Excellent-Loophole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

113

Trades

2,931

lifetime

Volume

$8.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 06-09 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 35% $-51

Other

6% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 879 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No		-9	$-5	76¢	$-7	$-2	05-28 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1775196300	16	$235	297	253	+44	open	—	04-03 06:10
eth updown 5m 1775286600	19	$177	171	160	+10	open	—	04-04 07:15
eth updown 5m 1775321700	6	$127	82	81	+1	open	—	04-04 16:59
btc updown 5m 1775320800	4	$104	77	55	+22	open	—	04-04 16:44
xrp updown 5m 1775187300	5	$89	59	59	+0	open	—	04-03 03:40
eth updown 5m 1775310600	9	$76	169	82	+87	open	—	04-04 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	5	$74	44	40	+4	open	—	05-17 09:40
btc updown 5m 1775184300	5	$73	80	80	+1	open	—	04-03 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	11	$73	95	40	+56	open	—	05-18 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	7	$70	48	47	+2	open	—	05-18 11:55
btc updown 15m 1775269800	7	$69	112	104	+8	open	—	04-04 02:45
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	14	$66	100	48	+53	open	—	05-24 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	10	$65	40	39	+1	open	—	05-18 12:19
btc updown 5m 1775318700	3	$61	42	40	+1	open	—	04-04 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$61	45	45	+0	open	—	05-18 11:28
btc updown 5m 1775310900	6	$60	107	0	+107	open	—	04-04 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$59	59	29	+29	open	—	05-18 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$53	59	30	+29	open	—	05-17 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$51	83	0	+83	open	—	05-18 12:20
eth updown 5m 1775279100	4	$50	65	0	+65	open	—	04-04 05:10
btc updown 5m 1775308200	5	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	04-04 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	12	$49	42	31	+11	Up	+$22	05-06 07:40
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$48	61	36	+25	open	—	05-17 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$47	32	32	+0	open	—	05-17 09:52
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$47	35	34	+1	open	—	05-17 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$46	29	28	+1	open	—	05-17 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$46	45	44	+1	open	—	05-24 08:55
doge updown 5m 1775196300	7	$46	30	29	+1	open	—	04-03 06:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	11	$44	28	28	+0	Down	+$10	05-07 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$44	5	60	-55	open	—	05-17 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:11:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	57	7¢	$4	0xc53875…
06-09 14:11:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x8d9713…
06-09 14:11:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x39ca63…
06-09 09:40:04	xrp updown 5m 1780997700	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfdf29e…
06-09 09:40:01	sol updown 5m 1780997700	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x84ef93…
06-09 08:45:01	xrp updown 5m 1780994400	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc532d2…
06-09 08:44:55	xrp updown 5m 1780994400	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xf11003…
06-09 08:44:55	xrp updown 5m 1780994400	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xbf0d2d…
06-09 08:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780991700	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x596b90…
06-09 08:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780991700	Up	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x502a0a…
06-09 06:59:58	xrp updown 15m 1780987500	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x992a91…
06-09 06:55:07	bnb updown 5m 1780987800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7e1645…
06-09 06:55:07	bnb updown 5m 1780987800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2fb21e…
06-09 06:55:00	bnb updown 5m 1780987800	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x472313…
06-09 06:30:04	bnb updown 15m 1780985700	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x900b52…
06-09 06:25:01	eth updown 5m 1780986000	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa016c6…
06-09 06:25:00	eth updown 5m 1780986000	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd859cc…
06-09 06:15:04	hype updown 5m 1780985400	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xa066e2…
06-09 05:15:00	btc updown 15m 1780981200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x088549…
06-09 03:10:00	xrp updown 5m 1780974300	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x909cc8…
06-09 03:05:04	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa3316a…
06-09 03:05:01	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa6025e…
06-09 03:05:01	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x61a103…
06-09 03:05:00	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfe94ad…
06-09 03:05:00	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xc74592…
06-09 03:05:00	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5377cb…
06-09 03:05:00	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x44c852…
06-09 03:05:00	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x32d159…
06-09 03:05:00	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2e9301…
06-09 03:05:00	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x1262b2…
06-09 03:05:00	bnb updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x046bb4…
06-09 03:04:58	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xde81b0…
06-09 03:04:58	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3264e6…
06-09 02:54:40	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x263052…
06-09 02:54:16	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x3de13a…
06-09 02:53:19	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x3c98a9…
06-09 02:50:01	hype updown 5m 1780973100	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x16d63f…
06-09 02:49:57	hype updown 5m 1780973100	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf0b778…
06-09 02:10:00	xrp updown 5m 1780970700	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x918714…
