Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$861

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

496

Trades

1,803

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 04-27 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

55% 52% -$320

Politics

25% 56% -$597

Crypto

19% 84% +$38

Sports

1% 57% +$19

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	37	$867	635	622	+13	No	+$85	03-20 23:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$813	481	481	+0	No	+$15	03-20 23:47
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	22	$657	639	263	+376	No	-$485	04-05 17:17
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	11	$625	663	0	+663	Yes	+$38	03-16 14:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$500	255	255	+0	Yes	+$1	03-09 02:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	20	$444	263	275	-12	Yes	+$7	02-23 13:30
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	6	$331	366	0	+366	Yes	+$35	03-04 01:20
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	4	$258	134	134	+0	No	+$6	03-20 23:56
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	5	$213	249	0	+249	No	+$36	03-16 19:57
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	14	$210	115	115	+0	No	$0	02-23 13:30
house passes massie khanna war powers resolution by march 13 231	2	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$4	03-08 22:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$200	227	0	+227	No	+$27	03-16 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	11	$193	100	97	+3	No	-$1	03-01 21:45
will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	3	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$7	02-25 10:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	6	$190	116	116	+0	Yes	-$2	02-23 13:30
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	18	$176	113	125	-12	No	-$1	02-25 10:18
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	11	$140	175	0	+175	No	-$140	03-16 18:12
us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	3	$134	43	93	-50	No	+$0	02-25 10:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	8	$124	71	71	+0	No	$0	02-23 13:38
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$110	61	61	+0	No	+$10	03-20 23:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$105	57	57	+0	No	+$6	03-08 22:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$105	57	57	+0	No	+$6	03-04 11:01
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	21	$105	98	50	+48	Yes	-$1	02-27 23:07
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	5	$104	56	56	+0	Yes	+$5	02-23 13:29
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	1	$99	109	0	+109	No	+$10	03-05 14:55
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	1	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	+$10	03-05 14:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$73	77	0	+77	No	+$4	02-18 12:37
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	6	$73	75	0	+75	No	+$2	02-16 15:16
nba den okc 2026 02 27	9	$72	81	29	+52	Thunder	-$14	02-28 06:30
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$69	106	0	+106	Yes	-$69	02-17 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xf577ea…
04-27 20:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xbc600d…
04-27 16:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x6f184d…
04-27 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x2872f3…
04-27 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x92146c…
04-27 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xa97452…
04-27 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc92f85…
04-27 05:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0b43fa…
04-27 05:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x35c740…
04-27 00:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x38b0ca…
04-27 00:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x4fa801…
04-27 00:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x8b2485…
04-27 00:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x43f20d…
04-26 23:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xac4507…
04-26 22:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x35b853…
04-26 22:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x330bd8…
04-26 22:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0d9767…
04-23 22:54:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xf9e87e…
04-23 22:54:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x6861ec…
04-23 22:39:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xc242d7…
04-23 22:38:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x4a1e4b…
04-23 21:09:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x43c07f…
04-23 21:09:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x86cd01…
04-23 20:27:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x2d7903…
04-23 20:26:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xbdd6d9…
04-23 19:54:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x10543c…
04-23 18:39:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x7bb1a6…
04-23 18:39:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x2a3a4d…
04-23 18:26:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xa19e46…
04-23 18:26:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x205133…
04-23 18:08:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x3c0cef…
04-23 18:08:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa28ffb…
04-23 17:38:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x89c956…
04-23 17:38:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf895c1…
04-23 17:23:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x4295b4…
04-23 17:23:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xd65c2d…
04-23 16:26:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x09a7b3…
04-23 15:56:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xc49c3c…
04-23 15:56:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x1040c4…
04-23 15:10:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x7120a4…
04-23 14:53:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x295267…
04-23 14:53:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x27857b…
04-23 14:38:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x996e42…
04-23 14:38:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa75444…
04-23 13:55:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x844156…
04-23 13:55:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x406553…
04-23 12:55:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xd925a7…
04-23 12:55:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x1854db…
04-23 12:42:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xcdc0cb…
04-23 12:10:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xb9343a…
04-23 12:10:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xa1cf4b…
04-23 11:09:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$14	0x764d0d…
04-23 09:39:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x14a34e…
04-23 07:39:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xef588b…
04-23 04:11:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x13a44f…
04-23 04:11:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x111e52…
04-23 04:10:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xd654a2…
04-23 03:40:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x18c599…
04-23 03:38:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x24ba97…
04-23 03:09:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xb65c36…
04-23 03:09:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xd88e5a…
04-23 01:26:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x3b3e91…
04-23 01:08:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$12	0xb66235…
04-23 01:08:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xe768cd…
04-22 22:56:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x870360…
04-22 22:55:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x6dac53…
04-22 20:38:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x6bbf52…
04-22 20:38:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xc21aed…
04-22 20:09:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x953b7a…
04-22 19:53:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x22a64f…
04-22 19:53:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x8b906e…
04-22 15:57:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd7b9b0…
04-22 15:56:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x1fe04a…
04-22 14:40:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x81adf5…
04-22 14:40:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa21c53…
04-22 14:12:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1f3ea6…
04-22 13:53:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x258c9e…
04-22 13:42:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe6a09c…
04-22 13:42:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x213acb…
04-22 13:24:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x610b92…
04-22 13:23:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x06ca9d…
04-22 12:42:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x7fc605…
04-22 11:54:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x5a9c54…
04-22 11:54:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x82ebc3…
04-21 21:24:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x6baeb3…
04-21 21:24:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x9ee5b0…
04-21 19:54:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x880839…
04-21 19:10:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x089370…
04-21 19:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x23d24f…
04-21 18:40:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x276b21…
04-21 18:23:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x21f619…
04-21 18:23:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xc3b85d…
04-21 17:38:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0x210090…
04-21 17:38:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x4d94cb…
04-21 16:39:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x6a6e22…
04-21 16:39:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xf6d2de…
04-21 16:24:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x7b5258…
04-21 16:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$12	0xb43a07…
04-21 16:10:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x25b5c9…
04-21 16:10:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xb4761d…