Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,549

lifetime

Volume

$6.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-24 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$0

Sports

14% 75% +$0

Politics

13% 0% $-16

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	1	$528	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	03-12 16:01
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	10	$56	46	10	+36	open	—	01-01 19:42
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	10	$53	104	0	+104	open	—	01-11 19:56
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	10	$51	48	3	+45	open	—	01-07 02:04
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	10	$50	45	6	+39	open	—	01-26 07:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	03-12 16:09
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	12	$48	85	0	+85	open	—	01-14 11:25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	02-01 17:11
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	9	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	02-09 14:28
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	9	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	02-05 11:44
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$44	20	25	-5	open	—	03-12 16:04
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	10	$43	50	0	+50	open	—	02-03 18:02
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$43	800	0	+800	open	—	03-12 16:06
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	10	$42	552	0	+552	open	—	01-06 23:12
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	9	$42	45	0	+45	open	—	02-09 16:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$42	61	0	+61	open	—	03-01 01:01
btc updown 5m 1773828300	4	$40	130	0	+130	open	—	03-18 10:07
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	8	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	02-13 19:33
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	8	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	01-13 07:37
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	8	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	02-01 11:31
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	7	$36	61	0	+61	open	—	01-11 16:51
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	7	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-16 13:20
will a black spoon win season 2 of culinary class wars	8	$31	35	0	+35	open	—	01-12 03:23
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	9	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	01-04 10:28
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	01-12 15:25
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	6	$29	25	8	+17	open	—	01-13 03:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	02-05 15:20
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	5	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	02-02 23:30
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	4	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	03-12 16:03
will drake maye win the 202526 nfl mvp award	7	$26	35	0	+35	open	—	02-05 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 09:32:00	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x43cfc0…
04-24 09:31:52	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x99474a…
04-24 09:31:32	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6f05e0…
04-24 09:31:26	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x21f9e6…
04-24 09:30:58	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x67d685…
04-24 09:30:34	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x3560e3…
04-24 09:30:26	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x428b2c…
04-24 09:30:10	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xfe3194…
04-24 09:27:42	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x32d866…
04-24 09:27:34	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x811a26…
04-24 09:27:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd1342e…
03-18 10:31:19	btc updown 5m 1773829800	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5ca6cb…
03-18 10:23:53	btc updown 5m 1773829200	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x54fed9…
03-18 10:22:51	btc updown 5m 1773829200	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x41441c…
03-18 10:07:51	btc updown 5m 1773828300	Up	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x67f028…
03-18 10:07:49	btc updown 5m 1773828300	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x94de2f…
03-18 10:06:41	btc updown 5m 1773828300	Up	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0xf93f8f…
03-18 10:06:41	btc updown 5m 1773828300	Up	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xe616a9…
03-12 16:31:51	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xb88a09…
03-12 16:26:51	Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x783adf…
03-12 16:24:31	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xd3febe…
03-12 16:23:51	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x62002d…
03-12 16:22:33	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf13650…
03-12 16:20:27	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf9fffd…
03-12 16:20:07	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xb0bd45…
03-12 16:16:27	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x5efef2…
03-12 16:10:47	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x047132…
03-12 16:09:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x5d1921…
03-12 16:06:05	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$43	0x783064…
03-12 16:04:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x2257af…
03-12 16:04:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xe14d73…
03-12 16:03:33	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0xde939d…
03-12 16:01:01	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	1,200	44¢	$528	0x49641c…
03-12 15:55:59	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x9e1bb0…
03-12 15:55:25	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x06ba10…
03-12 15:55:11	will zootopia 2 win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x0f0e02…
03-03 02:03:09	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9663e6…
03-02 23:59:39	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xab6c5a…
03-02 23:32:05	will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7bf5a7…
03-02 23:18:11	trump sued over tariff powers again by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf80b20…
03-02 21:08:01	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2716ea…
03-02 20:12:57	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x551bc1…
03-02 14:55:49	will marty supreme win best production design at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5f5b75…
03-02 14:53:45	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef2f2b…
03-02 14:39:53	will sirt win best sound at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x389991…
03-02 14:26:07	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x578843…
03-02 05:47:09	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdf4940…
03-02 01:54:45	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe3d5b5…
03-02 00:59:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xced346…
03-01 23:08:21	will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce5986…
03-01 22:40:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d5fc4…
03-01 22:27:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x590f4f…
03-01 21:17:45	will green left win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2708d7…
03-01 20:21:53	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcde67f…
03-01 20:12:11	cs2 3dmax pain 2026 03 01	paiN	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xee026b…
03-01 15:05:01	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0528bb…
03-01 13:42:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x94d29d…
03-01 11:24:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x184b64…
03-01 10:30:21	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb3965d…
03-01 09:43:33	will south africa win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4d3ba3…
03-01 09:41:45	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 90 114	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7303f7…
03-01 08:54:49	will west indies win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0b99ac…
03-01 08:27:29	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xed8b15…
03-01 08:13:29	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x601ea0…
03-01 07:59:05	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e0a33…
03-01 07:30:47	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc1940e…
03-01 06:48:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x73e3db…
03-01 06:34:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x89f88b…
03-01 04:27:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x926d75…
03-01 03:47:55	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0d0dd2…
03-01 03:18:29	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa55f7f…
03-01 02:50:35	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x71f14e…
03-01 02:36:51	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81ce65…
03-01 02:22:59	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 60m and 65m	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0328a8…
03-01 01:55:35	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x404f12…
03-01 01:52:17	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 65 89	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfb3a40…
03-01 01:37:03	will trump deport 500000 750000 people	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc80074…
03-01 01:14:53	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 140 164	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d122f…
03-01 01:01:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x6f3db4…
03-01 00:47:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4f91bf…
03-01 00:33:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x2835a2…
03-01 00:06:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x31ecde…
02-28 23:52:37	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x01751e…
02-28 23:39:07	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x443275…
02-28 23:25:31	will chlo zhao win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x171034…
02-28 23:11:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x21f887…
02-28 21:48:37	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf679bf…
02-28 21:07:15	epl lee mac 2026 02 28 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x64c3e4…
02-28 20:35:23	Will the US strike Mexico next?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ceae3…
02-28 20:11:51	scop dfc hib 2026 02 28 dfc	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe86b7c…
02-28 18:46:41	lal ray bil 2026 02 28 ray	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x853efd…
02-28 18:32:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba4497…
02-28 18:03:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1cf6a3…
02-28 17:35:29	Will the US strike Yemen next?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf34b9f…
02-28 17:21:41	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe109ba…
02-28 16:54:07	elc por hul 2026 02 28 por	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x406cb9…
02-28 15:58:47	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4a553…
02-28 15:31:05	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa58eb5…
02-28 15:07:39	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b60fc…
02-28 14:49:33	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcba762…