06-09 02:09:58	xrp updown 5m 1780970700	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3082fb…
06-09 02:09:58	xrp updown 5m 1780970700	Down	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x0e294d…
06-09 02:00:01	eth updown 15m 1780969500	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5097a4…
06-09 02:00:00	hype updown 5m 1780970100	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x632f75…
06-09 01:59:58	eth updown 15m 1780969500	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7de317…
06-09 01:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780969500	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x908b00…
06-09 01:50:00	hype updown 5m 1780969500	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x468b82…
06-09 01:29:57	eth updown 5m 1780968300	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa4f7d6…
06-09 01:20:03	xrp updown 5m 1780967700	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2da695…
06-09 01:19:55	xrp updown 5m 1780967700	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x47f52c…
06-09 01:10:03	btc updown 5m 1780967100	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x98ad0e…
06-09 01:10:01	btc updown 5m 1780967100	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xad4bf4…
06-08 23:55:03	bnb updown 5m 1780962600	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3bf3c6…
06-08 23:55:00	bnb updown 5m 1780962600	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x743037…
06-08 22:54:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x5a33cc…
06-08 22:35:01	doge updown 5m 1780957800	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb34c7b…
06-08 21:50:03	hype updown 5m 1780955100	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xba63c2…
06-08 21:50:03	hype updown 5m 1780955100	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x19abd3…
06-08 21:50:00	hype updown 5m 1780955100	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xcd090b…
06-08 21:50:00	hype updown 5m 1780955100	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7d98d8…
06-08 21:50:00	hype updown 5m 1780955100	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x481484…
06-08 20:55:01	btc updown 5m 1780951800	Up	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0xd6e411…
06-08 20:34:57	bnb updown 5m 1780950600	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x368752…
06-08 20:28:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xe04175…
06-08 20:00:03	doge updown 5m 1780948500	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xecd9d7…
06-08 20:00:01	doge updown 5m 1780948500	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x7d820b…
06-08 20:00:01	doge updown 5m 1780948500	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x3a1984…
06-08 19:15:01	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x23d847…
06-08 19:14:55	btc updown 5m 1780945800	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc3d8a5…
06-08 16:59:57	bnb updown 5m 1780937700	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9d27bf…
06-08 16:59:54	bnb updown 5m 1780937700	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf7aa49…
06-08 16:45:04	doge updown 5m 1780936800	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac188a…
06-08 16:44:58	doge updown 5m 1780936800	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x4242dc…
06-08 16:44:57	doge updown 5m 1780936800	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe293ad…
06-08 15:24:58	eth updown 5m 1780932000	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xaa9c76…
06-08 15:24:57	eth updown 5m 1780932000	Up	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xfa9178…
06-08 15:24:57	eth updown 5m 1780932000	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xcc062d…
06-08 15:24:57	eth updown 5m 1780932000	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0x9c6a60…
06-08 13:45:01	sol updown 5m 1780926000	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0fd8c9…
06-08 13:44:58	sol updown 5m 1780926000	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb6633e…
06-08 13:44:54	eth updown 5m 1780926000	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa21dce…
06-08 13:39:55	eth updown 5m 1780925700	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x78c35e…
06-08 13:39:55	eth updown 5m 1780925700	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x105935…
06-08 13:39:54	eth updown 5m 1780925700	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x20f10d…
06-08 12:20:03	sol updown 5m 1780920900	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x67b4d7…
06-08 12:20:00	sol updown 5m 1780920900	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe4c403…
06-08 11:49:57	hype updown 5m 1780919100	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x857518…
06-08 10:45:04	bnb updown 5m 1780915200	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe9d8fc…
06-08 10:45:00	bnb updown 5m 1780915200	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf1d642…
06-08 10:45:00	bnb updown 5m 1780915200	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x63396d…
06-06 23:49:57	btc updown 5m 1780789500	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6b1799…
06-06 19:35:04	xrp updown 5m 1780774200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x40934e…
06-06 19:35:01	xrp updown 5m 1780774200	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7e422e…
06-06 19:34:58	xrp updown 5m 1780774200	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5870f0…
06-06 17:05:03	doge updown 5m 1780765200	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xecc054…
06-06 17:04:55	doge updown 5m 1780765200	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xef58eb…
06-06 15:55:03	sol updown 5m 1780761000	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x541d07…
06-05 20:00:01	sol updown 5m 1780689300	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x813aed…
06-05 19:59:57	sol updown 5m 1780689300	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1f6f2f…
06-05 19:59:54	sol updown 5m 1780689300	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc565e4…
06-05 19:44:57	sol updown 5m 1780688400	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc31ea1…