Perfumed-Pinot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

118

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$49

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-06 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$4

Politics

25% 89% +$1

Tech

12% 100% +$0

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes		+48	$46	98¢	$47	+$1	11-06 10:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+3	$2	82¢	$3	+$0	10-27 18:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	08-13 04:30
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	2	$73	37	37	+0	Yes	+$0	08-17 04:02
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	2	$66	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 13:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:05
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	1	$46	48	0	+48	open	—	11-06 10:40
laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	09-10 19:07
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	3	$42	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	09-04 08:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$0	10-05 00:25
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	08-05 11:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-10 13:29
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$36	38	0	+38	No	+$1	08-13 23:22
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$32	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	09-23 07:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-21 21:37
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	06-29 14:44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$27	59	59	+0	No	+$1	10-19 23:49
nvda above 190 on march 31 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	03-31 00:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	09-30 16:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	09-25 14:31
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	2	$17	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-01 04:05
will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-31 09:33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	10-16 16:52
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-25 12:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	08-26 16:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-29 11:13
will coin reach 195 in june 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-29 03:58
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	08-30 23:35
amzn above 180 on february 27 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	02-26 07:18
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-11 17:18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-30 10:21
amzn above 280 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-25 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:40:09	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xad6259…
10-27 18:03:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x80085b…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xb86a5d…
10-19 23:49:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xa848f1…
10-17 13:43:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xec58b9…
10-16 16:52:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x22d6d3…
10-15 09:03:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xa65b84…
10-13 13:11:35	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x6db48a…
10-13 06:11:49	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x99d366…
10-10 13:54:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8f3ff0…
10-08 17:17:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xefbd77…
10-05 00:25:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x799e51…
09-30 16:50:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x10054f…
09-30 14:05:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfcf186…
09-30 10:21:48	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3e739c…
09-29 11:13:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xffe19f…
09-28 20:46:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x37cdb4…
09-25 14:31:41	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfcf52d…
09-25 08:35:47	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbae484…
09-25 04:54:17	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xa9aac9…
09-23 07:59:02	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x91d88c…
09-22 16:59:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3b5e16…
09-22 12:21:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97aaa4…
09-10 19:07:16	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x3738ae…
09-04 08:54:09	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde50c8…
09-04 08:50:48	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf68f7b…
09-04 07:06:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4d75fd…
09-03 05:44:52	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xdd573e…
09-01 04:05:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc859d3…
08-30 23:35:28	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2f645…
08-27 03:16:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfbd4a4…
08-26 23:10:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b4a2d…
08-26 16:51:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xac10a6…
08-21 21:37:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x290ef0…
08-21 02:22:15	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x337080…
08-19 19:02:24	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d5ebe…
08-18 02:06:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x79dc6f…
08-17 19:48:01	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b6f36…
08-17 09:09:09	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2d7a35…
08-17 04:02:49	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xfded8d…
08-16 22:09:22	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x28661d…
08-16 13:24:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0bece…
08-13 23:22:19	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	38	97¢	$36	0xe8cbbe…
08-13 20:31:07	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99c026…
08-13 04:30:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x7df86a…
08-12 01:27:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xe79809…
08-10 13:29:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xf5714a…
08-07 15:19:06	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77e5ab…
08-05 11:46:57	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x7eb0b5…
08-05 01:34:35	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07f101…
07-31 09:33:11	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x779770…
07-31 03:38:54	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x490e85…
07-30 18:28:00	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x291257…
07-30 07:01:21	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x85c98c…
07-28 10:01:10	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x625f04…
07-28 04:50:03	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fa62f…
07-26 16:31:57	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa762b…
07-26 08:17:31	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f0af3…
07-25 21:50:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde025b…
07-25 18:35:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xecc6d4…
07-24 17:51:46	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xbccf63…
07-24 14:43:46	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8024fc…
07-24 06:22:13	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe8332d…
07-23 20:17:28	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x08c7cd…
07-20 22:42:51	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x07c58c…
06-29 14:44:23	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x59d533…
06-29 03:58:32	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc33aff…
06-28 01:56:43	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x36c9a0…
05-16 03:37:45	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x33b0f8…
05-14 00:52:15	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6b2885…
05-11 17:41:05	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbc58e2…
05-11 16:03:36	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7dea58…
05-11 02:00:29	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb23c8a…
05-09 14:48:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb31d80…
05-09 09:43:04	Will Solana dip to $30 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb61ba8…
05-08 14:54:10	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x688931…
05-08 10:15:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x455a99…
05-08 03:57:44	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa7673a…
05-06 03:11:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf76937…
05-05 23:10:42	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x25cc66…
05-05 11:33:08	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd34a76…
05-05 09:32:30	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x523dd0…
04-23 06:21:48	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2cba3…
04-21 08:04:22	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeb6f8b…
04-20 08:52:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xae9fa3…
04-19 18:23:54	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9ee0c8…
04-19 08:33:38	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4a03ff…
04-18 13:34:28	Will BNB dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x232ff3…
04-18 08:43:16	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x28dc67…
04-17 21:37:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfda43f…
04-17 07:01:00	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1a3411…
04-16 07:11:08	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x819aeb…
04-16 02:29:42	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe2629f…
04-15 09:46:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa2c165…
04-14 11:15:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd602b7…
04-06 05:45:01	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b60bb…
03-31 00:21:53	nvda above 190 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe89d8c…
03-27 17:16:59	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf35e15…
03-24 20:47:17	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c596a…
03-23 13:51:43	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76cc7c…