Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

138

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$177

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-12

last 11-07 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

77% 60% +$22

Politics

19% 54% -$1

Tech

4% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	+3	$1	80¢	$2	+$1	11-05 20:25
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	72¢	$1	+$0	11-07 05:03
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	5¢	$0	-$1	08-18 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 05:03:36	Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x17d46b…
11-06 17:41:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 6?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x566242…
11-06 08:27:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbde36c…
11-05 20:25:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd7f6b1…
11-05 12:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfe2457…
11-05 02:54:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5e4ccb…
11-04 08:02:15	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x08ffb8…
11-04 00:01:25	Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xce57b0…
11-03 15:43:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6ac951…
11-03 06:46:15	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1f7abd…
11-02 22:44:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $195?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa6e84d…
11-02 14:43:46	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf6834b…
11-02 06:41:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x57c72e…
11-01 22:41:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x25f069…
10-27 15:02:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0fc416…
10-27 07:01:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9f8440…
10-26 23:01:08	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x51baba…
10-26 11:51:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x759bdd…
10-26 03:32:29	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x01074d…
10-25 19:32:18	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfe2f82…
10-25 09:13:26	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaa0384…
10-23 17:18:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x036781…
10-23 08:24:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd8b937…
10-23 00:20:14	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1b52a1…
10-22 16:19:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x667a50…
10-22 08:18:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 22?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc99f47…
10-20 22:04:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b61e9…
10-20 01:21:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x79c116…
10-19 17:20:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x326354…
10-19 09:19:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6f1f42…
10-19 01:18:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x63f656…
10-18 17:18:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xedd170…
10-18 07:42:57	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfb0ae7…
10-17 23:14:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x74b865…
10-17 15:01:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc3ed13…
10-17 04:15:45	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5844fc…
10-16 12:40:15	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6e11d2…
10-16 04:36:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7f45ac…
10-15 17:11:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x473e2e…
10-15 09:10:41	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9204ce…
10-15 00:29:37	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7fb66a…
10-14 12:56:00	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3bcd79…
10-14 04:36:50	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x566f1d…
10-13 20:04:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb79d58…
10-13 11:34:40	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa13add…
10-10 01:04:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd05506…
10-08 04:15:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfc17ec…
10-07 17:18:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x76bae1…
10-07 08:27:56	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x877e1f…
10-06 12:26:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3cae2e…
10-06 04:24:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0e30e6…
10-06 04:19:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x82a3b5…
10-05 16:51:08	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa36817…
10-05 08:18:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9351f6…
10-05 00:06:01	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdb06c4…
10-02 14:38:17	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3265e2…
10-02 06:03:51	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc5ddd0…
10-01 10:47:48	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfa678c…
10-01 02:38:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaea461…
09-29 16:32:15	will googl reach 350 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x175909…
09-29 16:25:26	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5d3849…
09-29 16:25:11	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7e89b1…
09-29 08:24:03	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x440f31…
09-29 00:21:50	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf13a57…
09-28 15:35:51	spy closes above 765 on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa94b25…
09-28 05:46:51	will googl reach 345 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3050ae…
09-27 21:46:06	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcfe226…
09-27 08:19:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x174ce2…
09-27 08:17:32	will meta reach 760 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3ac2b3…
09-26 21:33:38	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdce5e1…
09-26 10:46:45	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x849600…
09-26 09:23:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x74ff1e…
09-25 08:54:03	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x258fd8…
09-24 23:09:12	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x20ebf9…
09-24 03:08:50	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa1a350…
09-23 18:19:58	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x328275…
09-23 18:01:37	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xcc25be…
09-23 09:53:19	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x622f2e…
09-23 08:07:38	will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xdd39a6…
09-22 23:57:58	will pltr dip to 183 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xdb0962…
09-22 14:58:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xeb34fb…
09-22 06:46:33	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x020b06…
09-21 22:42:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xebfe05…
09-21 14:41:14	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xadb5d5…
09-21 06:40:36	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xca59f9…
09-20 22:29:07	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0x98e0ba…
09-19 15:18:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0xbb10cf…
09-19 02:47:13	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x081a0f…
09-18 01:07:03	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc01b74…
09-17 15:44:58	wti closes above 96 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1202ec…
09-17 03:29:03	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfb672c…
09-16 19:20:00	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xeff562…
09-16 10:35:45	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc5549d…
09-16 02:34:43	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xb03081…
09-15 18:13:49	Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x6803ce…
09-15 09:23:27	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xb92ea8…
09-14 23:02:39	will coin reach 195 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x6cb2c7…
09-14 14:53:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x082837…
09-14 06:45:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x6391b8…
09-13 22:34:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x83617f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	2	$2	4	+4	No	+$0	09-26 21:33
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-29 16:25
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-19 02:47
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-24 03:08
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-15 18:13
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 10:35
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-18 01:07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-11 19:49
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-16 02:34
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-07 18:13
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-21 06:40
will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-23 08:07
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?	1	$2	6	+6	Up	+$4	09-22 14:58
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 22:42
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-19 15:18
will tsla dip to 360 by september 7 2026 from september 10	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-11 01:49
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-15 09:23
spx up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-10 08:25
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-13 22:34
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-11 11:16
will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-27 10:24
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-14 06:45
spx up or down on august 26 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$1	08-26 15:38
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-10 17:39
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 03:29
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-14 14:53
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-20 22:29
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-21 14:41
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-08 14:44
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 06:46