? Yes — +1,000 $270 26¢ $255 -$15 11-13 22:31
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? No +169 $144 91¢ $154 +$10 11-12 02:45
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,320 2¢ $43 -$1,277 11-10 20:20