Creative-Caper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.78K

Unrealized P&L

+$125

Hit rate

26.5%

Resolved

159

Trades

8,309

lifetime

Volume

$830.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$41

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-08 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

63% 41% -$8,309

Politics

28% 13% -$2,483

Sports

8% 40% +$2,016

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes		-2,160	-$166	2¢	$-41	+$125	05-31 21:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	270	$58.5K	60,387	50,832	+9,555	Duke Blue Devils	-$727	03-22 00:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	384	$54.0K	54,177	62,599	-8,422	No	+$635	03-22 19:03
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	408	$52.9K	47,022	55,056	-8,034	Yes	-$394	03-14 09:56
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	271	$42.2K	42,617	33,207	+9,410	Arkansas Razorbacks	-$113	03-22 03:49
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	238	$42.2K	59,914	23,540	+36,374	Michigan State Spartans	-$699	03-21 20:59
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	150	$28.2K	48,190	15,853	+32,337	Purdue Boilermakers	-$291	03-22 18:15
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	210	$24.0K	21,297	12,190	+9,107	No	-$490	04-07 20:45
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	145	$23.7K	46,572	20,000	+26,572	St. John's Red Storm	+$1,311	03-22 22:31
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	56	$22.5K	13,016	13,735	-719	Duke Blue Devils	-$7	03-19 18:44
cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21	73	$20.7K	27,367	7,043	+20,324	Texas Longhorns	+$395	03-22 02:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	372	$20.3K	30,212	10,045	+20,167	Yes	-$45	03-08 18:11
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	25	$17.0K	16,915	17,653	-738	Howard Bison	-$390	03-17 20:06
nba por sas 2026 04 08	57	$17.0K	9,569	8,000	+1,569	Spurs	+$544	04-09 03:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	122	$14.9K	31,208	31,208	+0	No	-$156	06-12 18:07
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	289	$14.5K	15,712	13,164	+2,548	No	-$1,263	03-13 07:15
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	117	$14.4K	14,409	12,042	+2,368	Yes	+$1,126	04-07 20:53
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	106	$14.0K	13,856	16,297	-2,441	No	-$9	03-13 03:06
nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	176	$13.5K	12,919	17,330	-4,411	Utah	+$1,751	04-08 04:19
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	175	$12.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	Louisville Cardinals	-$191	03-19 11:35
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	87	$12.6K	10,836	13,507	-2,671	Yes	-$1,206	03-09 21:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	61	$12.4K	14,845	9,476	+5,369	Yes	-$141	04-08 00:10
rut up or down on march 10 2026	204	$12.0K	16,316	1,462	+14,854	Down	-$1,229	03-10 21:42
nba hou gsw 2026 04 05 spread away 3pt5	258	$11.3K	19,241	2,597	+16,644	Warriors	-$1,442	04-06 04:38
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	208	$11.0K	9,202	12,372	-3,171	Yes	-$27	03-18 21:47
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	63	$10.9K	18,540	3,000	+15,540	Tennessee Volunteers	+$1,687	03-28 03:19
spx up or down on march 9 2026	162	$9.2K	10,834	7,645	+3,189	Up	-$402	03-09 19:53
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	143	$9.2K	9,894	11,072	-1,178	No	-$237	03-10 00:34
cs2 minlat1 bbp 2026 04 06	184	$8.8K	13,751	2,667	+11,084	Bebop	+$319	04-06 21:04
iran leadership change by march 31	101	$7.8K	9,521	9,762	-241	No	-$223	03-15 08:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	67	$7.7K	15,868	15,040	+828	No	-$2	06-12 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 14:52:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x1b8cde…
07-08 14:13:14	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x4c05c6…
07-08 14:13:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x8a7f33…
07-08 14:12:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x7cdb90…
07-08 14:02:08	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xd94a48…
07-06 05:39:34	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	161	57¢	$92	0x02ca85…
07-06 05:39:29	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	86	57¢	$49	0x01b0f9…
07-06 05:33:58	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xe5a2c0…
07-06 05:28:29	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x86f495…
07-06 05:26:40	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	64	57¢	$37	0xeb06f8…
07-06 05:15:29	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0xa98c15…
07-06 05:09:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x63ab1d…
07-06 04:56:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xe81210…
07-06 04:44:31	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe143d4…
07-06 04:17:52	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	574	43¢	$245	0x2ef2ef…
07-06 04:06:26	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$49	0x2b53cd…
07-06 03:58:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	174	43¢	$74	0xebe659…
07-03 22:22:16	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x213960…
07-03 17:56:52	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x2f6e25…
07-03 17:17:52	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0xc7c443…
07-03 14:52:28	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x59fa99…
07-02 14:59:17	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x956640…
07-02 14:58:37	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa620b3…
07-02 14:58:37	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x90e92e…
07-02 14:58:37	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x66a21b…
07-02 14:58:37	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x537481…
