Insidious-Crepe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

4,753

Trades

21,366

lifetime

Volume

$96.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-30 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% -$1,950

Other

0% 33% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 1483 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:35 UTC	150	$762	1,233	469	+764	Up	+$12	07-28 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:35 UTC	127	$654	971	327	+644	Down	-$227	07-28 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:20 UTC	129	$598	910	260	+650	Down	+$265	07-28 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:05 UTC	119	$597	963	407	+556	Down	-$122	07-28 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:25 UTC	137	$572	979	413	+566	Up	+$35	07-28 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:55 UTC	111	$570	896	349	+546	Down	+$57	07-28 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:45 UTC	120	$564	933	362	+571	Down	+$57	07-28 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:35 UTC	105	$556	815	262	+553	Down	-$22	07-28 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:25 UTC	104	$500	798	289	+509	Down	-$26	07-28 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:20 UTC	75	$498	655	125	+530	Up	+$10	07-28 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:15 UTC	133	$491	883	0	+883	Down	-$95	07-28 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:55 UTC	91	$491	728	229	+499	Down	+$12	07-28 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:15 UTC	94	$474	840	0	+840	Down	-$84	07-28 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:45 UTC	96	$465	745	280	+465	Up	+$30	07-28 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:50 UTC	105	$465	726	206	+520	Down	+$51	07-28 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:30 UTC	99	$459	750	229	+521	Up	+$73	07-28 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	134	$456	1,247	0	+1,247	Down	-$202	05-02 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 19:10 UTC	108	$455	745	265	+480	Down	+$28	07-28 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:40 UTC	102	$455	810	329	+481	Up	-$1	07-28 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	97	$444	743	55	+688	Up	-$81	07-28 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:25 UTC	87	$441	658	177	+481	Up	+$19	07-28 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:30 UTC	110	$436	812	266	+546	Down	-$83	07-28 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:05 UTC	66	$417	527	96	+431	Up	-$384	07-29 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:05 UTC	68	$413	650	0	+650	Down	-$64	08-07 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:40 UTC	77	$407	591	172	+419	Up	+$20	07-28 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:25 UTC	78	$396	612	192	+420	Down	+$18	07-28 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:20 UTC	81	$394	611	207	+404	Down	+$17	07-28 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:55 UTC	94	$391	635	240	+395	Down	-$20	07-28 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:10 UTC	78	$377	620	239	+381	Down	-$3	07-28 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:30 UTC	62	$352	502	291	+211	Up	-$200	07-28 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5cdd5c…
10-30 13:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x3a5344…
10-30 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xb42017…
10-30 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x63c05d…
10-30 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x243377…
10-30 11:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x43ed10…
10-30 10:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0xdda2f9…
10-30 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x173e19…
10-30 10:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x805105…
10-30 09:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x739340…
10-30 09:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9effb2…
10-30 08:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0xf72287…
10-30 07:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x3313d1…
10-30 05:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xf56f25…
10-30 05:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7f57aa…
10-30 04:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x5408d9…
10-30 04:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xd74b81…
10-30 04:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x7e0c2d…
10-30 04:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xfa5af3…
10-30 03:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x293e89…
10-30 03:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x9b6e8f…
10-30 03:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9d57d8…
10-30 03:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x094340…
10-30 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x8bd9a0…
10-30 03:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x703145…
10-30 02:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x24aaf8…
10-29 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xf831d2…
10-29 21:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4b9c79…
10-29 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x78f218…
10-29 20:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x1b8ca8…
10-29 17:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xa67277…
10-29 16:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1e81e…
10-29 15:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x660809…
10-29 15:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xea34e8…
10-29 14:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x44e3f6…
10-29 14:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x319513…
10-29 13:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x743b86…
10-29 13:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x29b260…
10-29 13:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3d7cab…
10-29 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xe9f050…
10-29 09:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xac47bf…
10-29 04:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x583d94…
10-29 03:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x9a3e31…
10-29 02:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x30a293…
10-29 01:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8ee908…
10-29 00:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa0bcea…
10-28 21:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xef0cfc…
10-28 20:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa9883c…
10-28 20:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xb44529…
10-28 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xabd65a…
10-28 19:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3ea5b9…
10-28 17:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x07616d…
10-28 17:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xa65cfd…
10-28 13:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xc29b77…
10-28 12:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8d0fc8…
10-28 12:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab33b3…
10-28 10:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5a47cc…
10-28 09:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x124ed6…
10-28 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x711891…
10-28 01:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x52c55c…
10-28 00:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9c21a0…
10-28 00:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x919425…
10-27 22:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xcc3556…
10-27 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xa64b8e…
10-27 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x728ae1…
10-27 12:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x75e139…
10-27 09:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x396a6c…
10-27 08:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xe65a18…
10-27 06:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x57676a…
10-27 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xc31cd6…
10-27 03:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x077737…
10-27 02:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8952d5…
10-27 00:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf8d266…
10-26 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x2b60fd…
10-26 20:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9c759f…
10-26 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xb94876…
10-26 18:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x05b571…
10-26 17:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0f5fe6…
10-26 17:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x940db0…
10-26 17:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x934262…
10-26 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xa9cb26…
10-26 16:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xf3f242…
10-26 16:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xdd7e7a…
10-26 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x67c319…
10-26 14:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$4	0x5a0efb…
10-26 14:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x846e68…
10-26 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x705ab2…
10-26 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x41b84b…
10-26 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8906b9…
10-26 13:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x04bfb8…
10-26 13:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x2470eb…
10-26 13:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1aadae…
10-26 11:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x79d85a…
10-26 09:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x763c7c…
10-26 09:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe1192e…
10-26 09:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3dc4a8…
10-26 08:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x4ca09e…
10-26 08:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x52a3d6…
10-26 05:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3aca62…
10-26 03:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x4c7ed4…