Even-Derivative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

193

Trades

380

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-21 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

53% 20% -$166

Crypto

46% 31% +$83

Politics

1% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 13?	4	$129	212	154	+58	Yes	+$64	10-13 13:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 12?	3	$124	536	286	+250	Yes	+$65	09-12 09:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	2	$124	103	103	+0	No	+$80	03-23 07:50
Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 17?	2	$124	113	113	+0	No	+$54	10-16 19:12
highest temperature in paris on march 13 2026 12c	3	$101	89	89	+0	Yes	+$61	03-13 11:16
solana above 105 on october 14 2026	2	$101	135	135	+0	No	+$44	10-14 14:14
highest temperature in miami on march 13 2026 78 79f	5	$74	167	167	+0	Yes	+$42	03-13 18:31
highest temperature in miami on march 13 2026 80 81f	7	$61	115	115	+0	No	-$13	03-13 19:07
highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 17c	5	$59	142	142	+0	Yes	-$31	03-13 14:30
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 66 67f	3	$54	59	59	+0	No	-$6	03-13 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	2	$50	97	97	+0	Yes	+$5	10-18 15:42
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 44 45f	4	$44	137	10	+127	No	-$40	03-13 19:37
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 19?	2	$33	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	10-18 15:45
highest temperature in london on march 14 2026 11c	2	$32	26	26	+0	Yes	+$6	03-14 13:39
highest temperature in nyc on march 13 2026 40 41f	4	$32	39	39	+0	No	$0	03-13 19:35
highest temperature in dallas on march 14 2026 82 83f	3	$28	67	46	+21	No	-$15	03-14 22:02
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	5	$27	42	42	+0	Yes	-$1	03-13 19:14
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 15c	2	$24	91	0	+91	Yes	-$24	03-23 16:01
highest temperature in miami on march 27 2026 80 81f	2	$24	18	18	+0	No	$0	03-26 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 01:05 UTC	2	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$16	03-12 01:10
highest temperature in munich on march 14 2026 12c	2	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	+$3	03-14 12:01
highest temperature in miami on march 14 2026 84 85f	2	$22	18	18	+0	Yes	+$8	03-14 17:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	2	$22	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 16:57
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 13c	9	$20	119	119	+0	No	-$13	03-12 21:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?	3	$20	234	12	+222	No	-$1	09-13 15:17
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?	2	$19	23	23	+0	Yes	-$5	06-04 10:29
highest temperature in munich on march 14 2026 11c	2	$19	50	50	+0	No	-$11	03-14 09:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19?	1	$19	113	0	+113	Yes	-$19	09-18 19:47
solana above 100 on october 15 2026	1	$19	219	0	+219	Yes	-$19	10-15 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	5	$17	34	32	+2	Up	+$12	04-15 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 12:24:53	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 22?	No	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0xde8b99…
10-21 12:23:26	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 21?	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x1dd2c7…
10-20 14:45:14	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 21?	No	BUY	203	4¢	$9	0x5cd58f…
10-20 14:44:53	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 21?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xfc83ca…
10-18 15:45:00	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 19?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xd209bd…
10-18 15:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	97	28¢	$27	0x25516b…
10-18 00:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	97	23¢	$23	0xda3130…
10-17 20:35:26	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 19?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x76762a…
10-16 19:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	59	7¢	$4	0x6a3ae9…
10-16 19:13:22	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 17?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x072233…
10-16 19:12:19	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 17?	No	SELL	113	79¢	$89	0xbb6be2…
10-16 14:54:01	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 17?	No	BUY	219	3¢	$7	0x85ee44…
10-16 14:53:12	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 17?	No	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x710c56…
10-15 17:31:41	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 16?	No	BUY	147	7¢	$11	0x7ad6e3…
10-15 00:14:02	solana above 100 on october 15 2026	No	BUY	219	8¢	$19	0xecfe17…
10-14 16:20:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	No	BUY	53	18¢	$10	0x114c66…
10-14 14:14:45	solana above 105 on october 14 2026	No	SELL	135	54¢	$72	0xf7b8ae…
10-14 00:50:40	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 14?	No	BUY	135	21¢	$28	0x0662a8…
10-13 20:07:40	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 14?	No	BUY	374	4¢	$15	0x7dc490…
10-13 13:35:10	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 13?	No	BUY	58	23¢	$13	0x73034b…
10-13 00:29:03	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 13?	No	BUY	132	10¢	$13	0x669ba5…
10-13 00:19:26	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 13?	No	SELL	154	63¢	$96	0xc3d009…
10-12 17:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x35ac11…
10-12 16:57:42	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 13?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x867420…
10-12 16:57:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x787af1…
10-12 16:54:59	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 13?	No	BUY	87	10¢	$9	0xd972eb…
10-12 16:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x8f413e…
