Prudent-Wheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

1,653

Trades

4,309

lifetime

Volume

$123.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$514

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Other

87% 66% -$998

Politics

7% 84% -$90

Sports

4% 54% -$205

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% 65% -$57

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	+418	$276	57¢	$240	-$36	10-24 15:10
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	+135	$131	96¢	$129	-$2	10-25 21:38
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	+70	$43	100¢	$70	+$27	10-27 14:06
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$38	95¢	$38	$0	10-09 08:51
Discord IPO before 2027?	No	+20	$18	94¢	$19	+$0	10-22 21:08
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-24 09:45
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	-20	-$10	41¢	$-8	+$2	07-16 21:07
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	10-20 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	20	$1.9K	3,870	0	+3,870	No	+$5	03-23 23:39
wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17 total 163pt5	5	$1.8K	2,699	1,000	+1,699	Under	-$588	08-18 03:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	24	$1.7K	3,400	0	+3,400	No	+$7	03-20 17:04
will canada strike iran by march 31	36	$1.1K	2,348	0	+2,348	No	+$1	03-28 15:54
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	44	$1.1K	620	550	+70	open	—	10-27 14:06
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	30	$1.0K	505	505	+0	Yes	+$1	10-21 16:02
wnba tor wsh 2026 08 19 total 168pt5	10	$868	1,665	0	+1,665	Over	-$868	08-19 17:03
wnba tor dal 2026 08 12 total 183pt5	7	$819	972	0	+972	Under	-$47	08-13 01:32
wnba min las 2026 08 15 total 182pt5	8	$683	962	363	+599	Under	+$257	08-16 02:07
wnba conn las 2026 08 20 total 167pt5	2	$626	1,026	1,026	+0	Over	-$400	08-21 03:24
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	9	$619	600	600	+0	open	—	10-13 04:21
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 186.5	18	$616	800	500	+300	Over	-$16	08-23 23:43
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5	12	$613	949	0	+949	Under	-$86	09-23 01:27
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	14	$608	370	370	+0	Yes	-$33	10-16 14:46
Spain/USA vs. France/Germany	18	$604	917	679	+238	USA	-$12	09-13 18:13
Belgium vs. Germany/South Korea	14	$594	710	205	+505	Germany/South Korea	-$28	09-10 16:44
wnba min wsh 2026 08 21 total 164pt5	4	$544	838	838	+0	Over	-$243	08-21 23:44
wnba dal gsv 2026 08 17 total 162pt5	2	$538	599	0	+599	Under	+$61	08-18 03:23
wnba conn la 2026 08 22 total 167pt5	2	$536	559	0	+559	Under	+$23	08-23 02:34
wnba nyl chi 2026 08 18 total 179pt5	1	$532	1,025	0	+1,025	Under	+$493	08-18 12:22
wnba ind tor 2026 08 18 total 190pt5	2	$498	1,026	0	+1,026	Over	+$529	08-18 20:55
wnba por tor 2026 08 21 total 182pt5	12	$489	615	615	+0	Under	-$138	08-22 02:38
Nets vs. Wizards	18	$482	621	241	+380	Nets	-$94	10-13 01:13
wnba ind dal 2026 08 20 total 185pt5	1	$477	936	0	+936	Under	+$459	08-20 15:57
New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx	1	$476	700	0	+700	New York Liberty	-$476	09-18 17:07
wnba chi sea 2026 08 16 total 178pt5	1	$472	891	0	+891	Under	+$419	08-16 09:22
wnba sea nyl 2026 08 05	8	$467	300	200	+100	New York Liberty	+$13	08-06 00:53
wnba ind tor 2026 08 18 total 191pt5	6	$462	429	429	+0	Over	-$2	08-18 15:52
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 09 30 2026 32pt22	7	$449	300	200	+100	Yes	+$17	09-30 10:51
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$449	686	119	+567	No	-$240	09-23 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:45:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Stephen Colbert by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xc8786b…
10-27 14:14:30	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x3ef24b…
10-27 14:06:11	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x58193e…
10-27 13:43:30	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x51c83d…
10-27 01:49:27	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x2a10dd…
10-26 23:58:39	Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	65	74¢	$48	0xa88517…
10-26 20:25:42	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xadac7a…
10-26 20:04:23	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x932a67…
10-26 19:30:59	Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2673ff…
10-26 13:26:17	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0xf2a2c1…
10-26 12:12:48	Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6bbc37…
10-26 10:31:39	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xfecac7…
10-25 23:15:53	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x821d1a…
10-25 21:39:53	Will any former NBA player be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8c0698…
10-25 21:38:30	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x78beb2…
10-25 21:38:20	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xfa2a53…
10-25 14:04:11	Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x9b6a64…
10-25 10:54:27	Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x44e2c2…
10-25 10:11:27	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd6be98…
10-25 10:11:27	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x75f05f…
10-25 10:09:59	Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0xa31f38…
10-25 10:08:38	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x1cbae1…
10-25 09:34:09	Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x79d700…
10-25 09:10:59	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x59c3a4…
10-25 09:08:14	Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x834d69…
10-25 09:02:14	Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x60b25b…
