Chubby-Fate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

874

Trades

2,557

lifetime

Volume

$7.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-25 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 74% -$48

Other

25% 89% -$19

Politics

1% 69% +$5

Sports

0% 70% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+11	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	07-01 11:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET	18	$42	43	43	+0	Up	+$4	05-30 23:27
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 0pt5	10	$40	20	20	+0	Over	+$1	07-02 01:11
dota2 vsn1 4iki 2026 06 22 game2	10	$39	20	20	+0	THE VISION	+$1	06-22 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET	11	$33	33	33	+0	Up	+$3	05-30 16:58
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 3pm et	10	$32	29	26	+3	Down	+$5	06-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	8	$32	33	32	+1	Down	+$2	06-03 06:08
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9am et	8	$31	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	06-04 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET	8	$30	29	28	+2	Up	+$1	06-03 07:03
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11am et	7	$30	30	27	+3	Down	-$1	06-04 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	9	$30	54	54	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	10	$29	29	29	+0	Down	+$2	06-01 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET	11	$28	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	8	$28	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	06-01 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1AM ET	8	$28	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	06-01 05:22
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7pm et	7	$28	30	25	+5	Up	-$3	06-04 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4AM ET	10	$27	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	06-01 08:28
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET	8	$27	556	16	+541	Down	-$6	06-02 14:51
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12pm et	7	$27	30	23	+7	Down	+$3	06-04 16:08
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 8pm et	7	$26	30	22	+8	Down	+$4	06-05 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	9	$26	30	19	+10	Down	+$4	06-01 10:24
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 11pm et	6	$26	29	22	+7	Up	+$4	06-05 03:01
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4pm et	6	$26	29	23	+7	Up	-$4	06-04 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET	11	$26	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	06-02 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET	6	$26	25	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-30 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET	9	$25	20	20	+0	Down	+$7	06-02 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	5	$25	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET	6	$25	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 22:14
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 7am et	6	$25	28	21	+7	Up	+$3	06-04 11:07
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12am et	7	$24	27	21	+7	Up	-$3	06-05 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	8	$24	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-31 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:48:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xf1bf2b…
10-25 16:49:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x31cc05…
10-04 21:48:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x83047e…
08-28 22:17:45	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	265	2¢	$5	0x89e5ce…
07-19 21:59:31	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x204903…
07-11 03:58:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfd0fc5…
07-10 22:44:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd13827…
07-10 17:30:19	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x27643b…
07-10 17:30:17	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x479df0…
07-10 12:59:35	dota2 l1ga liquid 2026 07 10	Team Liquid	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xca98c5…
07-10 07:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1207bb…
07-10 01:21:01	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcdbb0e…
07-09 15:49:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals achraf hakimi gte1	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x9fe14a…
07-09 15:49:13	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals achraf hakimi gte1	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x5936e2…
07-09 14:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2ea43b…
07-09 09:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x9a024c…
07-09 09:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xddcf21…
07-09 06:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb296a1…
07-09 06:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdd70ab…
07-09 03:33:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x86975b…
07-09 01:32:29	ethereum up or down july 8 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x14031a…
07-08 23:42:11	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x071058…
07-08 16:50:13	dota2 vg pari 2026 07 08	PARIVISION	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xedde12…
07-08 16:50:13	dota2 vg pari 2026 07 08	PARIVISION	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3ac45c…
07-08 12:25:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcf021d…
07-08 12:25:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6f5756…
07-08 00:22:10	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xea6508…
07-08 00:22:07	bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcf0f1b…
07-07 18:20:25	val tse pl 2026 07 07 game2	Pixel Lumina	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6a516a…
07-07 07:05:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 7?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x13dd1a…
07-07 07:05:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 7?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb0ed5b…
07-06 21:53:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-06 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x06c425…
07-06 21:53:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-06 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xda65f5…
07-06 17:01:37	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd2bcee…
07-06 17:01:32	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x709519…
07-06 07:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x256893…
07-06 07:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x600aec…
07-06 05:57:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfc8796…
07-05 22:46:47	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x367880…
07-05 22:46:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x816d96…
07-05 16:06:56	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3a1c56…
07-05 16:06:37	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa0b1a2…
07-05 16:06:16	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa29f4f…
07-05 16:06:02	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd92057…
07-05 16:05:49	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x715598…
07-05 15:23:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbe6603…
07-05 11:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc38b82…
07-05 07:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x379f0c…
07-05 07:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4f33f1…
07-05 02:25:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x4e7c50…
07-05 02:25:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe7cb6b…
07-05 01:53:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf0ae80…
07-04 22:13:40	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals michael olise gte2	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xea4fd5…
07-04 22:03:43	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x215fc1…
07-04 21:28:29	cs2 tricks nxt1 2026 07 04	Next UP	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5c792…
07-04 21:08:16	cs2 tricks nxt1 2026 07 04	Next UP	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x8aa366…
07-04 21:08:16	cs2 tricks nxt1 2026 07 04	Next UP	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x104f51…
07-04 19:33:10	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3f8b5a…
07-04 19:18:02	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals michael olise gte2	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x87b0c8…
07-04 19:17:56	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals michael olise gte2	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbfa15d…
07-04 18:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xda902f…
07-04 18:51:31	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x24a465…
07-04 18:51:25	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb8c95a…
07-04 18:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8d8dbe…
07-04 18:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3a6c30…
07-04 14:52:38	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa48832…
07-04 13:43:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4f567b…
07-04 13:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe2a2f2…
07-04 12:27:44	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x220f84…
07-04 12:22:19	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbc1dc4…
07-04 10:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x37408c…
07-04 06:22:38	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xceed2f…
07-04 05:27:19	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb84350…
07-04 05:27:14	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x87ebbb…
07-04 03:36:25	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x81c406…
07-04 00:15:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total away 1pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa21460…
07-04 00:11:04	Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3014ed…
07-03 23:41:10	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 4pt5	Cabo Verde	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc632be…
07-03 22:51:04	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbfe738…
07-03 22:39:04	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd1342d…
07-03 21:15:49	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 4pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x68a79f…
07-03 18:26:26	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbc18a0…
07-03 18:16:46	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x763634…
07-03 17:15:38	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x24094b…
07-03 17:15:23	Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb00c0b…
07-03 16:35:07	val fks1 jl 2026 07 03 game2	Joblife	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xdd0eeb…
07-03 15:20:02	Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x98d81c…
07-03 13:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x802a7d…
07-03 13:07:41	cs2 subtop don 2026 07 03	Donstu Esports	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2aa9aa…
07-03 12:38:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x6cdcd4…
07-03 12:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x53216b…
07-03 12:21:43	cs2 subtop don 2026 07 03	Donstu Esports	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xaf29c0…
07-03 12:21:38	cs2 subtop don 2026 07 03	Donstu Esports	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3d5daa…
07-03 11:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3be254…
07-03 11:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe4bc63…
07-03 09:39:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7166d8…
07-03 08:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc69851…
07-03 07:18:56	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x805eb5…
07-03 04:15:23	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb25181…
07-03 04:07:32	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd9f9ca…