Expert-Pause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.26K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

1,552

Trades

2,479

lifetime

Volume

$576.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$232

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-21 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

100% 96% -$5,233

Crypto

0% 58% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 6?	11	$5.0K	5,025	0	+5,025	No	+$20	08-06 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on August 1?	9	$4.3K	4,280	0	+4,280	No	+$26	08-01 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 28?	5	$4.0K	4,024	0	+4,024	No	+$18	07-28 19:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 3?	6	$3.5K	3,550	0	+3,550	No	+$10	08-03 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	2	$3.2K	2,002	2,002	+0	No	-$761	08-31 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 10?	2	$3.0K	3,017	0	+3,017	No	+$17	10-10 00:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on September 14?	2	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	09-14 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on September 13?	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	09-12 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C or below on September 2?	2	$2.5K	2,503	0	+2,503	No	+$3	09-02 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 28?	2	$2.4K	2,397	0	+2,397	No	+$4	08-27 16:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 25?	2	$2.4K	2,392	0	+2,392	No	+$4	09-25 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 5?	2	$2.2K	2,243	0	+2,243	No	+$7	09-05 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on October 7?	2	$2.1K	2,117	0	+2,117	No	+$2	10-07 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 17?	2	$2.1K	2,105	0	+2,105	No	+$3	07-17 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 11?	2	$2.0K	2,004	0	+2,004	No	+$4	09-11 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 6?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	09-05 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 27?	1	$2.0K	2,003	0	+2,003	No	+$3	08-26 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 5?	1	$2.0K	2,013	0	+2,013	No	+$13	09-04 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	-$2,000	08-30 16:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 12?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	09-12 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	09-11 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on September 12?	2	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	09-12 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on August 31?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	08-30 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on August 27?	1	$1.9K	1,863	0	+1,863	No	+$2	08-27 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 9?	5	$1.7K	1,725	0	+1,725	No	+$2	07-09 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?	8	$1.7K	1,723	0	+1,723	No	+$3	07-08 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 15?	2	$1.7K	1,664	0	+1,664	No	+$2	10-15 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 30?	1	$1.6K	1,607	0	+1,607	No	+$5	08-30 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 13?	2	$1.6K	1,595	0	+1,595	No	+$2	07-13 17:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on July 17?	4	$1.5K	1,519	0	+1,519	No	+$3	07-17 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 08:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on October 21?	No	BUY	461	100¢	$460	0x0feada…
10-21 07:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 21?	No	BUY	808	100¢	$806	0x57850b…
10-20 15:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 20?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x7f86b7…
10-20 13:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd96686…
10-20 09:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0x94743e…
10-20 09:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x792fe1…
10-20 05:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0x610de8…
10-20 05:13:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xdbe471…
10-20 05:10:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,101	0xfe7fae…
10-20 05:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xc9cdbe…
10-20 05:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 19?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xb2ad60…
10-20 04:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xd54e37…
10-20 03:25:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7aaab2…
10-20 03:25:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc97fa…
10-20 03:25:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9689c9…
10-20 03:25:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x624505…
10-20 03:25:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x863c79…
10-20 03:25:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf9b5e0…
10-20 03:24:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe066b8…
10-20 03:24:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xae5e12…
10-20 03:24:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x60c39f…
10-19 21:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0x159b86…
10-19 18:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xaf42a0…
10-19 11:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on October 19?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xd67aba…
10-19 10:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$439	0x8cbb8f…
10-19 09:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 19?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x25e9f6…
10-19 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	517	100¢	$516	0xf3c52c…
10-19 03:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 19?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xa4d2aa…
10-19 03:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x461643…
10-19 01:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 19?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3891d0…
10-19 00:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	472	100¢	$472	0x7f42f0…
10-19 00:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xe57fa2…
10-18 21:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x42cbd4…
10-18 20:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C or below on October 19?	No	BUY	504	100¢	$504	0x7b385e…
10-18 17:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 19?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x30b160…
10-18 17:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 18?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf521dc…
10-18 11:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 18?	No	BUY	675	100¢	$674	0xe27f3c…
10-18 11:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on October 18?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0xcbe1fc…
10-18 09:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	317	100¢	$316	0x119a17…
10-18 08:26:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 18?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xbdde37…
10-18 08:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 63°F or below on October 18?	No	BUY	692	100¢	$691	0xdb248b…
10-18 04:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0c0849…
10-18 01:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x65d6e8…
10-17 17:00:11	highest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 19c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x215edd…
10-17 10:31:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xf7a171…
10-17 10:31:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xeaeac2…
10-17 10:31:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xc27c89…
10-17 10:31:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0x141ec3…
10-17 10:31:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb82467…
10-17 10:31:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x612076…
10-17 10:31:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xbf2f82…
10-17 10:31:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x879405…
10-17 10:31:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x6c646b…
10-17 10:31:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x356a80…
10-17 10:31:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xf7f799…
10-17 10:31:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xd04b6e…
10-17 10:31:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xb2445a…
10-17 10:31:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x68ad31…
10-17 10:31:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xd19ec7…
10-17 10:31:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xca7a54…
10-17 10:31:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x25cd49…
10-17 10:29:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb6380d…
10-17 10:29:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xa2065e…
10-17 10:29:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x47f7ff…
10-17 10:29:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x196899…
10-17 09:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x535969…
10-17 09:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 17?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xeec219…
10-17 09:21:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd7df46…
10-17 08:50:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x12553c…
10-17 08:45:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xd32825…
10-17 08:44:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x549b9f…
10-17 08:44:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xb3f8d7…
10-17 08:43:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x369705…
10-17 08:43:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x9c6776…
10-17 08:43:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xd6fc85…
10-17 08:43:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x4a7274…
10-17 08:43:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x0fcbcf…
10-17 08:40:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x784a89…
10-17 08:40:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x81a166…
10-17 08:40:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xe97942…
10-17 08:40:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x62ce3d…
10-17 08:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x86b7be…
10-16 23:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4fe01…
10-16 21:00:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 16?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0xa1a490…
10-16 15:51:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0x3e7037…
10-16 15:51:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0x00959d…
10-16 15:51:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1,509	99¢	$1,500	0xe1bc24…
10-16 13:55:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 16?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x85b134…
10-16 13:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 81°F or below on October 16?	No	BUY	471	100¢	$470	0x429a7e…
10-16 07:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	450	98¢	$441	0x9a28eb…
10-16 01:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x4ae0d2…
10-16 01:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,142	0xe5fc5d…
10-16 00:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on October 16?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0xe312f2…
10-15 20:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 15?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x2b21f2…
10-15 18:59:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 15?	No	BUY	984	100¢	$983	0xafa451…
10-15 11:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x3601ea…
10-15 09:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on October 15?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0xbbf50b…
10-15 09:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on October 15?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x2bea30…
10-15 09:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 15?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x4759c7…
10-15 08:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 15?	No	BUY	1,502	100¢	$1,500	0x02f22b…