10-09 19:17:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0x85cc3e…
09-18 19:47:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19?	No	BUY	113	17¢	$19	0x005bf8…
09-13 15:17:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$9	0xbdaaa4…
09-13 10:19:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$9	0x80125b…
09-12 18:18:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13?	No	BUY	1,089	1¢	$16	0x7fa7c1…
09-12 14:58:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1af15a…
09-12 14:58:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 13?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xa2cebf…
09-12 14:44:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x08ef7c…
09-12 14:44:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x9a4a52…
09-12 09:32:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1915d0…
09-12 09:32:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 12?	No	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x5ec155…
09-12 00:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x4d7257…
09-12 00:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on September 13?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$9	0xa7f9b5…
09-11 23:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf3099d…
09-11 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe50733…
09-11 22:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x92a193…
09-11 22:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfc9645…
09-11 22:10:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 12?	No	SELL	286	33¢	$95	0xdf2527…
09-11 16:56:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 12?	No	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x2e3da0…
09-07 21:47:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x56877f…
09-07 17:17:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x692299…
06-04 10:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x17c10f…
06-04 10:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x801e2b…
06-04 10:29:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?	No	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0x28631f…
06-03 17:30:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 4?	No	BUY	23	55¢	$12	0x606f57…
06-03 17:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x8e9369…
06-03 17:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x4a682b…
06-03 16:55:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x260633…
06-03 16:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xefa94f…
06-03 16:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x46d4bf…
06-03 16:05:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x19e46c…
06-03 11:11:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x98b0e1…
06-03 04:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	SELL	147	0¢	$1	0xb8cec2…
06-03 04:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x6a4076…
06-03 04:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xfeb0a4…
06-03 04:22:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xc6645a…
06-03 03:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x8495b8…
06-03 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xe00507…
06-02 19:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$2	0x6efa2f…
06-02 19:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x67d760…
06-02 19:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xde3b7f…
05-04 13:33:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 4?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x6f2ad1…
05-04 13:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x085fb9…
05-04 13:32:22	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3fc964…
04-18 13:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xc41e1f…
04-18 13:32:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x286f72…
04-16 00:13:06	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0xcdbb73…
04-16 00:11:48	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa41f73…
04-16 00:11:40	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7c2c84…
04-15 21:23:32	highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xcaa554…
04-15 21:09:16	highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0x3203cc…
04-15 21:04:06	highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x61e58a…
04-15 20:49:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc86683…
04-15 20:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc70f85…
04-15 20:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x95a92e…
04-15 20:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf0a746…
04-15 20:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe6d4da…
04-15 20:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe5a90b…
04-15 20:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x55c226…
04-15 20:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x042cf0…
04-15 20:31:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x61b0ad…
04-15 20:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x188f82…
04-15 20:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x357ba7…
04-15 20:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x838bc2…
04-15 20:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3e29ee…
04-15 20:24:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaa028d…
04-15 20:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ac5d7…
04-15 20:23:22	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0xdfb102…
04-15 20:22:38	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 74forhigher	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xce6c56…
04-15 18:40:06	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe3baae…
04-15 18:39:56	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x194599…
04-15 18:26:16	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xda2294…
03-26 20:43:17	uef pol alb 2026 03 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x5759fa…