10-25 08:48:15	Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xdc5c01…
10-25 08:46:39	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xd2c9e1…
10-25 08:40:38	Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x4497cb…
10-25 03:03:45	Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x592efa…
10-25 00:27:54	Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x13c923…
10-24 20:16:30	Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xcd4582…
10-24 17:32:20	Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x2345c3…
10-24 15:10:08	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xa570ff…
10-24 12:31:59	Will Con Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x933794…
10-24 10:36:23	Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x82b543…
10-24 09:45:12	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd0163c…
10-24 07:46:02	Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xac2653…
10-24 06:17:29	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x928e43…
10-24 05:41:03	Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x3672ea…
10-24 05:37:51	Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x85f174…
10-24 05:12:45	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x72e6ea…
10-24 03:24:48	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x90bd21…
10-24 03:23:57	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5ad569…
10-24 03:23:51	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x18eaa9…
10-24 02:59:45	Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xc2478e…
10-24 02:36:18	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xea6eed…
10-24 02:11:53	Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x682a84…
10-24 00:50:48	Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x29ad3a…
10-23 23:28:06	Will Merck (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x804385…
10-23 23:13:36	Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x2837e8…
10-23 23:00:39	Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x59f363…
10-23 22:59:14	Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6452b9…
10-23 22:58:54	Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x6969a0…
10-23 22:54:59	Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x2aa5e6…
10-23 22:40:50	Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x325367…
10-23 22:09:03	Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x82950c…
10-23 22:02:56	Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x05e54d…
10-23 22:02:54	Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x675a9b…
10-23 22:00:29	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd2e125…
10-23 21:59:02	Will Rivian (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x67c027…
10-23 21:53:41	Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xf1227c…
10-23 21:50:20	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x9a28ae…
10-23 21:46:00	Will Chipotle (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x63ec68…
10-23 20:43:15	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe5105e…
10-23 20:27:57	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	560	5¢	$28	0x49844a…
10-23 19:04:17	Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	416	14¢	$58	0x18d220…
10-23 18:12:47	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x85c9fe…
10-23 16:56:41	Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xc0aa50…
10-23 15:21:12	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x725f91…
10-23 15:08:57	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8e2a35…
10-23 15:08:47	Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x0fe23c…
10-23 14:56:27	Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x6cf562…
10-23 12:57:32	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x711016…
10-22 23:51:06	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa70966…
10-22 23:37:32	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$116	0x8c38d5…
10-22 23:37:26	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x85c8c0…
10-22 23:36:00	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x843a9a…
10-22 22:14:08	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x08f98c…
10-22 21:08:14	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x934efe…
10-22 18:52:18	Rippling IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0561e8…
10-22 17:20:11	Will SS&C (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x47b463…
10-22 16:36:33	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe45bd5…
10-22 02:16:12	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x4d2623…
10-21 19:30:02	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc6b6f8…
10-21 17:06:15	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x303b04…
10-21 16:59:21	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf8ce28…
10-21 16:04:32	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x95345f…
10-21 16:02:20	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x75b858…
10-21 15:33:00	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x504e94…
10-21 14:21:14	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xbbb2eb…
10-21 14:19:06	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xc65636…
10-21 12:45:30	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x9dc2a7…
10-21 05:18:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x97d699…
10-20 22:38:51	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6a3d97…
10-20 18:17:48	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xedce59…
10-20 17:40:56	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5dffff…
10-20 16:58:36	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf2eafc…
10-20 16:58:36	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x6f6c00…
10-20 13:14:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x01c914…