Honored-Alternative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$996

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-12 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 12% +$23

Other

36% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$189	219	219	+0	Up	+$119	05-11 23:25
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	5	$189	976	379	+596	open	—	01-10 16:37
btc updown 5m 1773883800	3	$156	130	129	+1	open	—	03-19 01:35
btc updown 5m 1773883200	3	$61	81	52	+29	open	—	03-19 01:24
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	2	$49	103	103	+0	open	—	01-10 05:58
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	3	$41	304	304	+0	open	—	01-12 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$36	415	0	+415	Up	$-36	05-12 02:03
btc updown 5m 1773882900	2	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	03-19 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$32	103	0	+103	open	—	04-26 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$32	188	0	+188	open	—	04-26 03:33
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	4	$30	761	0	+761	open	—	01-10 06:04
btc updown 5m 1773884100	1	$28	104	0	+104	open	—	03-19 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$28	150	0	+150	Up	$-28	05-11 23:39
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	2	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	01-12 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$15	97	0	+97	Down	$-15	05-12 16:52
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	2	$13	59	59	+0	open	—	01-12 13:50
btc updown 5m 1773883500	2	$12	272	0	+272	open	—	03-19 01:29
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$10	141	141	+0	open	—	01-11 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$9	36	0	+36	Up	$-9	05-12 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Down	$-5	05-11 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$2	150	0	+150	Up	$-2	05-11 23:33
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-10 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-11 23:19
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	01-10 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 16:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x402c28…
05-12 16:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x395b12…
05-12 02:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0xe4634f…
05-12 02:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	225	4¢	$9	0xf7dc6f…
05-12 02:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x12e331…
05-12 02:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0x24f0e7…
05-11 23:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x0be996…
05-11 23:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x8d7a85…
05-11 23:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2badbc…
05-11 23:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb9681f…
05-11 23:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe1262…
05-11 23:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2a9440…
05-11 23:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa6d3b9…
05-11 23:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	188	66¢	$123	0xa4f4fc…
05-11 23:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	219	16¢	$35	0x1b8d6d…
05-11 23:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x99683d…
04-26 03:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	103	31¢	$32	0xe4b98b…
04-26 03:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	188	17¢	$32	0x6095da…
03-19 01:39:19	btc updown 5m 1773884100	Up	BUY	104	27¢	$28	0x7ab353…
03-19 01:35:31	btc updown 5m 1773883800	Up	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x143bea…
03-19 01:31:39	btc updown 5m 1773883800	Up	BUY	106	17¢	$18	0xbf03d0…
03-19 01:31:23	btc updown 5m 1773883800	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x66123f…
03-19 01:29:31	btc updown 5m 1773883500	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc81d42…
03-19 01:27:39	btc updown 5m 1773883500	Down	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xb1c150…
03-19 01:24:11	btc updown 5m 1773883200	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf84786…
03-19 01:23:47	btc updown 5m 1773883200	Down	SELL	52	78¢	$41	0xa338d6…
03-19 01:22:23	btc updown 5m 1773883200	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xe1220b…
03-19 01:20:01	btc updown 5m 1773882900	Down	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xa5f560…
03-19 01:19:09	btc updown 5m 1773882900	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x49ee17…
01-12 13:50:06	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	Yes	SELL	59	9¢	$5	0xb4dea3…
01-12 13:49:58	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xb7f510…
01-12 11:47:06	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xeaed61…
01-12 11:46:50	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	Yes	BUY	59	14¢	$8	0x4329fe…
01-12 11:20:40	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	Yes	SELL	304	6¢	$19	0x57b848…
01-11 20:03:16	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	141	4¢	$5	0x1815aa…
01-10 21:34:42	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	Yes	BUY	137	9¢	$12	0xf1bcd4…
01-10 21:06:16	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0xd54d7a…
01-10 21:06:04	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x625a14…
01-10 21:05:48	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x61a8e1…
01-10 21:02:46	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 90 114	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x768100…
01-10 16:37:48	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	Yes	BUY	277	4¢	$10	0xd2ab80…
01-10 16:36:44	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	Yes	BUY	319	3¢	$10	0xd288d5…
01-10 15:00:30	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	Yes	SELL	379	37¢	$141	0x8a51f7…
01-10 06:04:04	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xfd2274…
01-10 05:58:58	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	Yes	BUY	299	6¢	$17	0xf2d782…
01-10 05:58:40	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	Yes	BUY	125	14¢	$17	0xf827c4…
01-10 05:58:00	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	Yes	SELL	103	36¢	$37	0xf13108…
01-10 00:29:14	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	Yes	BUY	103	12¢	$12	0xdf8dd1…
01-10 00:28:58	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	Yes	BUY	254	4¢	$11	0x9af90b…
01-10 00:28:32	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	Yes	BUY	359	3¢	$9	0xecc0c4…
01-10 00:28:08	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x5f01cf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	15	$27.5K	6,192	05-12 16:55
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	15	$10.8K	2,484	05-12 16:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	15	$8.05K	649	05-12 16:53
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	14	$1.68K	392	05-12 16:54
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	13	$6.68K	270	05-12 16:52
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	13	$1.20K	161	05-12 16:50
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	12	$4.02K	1,005	05-12 02:14
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	12	$2.18K	437	05-12 02:14