Noted-Heyday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$280

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 46% $-30

Politics

10% — —

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	6	$51	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	12	$43	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$40	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 01:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$29	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	05-12 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	15	$15	331	0	+331	Down	$-15	05-13 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$11	24	7	+17	Up	$-3	05-13 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	7	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-13 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	8	$3	51	1	+50	Up	$-1	05-13 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-13 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 13:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-13 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-13 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-13 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$2	67	0	+67	Down	$-2	05-13 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-13 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-13 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-13 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-06 12:58
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1	$1	26	0	+26	Raphael Collignon	$-1	05-13 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-13 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x686bde…
05-13 14:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf8bc53…
05-13 14:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1af1fe…
05-13 14:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x72da61…
05-13 14:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x359fc4…
05-13 14:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f9723…
05-13 14:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x016d9a…
05-13 14:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x141b05…
05-13 14:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xc9f3ab…
05-13 14:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7625e8…
05-13 14:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc2a4db…
05-13 14:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x2d8bc7…
05-13 14:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xae24f3…
05-13 13:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd0fced…
05-13 13:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x870ae4…
05-13 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6dd389…
05-13 13:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x35f222…
05-13 13:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x50d2fd…
05-13 13:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x42e19a…
05-13 13:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x224460…
05-13 13:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x3b1156…
05-13 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc55e4a…
05-13 13:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x277cae…
05-13 13:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xaeb5ce…
05-13 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3aea11…
05-13 13:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xda0d99…
05-13 13:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xebd9b9…
05-13 13:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf78fe1…
05-13 13:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x18bff9…
05-13 13:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd10abf…
05-13 13:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x31ec1d…
05-13 13:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x2764c7…
05-13 13:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5284b7…
05-13 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x698638…
05-13 13:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb62e00…
05-13 13:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xba67ee…
05-13 13:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0b3c8d…
05-13 13:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7b1c13…
05-13 13:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf2c73d…
05-13 13:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x844495…
05-13 13:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc94ae0…
05-13 13:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x633486…
05-13 13:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xb7986c…
05-13 13:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2a6eea…
05-13 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf559b2…
05-13 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb6a325…
05-13 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xaaa663…
05-13 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x5c1380…
05-13 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x411564…
05-13 13:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2cf062…
05-13 13:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f7b69…
05-13 13:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6fd103…
05-13 12:50:14	Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux	Geoffrey Blancaneaux	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1a6b5c…
05-13 02:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa92bb1…
05-13 02:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4ac288…
05-13 02:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5f57f8…
05-13 02:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a4daf…
05-13 02:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x31a216…
05-13 01:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7954f3…
05-13 01:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfc785d…
05-13 01:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdab19c…
05-13 01:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4363d2…
05-13 01:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x228ee4…
05-13 01:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcdaa47…
05-13 01:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x084f53…
05-13 01:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4f2b5f…
05-13 01:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf2fd10…
05-13 01:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4fcc8a…
05-13 01:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x10262d…
05-13 01:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeb79cb…
05-13 01:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc54f4c…
05-13 01:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbc5882…
05-13 01:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x362f51…
05-13 01:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa4eb13…
05-13 01:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa99283…
05-13 01:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x55855e…
05-13 01:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd7dc71…
05-13 01:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xceef42…
05-13 01:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb1a2d4…
05-13 01:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x376094…
05-13 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9a7be9…
05-13 01:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xda7412…
05-13 01:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5a7a53…
05-13 01:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb4c251…
05-13 01:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa3b22f…
05-13 01:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x51b646…
05-13 01:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x36926d…
05-13 01:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2df9a9…
05-13 01:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc78785…
05-13 01:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc31449…
05-13 01:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa92f35…
05-13 01:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5a02f…
05-13 01:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x2b0af1…
05-13 00:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0cfa6a…
05-13 00:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x29775b…
05-13 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56c721…
05-13 00:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3d3ed8…
05-13 00:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7b2a77…
05-12 03:59:07	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	1,577	1¢	$9	0x833c17…
05-12 03:21:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,497	1¢	$10	0x079321…