Ornery-Craw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

224

Trades

1,286

lifetime

Volume

$7.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-17 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-49

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	11	$289	213	181	+32	open	—	04-30 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	18	$264	856	523	+333	open	—	04-30 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$171	162	162	+0	open	—	05-19 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	13	$135	180	96	+84	open	—	04-30 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	5	$126	151	74	+77	open	—	04-30 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	7	$104	102	63	+38	open	—	05-01 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$99	89	69	+19	Down	+$39	05-12 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	5	$76	94	44	+50	open	—	04-30 07:22
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	8	$76	109	89	+20	open	—	04-30 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$68	59	59	+0	Down	+$48	05-11 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$62	57	30	+27	open	—	04-30 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	5	$60	75	75	+0	open	—	05-01 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$60	89	48	+40	open	—	04-30 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	10	$59	56	43	+13	open	—	05-01 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$57	68	43	+26	open	—	04-30 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$57	75	56	+18	open	—	05-01 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$55	85	0	+85	Up	+$30	05-12 04:34
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	11	$53	81	55	+26	open	—	05-16 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$50	201	0	+201	Down	$-50	05-12 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Up	$-50	05-12 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-19 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$50	29	29	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 17:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	5	$49	243	51	+192	open	—	05-01 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$44	25	25	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	7	$44	31	26	+5	Up	+$1	05-04 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	04-30 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$41	34	13	+21	Up	+$2	05-07 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	05-20 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$40	31	21	+10	Up	+$10	05-07 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	05-01 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 17:52:55	xrp updown 15m 1784310300	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x7579dd…
07-17 17:50:18	eth updown 15m 1784310300	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xeee103…
07-17 17:49:54	eth updown 15m 1784310300	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc7e371…
07-17 17:48:39	xrp updown 15m 1784310300	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x31999a…
07-17 17:46:18	xrp updown 15m 1784310300	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3ed5d7…
07-17 17:37:40	xrp updown 15m 1784309400	Up	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xdc60d5…
07-17 17:36:43	xrp updown 15m 1784309400	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xf5a2b5…
07-17 17:31:25	xrp updown 15m 1784309400	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xeb9807…
07-14 14:50:34	solana up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x4cc885…
07-14 14:40:32	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x8aa87c…
07-14 14:36:32	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x657389…
07-14 14:36:23	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$2	0xfb2645…
07-14 14:35:17	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3dfb26…
07-14 14:35:07	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe8b624…
07-14 14:33:52	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3baca9…
07-14 14:33:07	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xaf2024…
07-14 14:26:13	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x0391ec…
07-14 14:17:02	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x8f0f06…
07-14 14:16:34	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcfc065…
07-14 14:12:37	bnb updown 15m 1784037600	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x890272…
07-14 14:05:55	hype updown 15m 1784037600	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x44f95f…
07-14 14:01:40	hype updown 15m 1784037600	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf5b670…
07-13 15:21:38	xrp updown 15m 1783955700	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6876da…
07-13 15:06:53	hype updown 15m 1783954800	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x6c7110…
07-13 15:02:04	hype updown 15m 1783954800	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x96e307…
07-13 14:47:40	hype up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x33556c…
07-13 14:14:16	hype up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa0709f…
07-13 14:09:34	hype up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9f9987…
07-09 17:06:22	sol updown 15m 1783616400	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x176785…
07-09 17:05:31	sol updown 15m 1783616400	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x078ce2…
07-09 17:03:46	sol updown 15m 1783616400	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x2f369c…
07-09 16:54:34	xrp updown 15m 1783615500	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x1990de…
07-09 16:47:25	xrp updown 15m 1783615500	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xec7132…
07-08 19:03:46	sol updown 5m 1783537200	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e5f8e…
07-08 08:16:08	xrp updown 5m 1783498500	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x780e93…
07-08 08:12:50	xrp updown 15m 1783497600	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaed949…
07-08 07:23:41	doge updown 15m 1783494900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x74dbf5…
07-08 06:51:31	doge updown 15m 1783493100	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfd09d5…
