Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$164

Unrealized P&L

-$58

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

350

Trades

1,759

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$17

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 09-27 01:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 68% -$818

Other

36% 47% +$1,492

Politics

6% 30% -$682

Tech

2% 100% +$174

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	+102	$5	10¢	$10	+$5	07-11 19:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+125	$35	4¢	$5	-$30	09-11 15:55
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+145	$19	1¢	$1	-$17	07-17 05:40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+186	$16	0¢	$1	-$15	09-02 00:01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+158	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-07 12:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	4	$1.2K	617	617	+0	No	+$53	08-09 15:52
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on September 1?	2	$697	747	0	+747	Yes	+$50	09-01 11:31
wti closes above 82 on august 12 2026	21	$641	509	251	+258	Yes	+$108	08-12 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	22	$436	616	0	+616	Up	-$116	09-10 14:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	10	$384	559	0	+559	Yes	+$174	07-31 07:35
wti up or down on august 11 2026	10	$381	585	0	+585	Up	+$204	08-11 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	18	$349	407	238	+169	Up	-$83	09-11 08:13
wti up or down on august 31 2026	1	$308	358	0	+358	Up	+$50	08-31 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	9	$306	188	188	+0	Down	+$66	09-11 10:13
wti closes above 85 on july 28 2026	1	$303	320	0	+320	No	+$17	07-28 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	13	$299	385	0	+385	Up	+$86	09-10 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	12	$282	332	98	+235	Up	+$44	09-10 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	17	$280	366	0	+366	Up	+$86	09-11 10:49
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	16	$279	1,392	0	+1,392	open	—	09-27 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	17	$277	346	116	+231	Down	-$4	09-10 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	15	$270	359	0	+359	Up	-$255	09-11 08:29
wti up or down on august 12 2026	15	$267	455	0	+455	Down	-$267	08-12 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	12	$262	173	173	+0	Up	+$2	09-11 05:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	13	$246	1,096	0	+1,096	Yes	-$246	08-10 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	15	$244	322	75	+247	Up	+$39	09-10 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	16	$243	291	150	+141	Down	-$6	09-10 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 10:35 UTC	13	$240	352	0	+352	Up	-$198	09-11 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	13	$230	311	0	+311	Up	+$81	09-10 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	14	$230	314	0	+314	Down	+$84	09-11 10:43
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 1?	1	$226	257	0	+257	Up	+$31	09-01 11:17
wti closes above 86 on august 31 2026	2	$222	200	200	+0	Yes	+$18	08-31 10:50
will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	11	$214	313	0	+313	Yes	+$99	08-08 13:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	6	$214	627	0	+627	Yes	-$214	08-10 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	11	$213	309	108	+202	Down	-$7	09-10 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	13	$213	296	42	+253	Up	+$46	09-11 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 01:01:38	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x77546c…
09-22 12:34:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	52	24¢	$12	0xdd6b38…
09-14 16:10:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x468155…
09-14 16:09:16	Spread: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC (-1.5)	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC	BUY	111	13¢	$15	0x4dae6e…
09-14 16:08:52	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xebad0f…
09-14 04:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x83b831…
09-14 04:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb781e4…
09-14 04:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7b32ec…
09-14 04:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x155191…
09-14 04:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x23d261…
09-14 04:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaeb028…
09-14 04:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5875a8…
09-14 04:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xd30b78…
09-14 04:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7ef2dc…
09-13 06:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xd47fd9…
09-13 06:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xaa589c…
09-13 06:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xd10145…
09-13 06:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x39e3c7…
09-13 06:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x84a9af…
09-13 06:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x3a010a…
09-13 06:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x915814…
09-12 15:15:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x3fcb93…
09-12 11:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6a2efe…
09-12 11:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xf3f035…
09-12 11:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe4d59b…
09-12 11:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x074403…
09-12 11:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xc893ca…
09-12 11:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x9cc35d…
09-12 11:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xaff858…
09-12 11:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x8fa9ea…
09-12 11:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x28b30b…
09-12 11:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x32310a…
09-12 11:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5d9250…
09-12 11:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb69013…
09-12 11:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	102	37¢	$38	0x6a3d0e…
09-12 11:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x4d2a19…
09-12 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa49fb3…
09-12 11:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x702a7d…
09-12 11:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x555d3b…
09-12 11:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd6870a…
09-12 10:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x3eec38…
09-12 10:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe3751a…
09-12 10:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x558320…
09-12 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6c8b90…
09-12 10:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xad4c5f…
09-12 10:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9a7ac3…
09-12 10:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe29cb6…
09-12 10:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x357727…
09-12 10:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5a09d5…
09-12 10:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb1dd6f…
09-12 10:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x8b72f0…
09-12 10:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xdd4b09…
09-12 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x79141e…
09-12 10:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x86c7db…
09-12 10:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7c8d4a…
09-12 10:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x4fd615…
09-12 10:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x4292ad…
09-12 10:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xbb739c…
09-12 10:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6f3cb2…
09-12 10:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x177290…
09-12 10:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x5777c2…
09-12 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xf6cdeb…
09-12 10:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x70d244…
09-12 10:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8498bc…
09-12 10:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xcb0225…
09-12 10:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2f2710…
09-12 10:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x032424…
09-12 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfc232f…
09-12 10:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5d28d9…
09-12 10:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa6cb65…
09-12 09:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5846b4…
09-12 09:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x739213…
09-12 09:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc21c1f…
09-12 09:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3a84cf…
09-12 09:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x605791…
09-12 09:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x985b6f…
09-12 09:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x64d1b3…
09-11 17:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x2b78a3…
09-11 17:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xd94fc3…
09-11 17:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xe6e585…
09-11 17:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x742cea…
09-11 17:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x4b92c2…
09-11 17:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x474dc7…
09-11 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x26ba52…
09-11 17:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa7052d…
09-11 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xd16109…
09-11 17:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x2e67ec…
09-11 17:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1d22e8…
09-11 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x57cef2…
09-11 17:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xfd7273…
09-11 17:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4765ab…
09-11 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x091c6c…
09-11 17:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xbc61ea…
09-11 17:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc5ef60…
09-11 17:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x377bdf…
09-11 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xda8ba4…
09-11 16:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x10a710…
09-11 16:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x59fb62…
09-11 16:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x3d2e16…
09-11 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x57f6bd…