Tough-Dedication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$626

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 09-20 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

56% 50% -$1,676

Crypto

44% 33% -$3,668

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$7.7K	6,854	6,854	+0	No	-$3,675	06-01 12:07
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$3.3K	2,202	2,202	+0	No	+$298	09-20 09:42
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$2.6K	1,437	1,437	+0	No	+$235	06-01 02:36
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$2.1K	1,143	1,143	+0	No	+$142	06-01 02:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$1.1K	2,071	0	+2,071	No	-$1,150	05-23 20:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$700	1,112	0	+1,112	No	-$700	05-23 20:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$500	761	0	+761	No	-$500	05-23 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$457	310	310	+0	Up	+$157	05-10 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$150	299	0	+299	Down	-$150	05-10 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 09:42:21	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	852	82¢	$695	0x916e58…
09-20 09:42:21	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	196	82¢	$160	0x62f75f…
09-20 09:42:21	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	351	82¢	$286	0x300ab8…
09-20 08:49:39	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	803	82¢	$658	0xfa9d6b…
06-08 21:53:21	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	777	64¢	$500	0x6cd0a5…
06-01 12:07:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,252	22¢	$277	0xd44b41…
06-01 12:06:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,267	30¢	$1,280	0x26ae76…
06-01 12:06:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,334	36¢	$476	0x92e073…
06-01 02:53:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,673	90¢	$1,500	0x554e51…
06-01 02:36:12	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,437	100¢	$1,435	0xe77f6c…
06-01 02:35:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,235	89¢	$1,100	0x554624…
06-01 02:30:41	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,143	100¢	$1,142	0x3e7856…
05-31 23:08:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,633	86¢	$1,400	0xbe79ef…
05-29 15:48:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	913	77¢	$700	0xf11303…
05-24 01:12:01	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	599	83¢	$500	0x9a4690…
05-24 01:11:30	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	359	83¢	$300	0xfa4c24…
05-24 01:10:23	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0xcfbd32…
05-24 01:10:08	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0x4ce1de…
05-23 20:56:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	761	66¢	$500	0x0b0c56…
05-23 20:53:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	616	65¢	$400	0xd84167…
05-23 20:52:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	61¢	$300	0xe4152f…
05-23 20:38:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,071	56¢	$1,150	0xce47a4…
05-18 05:13:20	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,143	88¢	$1,000	0x5b6d06…
05-18 03:55:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,425	70¢	$1,001	0x475238…
05-18 03:30:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,400	72¢	$1,008	0xb35510…
05-10 23:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	310	99¢	$307	0x35938c…
05-10 23:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0xf9660e…
05-10 23:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x23a573…
05-10 23:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x7c6c71…
05-10 23:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x20c007…