Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$169

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-14 01:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

78% 51% -$6

Politics

18% 64% +$3

Tech

4% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	2	$5	9	+9	Yes	$0	08-30 17:28
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 10:09
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-16 10:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-18 12:22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-14 06:23
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-09 19:36
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	10	+10	No	+$8	09-15 18:16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-10 05:03
will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-19 17:13
spy up or down on september 17 2026	1	$2	11	+11	Up	-$2	09-17 06:25
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 14:07
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-27 12:48
wti closes above 82 on august 13 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-13 11:15
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-16 02:22
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 06:55
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-14 22:28
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-17 14:54
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-24 17:25
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-17 17:41
will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	08-14 07:48
will pltr reach 177 by august 17 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-20 19:29
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-07 23:26
will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-13 22:12
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-11 01:49
will nvda reach 236 by august 10 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 22:51
will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$5	08-17 06:18
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-28 21:41
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-03 15:19
spy up or down on august 11 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-11 01:48
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-19 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 01:54:49	meta close above 750 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7e33b8…
10-11 05:09:06	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb68b8b…
10-10 19:34:09	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9a3683…
10-10 19:26:34	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x838001…
10-06 20:07:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0013d3…
10-05 12:06:35	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa52f27…
10-04 23:32:28	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2ca61c…
09-27 10:04:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x42c81c…
09-27 02:04:06	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x09ef6c…
09-26 09:19:44	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe36aca…
09-21 22:21:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x03f3dd…
09-21 14:19:48	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x142b12…
09-18 12:22:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf9dac6…
09-17 17:41:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x191ec0…
09-17 06:25:06	spy up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x7f7262…
09-16 10:23:37	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xc2ef8d…
09-16 02:22:03	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa44039…
09-15 18:16:24	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x6fe7d0…
09-15 09:23:16	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xba7c63…
09-14 22:28:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xeab6c3…
09-14 14:25:06	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6cbdaf…
09-14 06:23:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x211558…
09-13 22:12:52	will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0119d9…
09-11 06:42:45	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x06acd6…
09-10 22:37:30	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5300c4…
09-10 13:06:52	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xef4b3d…
09-10 05:03:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2f9882…
09-09 19:36:04	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x99c27d…
09-09 11:35:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xceff6d…
09-08 14:07:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5e4e5e…
09-07 23:26:21	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2feed0…
09-07 17:01:00	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xd8c393…
09-03 15:19:48	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd866f1…
09-02 06:35:09	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb38b21…
09-01 18:57:36	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x401ffd…
09-01 09:49:07	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x01c59b…
08-31 01:32:21	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 13 2026	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6df9d8…
08-30 17:28:37	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc78a8b…
08-30 09:15:25	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2b89ac…
08-29 23:02:06	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd63c25…
08-29 22:59:40	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x047344…
08-29 14:23:36	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xee02fb…
08-28 21:41:39	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6a156c…
08-27 12:48:12	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x8cac80…
08-27 04:46:18	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x4360ca…
08-25 05:27:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6f9375…
08-24 17:25:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xf49d33…
08-24 09:02:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc96ac9…
08-24 01:01:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5cab1c…
08-24 01:00:39	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xef4265…
08-23 09:54:24	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in august 20260731154203515	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xac6d33…
08-23 01:34:27	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xd3f76c…
08-21 13:29:55	will nvidia say cosmos during earnings call	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x924c03…
08-21 05:11:22	xauusd up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x00e915…
08-20 19:29:48	will pltr reach 177 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x5cb246…
08-19 17:13:43	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x6b2862…
08-19 02:09:49	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x334fb0…
08-18 16:44:12	will nvda reach 240 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xde7db0…
08-18 06:55:46	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf86f1d…
08-17 22:54:52	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb5b0b3…
08-17 14:54:19	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xe79c6a…
08-17 06:19:30	will abnb dip to 176 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2f0813…
08-17 06:18:27	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x8f064f…
08-16 22:16:46	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x26c0b8…
08-16 13:31:03	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 0pt49	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0cfc9e…
08-14 07:48:49	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x46f68e…
08-13 19:17:09	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during remarks in New York?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x1402b8…
08-13 11:15:30	wti closes above 82 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xfbc873…
08-13 03:07:54	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xa6adeb…
08-12 18:12:31	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1616d8…
08-12 10:09:34	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x99d4cc…
08-12 02:00:24	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x36016a…
08-11 10:48:43	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x300824…
08-11 01:49:46	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xcd3e41…
08-11 01:48:34	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xc2235e…
08-10 15:12:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7acd51…
08-10 06:51:48	will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9e7298…
08-09 22:51:24	will nvda reach 236 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x61231b…
08-09 10:55:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe83db8…
08-09 02:55:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x43d0eb…
08-08 18:54:22	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe44c4b…