Weekly-Cape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$338

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$7.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-15 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-338

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	9	$300	290	141	+149	Down	$-100	05-12 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	10	$281	185	185	+0	Up	+$31	05-08 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776721200	6	$272	1,277	196	+1,081	open	—	04-20 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$253	332	274	+59	Up	$-167	05-12 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$239	141	141	+0	Down	+$39	05-09 03:05
btc updown 5m 1776720000	3	$229	153	129	+25	open	—	04-20 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$222	123	123	+0	Up	+$22	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$207	134	134	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$171	155	74	+81	Down	+$45	05-12 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$163	171	171	+0	Up	$-37	05-12 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$161	225	125	+100	Up	$-39	05-12 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$138	222	85	+137	Up	$-30	05-12 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$135	86	86	+0	Down	+$35	05-12 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$132	87	87	+0	Up	+$32	05-12 10:38
btc updown 5m 1776716100	5	$131	117	85	+32	open	—	04-20 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$122	79	79	+0	Down	+$22	05-12 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$108	159	0	+159	Down	$-99	05-12 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$100	789	0	+789	Up	$-100	05-12 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$100	159	0	+159	Down	+$59	05-12 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	+$2	05-12 09:19
btc updown 5m 1776720300	3	$100	94	40	+54	open	—	04-20 21:30
btc updown 5m 1776721500	2	$89	54	52	+1	open	—	04-20 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$89	91	45	+45	Up	+$34	05-12 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$87	126	38	+88	Up	+$23	05-12 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$78	103	103	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$77	106	53	+53	Up	$-23	05-12 10:57
btc updown 5m 1776709800	4	$71	112	25	+87	open	—	04-20 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$70	80	77	+3	Down	$-32	05-12 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$70	88	59	+28	Down	$-2	05-12 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$70	116	0	+116	Down	+$46	05-08 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x0d18d1…
05-15 15:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd23870…
05-12 11:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	45¢	$45	0xbb9237…
05-12 11:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe33720…
05-12 11:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	49¢	$31	0xf27d25…
05-12 11:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x604a2f…
05-12 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xeea05e…
05-12 11:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0x654f73…
05-12 11:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0xc1c809…
05-12 11:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	52	31¢	$16	0xf91c58…
05-12 11:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xb03b56…
05-12 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	77	21¢	$16	0x7accef…
05-12 11:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x7ccd4a…
05-12 11:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	94	50¢	$47	0xd6a14e…
05-12 11:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x30d5c7…
05-12 11:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0x93d309…
05-12 11:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x655c85…
05-12 11:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x25e650…
05-12 11:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa6605…
05-12 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xd5d473…
05-12 11:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x5d55a5…
05-12 11:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x5ff784…
05-12 11:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x38d18a…
05-12 11:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x2857c8…
05-12 11:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5f8a9d…
05-12 10:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	53	51¢	$27	0x29ffab…
05-12 10:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x321721…
05-12 10:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb06b61…
05-12 10:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf90198…
05-12 10:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x9d6507…
05-12 10:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	44	35¢	$15	0xcf6004…
05-12 10:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x7130af…
05-12 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	77	23¢	$18	0x6d9ea8…
05-12 10:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x5e718e…
05-12 10:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x303b13…
05-12 10:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x6501e3…
05-12 10:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0xeb1251…
05-12 10:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0xecf44a…
05-12 10:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x55cb78…
05-12 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xc9c76d…
05-12 10:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x85af6d…
05-12 10:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xf99b7c…
05-12 10:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x6713e6…
05-12 10:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xcb379c…
05-12 10:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	274	16¢	$43	0x73fbe4…
05-12 10:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xc3480b…
05-12 10:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x8671dc…
05-12 09:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x15b53a…
05-12 09:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xb15134…
05-12 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	67	71¢	$47	0xbcb6bc…
05-12 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xb35fd3…
05-12 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0x8cb7e1…
05-12 09:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x037d86…
05-12 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xc89e31…
05-12 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xad99c6…
05-12 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xa9a344…
05-12 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x67f5b1…
05-12 09:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x780e8b…
05-12 09:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xe12057…
05-12 09:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	789	13¢	$100	0x81ef33…
05-12 09:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	134	80¢	$107	0xe2edbc…
05-12 09:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xd5028d…
05-12 09:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x7aea3a…
05-12 09:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x6c0992…
05-12 09:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x031095…
05-12 09:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc59ab8…
05-09 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0xb6b584…
05-09 03:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x50dae7…
05-09 02:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xbb9038…
05-08 18:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xeae0e3…
05-08 18:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x37596a…
05-08 18:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xbbd005…
05-08 18:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x91727e…
05-08 18:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x5147a1…
05-08 18:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x1be1ad…
05-08 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0xee4adc…
05-08 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xa7fba7…
05-08 18:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x544dfc…
05-08 18:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x0e645f…
05-08 18:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0xd23462…
05-08 18:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x419174…
05-08 18:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xcdf2a9…
05-08 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x68da3e…
05-08 18:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x8b7f37…
05-08 18:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x673962…
05-08 18:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0x71903f…
05-08 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	34	86¢	$29	0x25de82…
05-08 18:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x10a70c…
05-08 17:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x8d7f66…
05-08 17:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xe84a74…
05-08 17:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x8d32a7…
05-08 17:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x51dd6e…
05-08 17:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x0bb357…
05-08 17:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x7e5bcc…
05-08 17:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x958a13…
05-08 17:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xe5f27e…
05-08 17:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x12b4cd…
05-08 17:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x86d7cb…
05-08 17:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	54	31¢	$17	0x625a5d…
05-08 17:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x86599f…