07-08 06:41:14	doge updown 15m 1783492200	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x7809e8…
07-08 06:33:31	doge updown 15m 1783492200	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x75b5ae…
07-08 06:33:19	doge updown 15m 1783492200	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xf8c152…
07-08 06:32:53	doge updown 15m 1783492200	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xea212d…
07-08 06:29:08	doge updown 5m 1783491900	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa9c706…
07-08 06:22:19	xrp updown 5m 1783491600	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6db7d6…
07-08 06:14:22	sol updown 5m 1783491000	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x25a1f6…
07-08 06:11:56	sol updown 5m 1783491000	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaefa33…
07-04 13:39:44	sol updown 5m 1783172100	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f46ba…
07-04 12:12:19	bnb updown 15m 1783166400	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x08af83…
07-04 12:11:22	bnb updown 15m 1783166400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x206242…
07-04 12:02:32	bnb updown 15m 1783166400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x235724…
07-04 11:44:49	doge updown 5m 1783165200	Up	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xe48112…
07-04 11:44:38	doge updown 5m 1783165200	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xa1af2e…
07-03 17:23:44	sol updown 5m 1783099200	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe774d0…
07-03 17:08:43	sol updown 15m 1783098000	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb260a3…
07-03 16:54:26	sol updown 15m 1783097100	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5290bf…
07-03 16:54:02	sol updown 15m 1783097100	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xd208f8…
07-03 16:53:26	sol updown 15m 1783097100	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa53e6e…
07-03 08:44:56	solana up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x1257e6…
07-03 08:40:32	sol updown 15m 1783067400	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x373481…
07-03 08:37:05	sol updown 15m 1783067400	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x80bc60…
07-03 08:34:35	sol updown 5m 1783067400	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x561306…
07-03 08:33:29	sol updown 5m 1783067400	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x0fbfad…
07-03 08:32:50	sol updown 5m 1783067400	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x83cc97…
07-03 08:32:13	sol updown 5m 1783067400	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xf17529…
07-03 08:31:29	sol updown 5m 1783067400	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3913a2…
07-03 08:27:35	sol updown 15m 1783066500	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x252d4b…
07-03 08:27:10	sol updown 15m 1783066500	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x06105d…
07-03 08:13:19	sol updown 15m 1783065600	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x1cf79f…
07-03 08:06:58	sol updown 15m 1783065600	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x05617c…
07-03 07:18:26	xrp updown 5m 1783062900	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xc593bb…
07-02 21:03:19	sol updown 5m 1783026000	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x3cf120…
07-02 21:01:20	sol updown 5m 1783026000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc1d572…
07-02 20:57:28	solana up or down july 2 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3fdbee…
07-02 20:55:56	solana up or down july 2 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6a4a8e…
07-02 20:49:07	sol updown 5m 1783025100	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc49369…
07-02 20:45:04	solana up or down july 2 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$3	0x9c5073…
07-02 20:15:19	solana up or down july 2 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9f89bc…
07-02 20:10:46	sol updown 15m 1783022400	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x1d5a72…
07-02 20:07:46	sol updown 15m 1783022400	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6f63ae…
07-02 20:03:49	sol updown 5m 1783022400	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6dd21d…
07-02 20:01:43	sol updown 5m 1783022400	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe98d73…
07-02 19:50:14	solana up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x7c7c0f…
07-02 19:47:11	solana up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xc938e4…
07-02 19:33:20	solana up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x395585…
07-02 19:32:31	solana up or down july 2 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5fadb3…
07-02 19:29:22	sol updown 15m 1783019700	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1c563e…
07-02 19:26:22	sol updown 15m 1783019700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x64b571…
07-02 19:18:32	sol updown 5m 1783019700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab4624…
07-02 19:13:17	sol updown 15m 1783018800	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x6a22df…
07-02 19:11:32	sol updown 15m 1783018800	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x85bada…
07-02 19:11:16	sol updown 15m 1783018800	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x72eaf0…
07-02 19:11:07	sol updown 15m 1783018800	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2635e5…
07-02 19:10:41	sol updown 15m 1783018800	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xfcfc99…
07-02 19:07:01	sol updown 15m 1783018800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b9921…
07-02 19:04:11	sol updown 5m 1783018800	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x3ae95a…
07-02 19:02:32	sol updown 5m 1783018800	Down	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x4e96a8…
07-02 19:01:56	sol updown 5m 1783018800	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3de5ea…
07-02 18:55:46	sol updown 15m 1783017900	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9582b0…
07-02 18:53:47	sol updown 5m 1783018200	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf86079…
07-02 18:53:08	sol updown 5m 1783018200	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0xcd63b6…