07-02 14:58:37	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3e83a9…
07-02 14:58:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf8c2eb…
07-02 14:58:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x988a2e…
07-02 14:58:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	42	42¢	$18	0x1605d6…
07-02 14:55:50	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xb34df2…
07-02 14:55:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb68c90…
07-02 14:55:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa55c60…
07-02 14:55:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5dcf06…
07-02 14:55:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4cf3ef…
07-02 14:55:02	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x46dee4…
07-02 14:54:40	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x109073…
07-02 14:50:44	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe998d0…
07-02 14:50:44	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xba8d01…
07-02 14:50:44	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9b4ed1…
07-02 14:50:44	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1dbcbe…
07-02 14:50:44	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x18e5d3…
07-02 14:50:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc326a9…
07-02 14:50:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x57c716…
07-02 14:50:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	158	42¢	$66	0x51ee29…
07-02 14:50:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4c1392…
07-02 14:50:35	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2fd450…
07-02 14:49:13	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x02c459…
07-02 14:47:04	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	96	30¢	$29	0x943a4e…
07-02 14:47:04	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x898c98…
07-02 14:47:02	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf4d4be…
07-02 14:47:02	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xefa53f…
07-02 14:47:02	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xbb4b74…
07-02 14:47:02	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x73c76c…
07-02 14:47:01	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x6f646c…
07-02 14:47:01	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x320c50…
07-02 14:46:56	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x53fffd…
07-02 14:46:55	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5cb075…
07-02 14:46:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x376ced…
07-02 14:45:01	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x875d13…
07-02 14:43:44	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf72c72…
07-02 14:43:44	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb86e92…
07-02 14:43:43	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xd93461…
07-02 14:43:26	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb5b9c1…
07-02 14:43:26	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa7126e…
07-02 14:43:26	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x49d61a…
07-02 14:43:26	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x3b6294…
07-02 14:43:26	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x28d92f…
07-02 14:43:26	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x23ffd5…
07-02 14:43:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x745fff…
07-02 14:43:25	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	120	67¢	$80	0x007828…
07-02 14:31:56	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	633	55¢	$350	0x62be0f…
07-02 14:21:52	wti up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xa0af12…
07-02 14:21:34	wti up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x81f0f9…
07-02 14:21:34	wti up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x2aeeec…
07-02 14:19:52	wti up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	66	31¢	$20	0xd00c8f…
07-02 14:18:59	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	629	41¢	$258	0x2503b2…
07-02 14:16:49	wti up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x730cc6…
07-02 13:44:40	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd30bb6…
07-02 09:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	170	48¢	$82	0x1842e1…
07-02 09:19:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 2?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xd426d2…
07-02 09:19:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x62f66f…
07-02 09:18:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	115	60¢	$69	0xad3340…
07-02 09:17:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x78bee3…
07-02 09:17:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xc7a262…
07-02 09:16:46	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xdff085…
07-02 09:13:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x94e969…
07-02 09:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x97fd02…
07-02 09:13:22	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	52	59¢	$31	0x0e91ff…
07-02 09:09:53	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x65f3f0…
07-02 09:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x980178…
07-02 09:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x95c1ff…
07-02 09:04:28	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	93	41¢	$38	0xbd474e…
07-02 08:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xbd01ee…
07-02 08:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6e138c…
07-02 08:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x044e8b…
07-02 08:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x5f1af3…
07-02 08:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe84110…
07-02 08:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xf6a435…
07-02 08:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xfa37ee…