Rundown-Conspirator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-16 22:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% 100% +$1

Politics

34% 0% $-4

Sports

19% 0% $-1

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No		+7	$4	37¢	$2	$-2	07-16 22:04
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes		+2	$2	95¢	$2	+$0	06-20 03:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	04-27 00:05
putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	07-05 22:06
will neuralinks valuation hit high 52pt5 by july 31 20260629184735356	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	07-01 17:06
will msft reach 435 in july 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-01 14:30
bkfibaqaf sen mad 2026 07 04	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-02 03:05
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$4	9	+9	Yes	$-4	04-27 19:03
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 31 2026 20260630182730909	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	07-12 23:05
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	07-02 05:04
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	07-16 22:04
will pltr reach 129 by june 29 2026	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	07-01 14:30
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-19 17:07
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	07-12 00:05
will trump post on truth social 20 times on july 4 20260629184051838	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	07-02 18:04
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	04-27 19:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-28 08:04
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	07-01 21:07
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-26 13:03
will trump speak to xi jinping in june	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	06-04 04:04
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	04-26 12:47
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-20 03:05
will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260612212743966	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	06-17 13:06
Evo Morales arrested by June 30?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-01 09:05
will kai havertz score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926128	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	06-19 09:05
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-20 16:04
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-03 03:04
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-01 23:04
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-02 11:05
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-03 21:06
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-26 12:47
will ryan gravenberch score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	06-14 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 22:04:26	Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x527a9e…
07-12 23:05:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 31 2026 20260630182730909	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x64e342…
07-12 00:05:47	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x0121ce…
07-05 22:06:11	putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xc06e21…
07-02 18:04:31	will trump post on truth social 20 times on july 4 20260629184051838	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2a1af0…
07-02 05:04:55	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x556f34…
07-02 03:05:04	bkfibaqaf sen mad 2026 07 04	Senegal	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x59528e…
07-01 21:07:40	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe8e8f9…
07-01 17:06:47	will neuralinks valuation hit high 52pt5 by july 31 20260629184735356	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x106c4c…
07-01 14:30:56	will pltr reach 129 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc46408…
07-01 14:30:55	will msft reach 435 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc789cc…
06-20 03:05:56	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x78b99c…
06-19 09:05:05	will kai havertz score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926128	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x54ebe4…
06-17 13:06:19	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260612212743966	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xcbdfa0…
06-16 15:05:53	pltr above 134 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4d14f4…
06-16 14:07:35	Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x540a60…
06-14 13:04:04	will ryan gravenberch score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x33e0a2…
06-09 17:06:00	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09 nrfi	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8541d3…
06-09 05:05:24	mlb lad pit 2026 06 09 nrfi	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x47976e…
06-05 21:07:19	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x24e077…
06-05 02:05:22	will joshua kimmich score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9134a1…
06-04 04:04:18	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x47b14e…
06-03 21:06:55	Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x3f51de…
06-03 18:07:39	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $310?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0ec344…
06-03 03:04:30	Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x94969c…
06-02 11:05:21	Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x4de94c…
06-01 23:04:37	Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x91da2b…
06-01 09:05:47	Evo Morales arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x4eeb31…
06-01 08:05:47	Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x88e8ec…
05-20 16:04:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd7c2cd…
05-19 17:07:35	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x373b37…
04-28 08:04:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xaf1272…
04-27 19:03:22	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xedf062…
04-27 19:03:20	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xcf0da6…
04-27 00:05:06	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x72d3ec…
04-26 18:19:22	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xe1c82d…
04-26 16:52:56	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x690701…
04-26 15:07:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x125025…
04-26 13:07:08	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x18fdc2…
04-26 13:03:16	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x674bdc…
04-26 12:47:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x2c2538…
04-26 12:47:40	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x078c3b…
04-26 12:47:38	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x93b79a…
04-26 12:25:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa368d…