Ornate-Possibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

278

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 83% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:18
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 5?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:34
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:07
highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 27corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:20
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 14:11
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:38
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:32
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 66 67f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 03:40
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:24
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65e70d…
10-31 09:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9991d…
10-30 10:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56e141…
10-29 08:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8f471…
10-28 07:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20b9f6…
10-27 08:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72cf3e…
10-26 09:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5227a4…
10-22 10:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x738761…
10-20 07:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x281fc7…
10-19 08:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x951a97…
10-18 09:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x980f17…
10-17 11:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1fd30…
10-16 08:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16a343…
10-15 09:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x634b54…
10-14 09:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9288d…
10-13 08:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x456cea…
10-12 08:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02cd64…
10-11 08:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x779a77…
10-08 08:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c4f63…
10-07 15:19:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb26ea1…
10-06 07:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b247b…
10-04 14:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf67d76…
10-03 05:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17cea0…
10-02 07:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01bd42…
10-01 08:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e145c…
09-30 12:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c15f3…
09-29 14:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x996a1a…
09-28 09:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29a3ab…
09-27 08:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19d579…
09-25 12:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ff45a…
09-24 08:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd20f92…
09-23 06:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x103722…
09-22 07:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d3767…
09-21 09:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d654f…
09-20 05:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12120e…
09-19 08:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x016231…
09-18 06:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50484f…
09-17 03:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe52d57…
09-16 08:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x353719…
09-15 09:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73e96d…
09-14 08:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa89789…
09-12 16:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06483d…
09-11 07:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a892b…
09-10 04:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf8a3b…
09-09 09:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd28f9a…
09-09 01:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaa3a3…
09-08 02:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d49c6…
09-07 08:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe40bac…
09-06 17:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe82b3e…
09-06 09:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95f3a5…
09-05 09:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3ae61…
09-04 17:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04f55e…
09-03 09:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0af46c…
09-02 07:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeaadf…
08-30 08:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaafc92…
08-29 07:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe0c3b…
08-28 07:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf0792…
08-27 08:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaaf2c…
08-26 08:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb6631…
08-25 08:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaaeba…
08-24 09:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3f81d…
08-23 14:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadb8d5…
08-22 08:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcba952…
08-21 07:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9a48b…
08-20 08:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x792f1a…
08-19 10:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0104d7…
08-18 08:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00c6b5…
08-17 07:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48a266…
08-16 11:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f4157…
08-15 09:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b59bb…
08-14 06:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c89ab…
08-13 07:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48acdf…
08-12 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29302b…
08-11 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3de545…
08-10 06:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54bd44…
08-09 01:19:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x260d0a…
08-08 07:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47380b…
08-07 01:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda0d2c…
08-06 06:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24d12f…
08-05 07:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x354e11…
08-04 08:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98fe4f…
08-03 07:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc64cdd…
08-02 01:32:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3a885…
08-01 06:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x203e41…
07-31 08:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0aff78…
07-30 06:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc62411…
07-29 06:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69bd0a…
07-28 06:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01532e…
07-27 08:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x829f3d…
07-26 06:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x767401…
07-25 07:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe614b…
07-24 09:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a5744…
07-23 07:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4e7ba…
07-22 01:49:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd5af2…
07-20 23:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861448…
07-20 07:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x220450…
07-18 22:43:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd9dff…
07-18 00:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e938e…
07-17 06:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b8e37…
07-15 22:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50a616…