Granular-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-09 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Other

36% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$2	92¢	$2	+$0	06-16 15:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$4.1K	2,555	2,555	+0	open	—	03-22 23:50
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$2.3K	1,389	1,384	+5	open	—	03-22 18:04
han duck soo in jail by january 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-04 10:57
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	02-16 15:17
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-16 15:13
Francavilla: Martin Krumich vs Gabriele Piraino	1	$2	3	0	+3	Martin Krumich	+$1	05-05 14:19
googl close above 350 on july 1 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-01 14:11
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felix Gill	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 13:23
will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 9	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-09 09:49
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-13 16:29
Madrid Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Camila Osorio	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-21 16:17
us bank failure by february 28	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-29 04:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-03 10:55
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 18	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-18 12:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-23 11:55
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-14 07:08
Cordoba: Juan Estevez vs Andrea Collarini	1	$1	2	0	+2	Andrea Collarini	+$0	05-12 15:35
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-19 14:16
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 09:49:40	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 9	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe6b91c…
07-01 14:11:11	googl close above 350 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x53294b…
06-16 15:13:31	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdfa46d…
05-19 14:16:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xea4e42…
05-12 15:35:16	Cordoba: Juan Estevez vs Andrea Collarini	Andrea Collarini	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x105cb6…
05-05 14:19:52	Francavilla: Martin Krumich vs Gabriele Piraino	Martin Krumich	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9f0b18…
04-28 13:23:02	Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felix Gill	Dalibor Svrcina	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x6610b2…
04-21 16:17:16	Madrid Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Camila Osorio	Camila Osorio	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x488716…
04-13 16:29:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xefa263…
03-23 11:55:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1f8f7c…
03-22 23:50:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	350	79¢	$277	0x1f7d2c…
03-22 23:48:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	714	79¢	$564	0x4aae1d…
03-22 23:45:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x42bbf6…
03-22 23:44:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x2a5f00…
03-22 23:41:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	127	79¢	$100	0x1be4da…
03-22 23:39:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,238	79¢	$978	0xd6a61b…
03-22 19:55:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x6d8763…
03-22 19:55:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x572142…
03-22 19:55:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x66d7b2…
03-22 19:03:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2,450	82¢	$2,009	0xe681ec…
03-22 18:31:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	105	81¢	$85	0xdf74d3…
03-22 18:30:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	105	81¢	$85	0xd266be…
03-22 18:04:03	cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	Purdue Boilermakers	SELL	1,384	97¢	$1,344	0x4024e3…
03-22 17:22:55	cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0x7c5c2f…
03-18 12:00:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 18	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7bf769…
03-10 11:49:13	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc824fe…
03-03 10:55:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3a8771…
02-16 15:17:45	another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x70a2ff…
01-29 04:32:56	us bank failure by february 28	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x38f263…
01-14 07:08:28	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x1dc04b…
01-04 10:57:49	han duck soo in jail by january 31	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xed9410…