Frayed-Tusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

571

Trades

1,511

lifetime

Volume

$161.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$195

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-28 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

40% 30% -$7,653

Crypto

37% 57% -$2,231

Sports

13% 38% -$2,832

Politics

9% 50% -$9,731

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+394	$181	50¢	$195	+$14	10-28 13:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	5	$12.9K	12,105	12,105	+0	Yes	+$1,525	06-19 02:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$10.1K	5,050,000	0	+5,050,000	Yes	-$10,100	06-17 09:30
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	2	$6.0K	3,797	3,797	+0	Yes	-$38	06-19 23:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$4.5K	3,319	3,319	+0	No	+$457	05-26 16:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$4.0K	3,748	3,748	+0	Yes	+$224	05-26 16:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$3.1K	19,388	19,388	+0	open	—	05-11 15:43
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	4	$2.7K	2,260	2,260	+0	No	-$266	06-19 20:39
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 corners total 8pt5	6	$2.1K	1,984	1,984	+0	Under	+$120	06-19 23:26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	2	$2.0K	3,200	0	+3,200	No	-$2,000	06-21 23:26
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?	1	$1.7K	3,591	0	+3,591	No	-$1,700	06-22 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	8	$1.4K	833	671	+161	Down	-$35	05-26 20:00
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals vinicius junior gte1	2	$1.4K	856	856	+0	Yes	+$355	06-20 02:26
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	4	$1.3K	952	952	+0	Under	+$121	06-20 04:59
ufc lud tof 2026 08 01	5	$1.3K	926	926	+0	Tofiq Musayev	+$292	08-01 16:51
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	2	$1.3K	992	992	+0	Yes	+$314	06-19 20:56
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	2	$1.2K	1,190	1,190	+0	Japan	+$167	06-21 04:25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.1K	19,743	0	+19,743	No	-$1,101	06-21 05:09
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.1K	1,295	1,295	+0	Cabo Verde	+$83	06-21 23:25
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total away 0pt5	2	$1.0K	690	690	+0	Under	+$228	06-20 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:55 UTC	2	$1.0K	614	605	+9	Down	+$32	04-18 17:58
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$1.0K	1,185	1,185	+0	No	+$9	06-19 19:52
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	1	$1000	2,174	0	+2,174	Spain	-$1,000	06-21 15:04
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$983	847	847	+0	Yes	-$17	05-23 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:30 UTC	4	$965	648	634	+13	Up	+$46	04-18 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:10 UTC	4	$904	620	606	+14	Down	+$71	04-18 17:15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$902	2,505	2,578	-72	No	+$10	05-23 18:20
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 corners total 11pt5	2	$873	711	711	+0	Over	+$273	06-21 23:25
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?	2	$850	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$650	06-20 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$849	459	459	+0	Up	+$49	05-26 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:35 UTC	4	$840	519	512	+7	Up	+$0	04-18 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:08:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	117	48¢	$56	0xaae31d…
10-28 13:08:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	178	31¢	$56	0x034924…
10-28 10:59:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	278	45¢	$125	0xdf664a…
10-27 19:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcff342…
10-26 17:52:35	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,862	1¢	$10	0xe2abad…
10-26 17:52:27	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,990	0¢	$10	0xf48844…
10-26 17:52:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	437	23¢	$100	0x32c560…
10-26 17:50:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xb84b7e…
10-24 21:06:56	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xb8cd4e…
10-24 19:36:42	Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 4?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9402b6…
10-24 19:36:32	Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 3?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x9f53db…
10-24 19:36:24	Will Alexander Volkanovski win in Round 2?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xa1be6f…
10-24 19:34:14	Will Movsar Evloev win in Round 4?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0xcc7997…
10-24 19:33:47	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xa33f00…
10-24 19:31:44	Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x6835cd…
10-24 19:30:42	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xeb3277…
10-24 19:29:09	Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$147	0xf4bb8c…
10-24 19:11:00	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	201	49¢	$98	0x3b3384…
10-24 19:04:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	79	97¢	$77	0x907bb2…
10-24 19:01:48	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0xb50de0…
10-24 18:48:27	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0x9f168a…
10-24 18:32:33	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xfad566…
10-24 18:26:17	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	122	96¢	$118	0x4f4f03…
10-24 17:53:45	Will Losene Keita win in Round 2?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x6abd5e…
10-24 17:53:30	Will Aaron Pico win in Round 2?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xbd4d5b…
10-24 17:53:09	Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xb19923…
10-24 17:52:44	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x28ae7e…
10-24 17:48:11	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	122	58¢	$71	0xc9b4b2…
10-24 17:33:42	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf8bc7b…
10-24 17:33:17	Will Azamat Murzakanov win in Round 3?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2bca03…
10-24 17:23:09	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x218fca…
10-24 17:22:41	Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa32d13…
10-24 17:03:02	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x6a166c…
10-24 17:00:27	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	226	58¢	$131	0x067bbb…
10-24 16:59:00	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x67bc72…
10-24 16:58:23	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win in Round 1?	No	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xdd308d…
10-24 16:58:12	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win in Round 2?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x2d228a…
10-24 16:54:26	Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 1?	Yes	SELL	182	95¢	$173	0x92c912…
10-24 16:43:24	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x8e74c7…
10-24 16:39:26	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x57efa3…
10-24 16:38:54	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x49628d…
10-24 16:38:18	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x350d57…
10-24 16:33:50	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x50ee9d…
10-24 16:12:17	Will Grant Dawson win in Round 2?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8b9e49…
10-24 16:12:03	Will Grant Dawson win in Round 1?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8c8aa9…
10-24 16:10:35	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6bca6b…
10-24 16:08:21	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x922c21…
10-24 16:06:54	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0xd100e9…
10-24 15:55:32	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xc9f030…
10-24 15:52:24	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	SELL	243	23¢	$56	0x5ee3b5…
10-24 15:43:03	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x25bb9e…
10-24 15:42:29	Will Asaf Chopurov win in Round 2?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xe87717…
10-24 15:40:17	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf06cae…
10-24 15:38:56	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xb4aa1f…
10-24 15:37:35	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0xb71c88…
10-24 15:29:57	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x9c9802…
10-24 15:13:20	Will the fight end before Round 3?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x7c1625…
10-24 15:10:30	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xe0219e…
10-24 15:09:44	Will Abubakar Vagaev win in Round 1?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xf1516b…
10-24 15:06:08	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xf460f8…
10-24 15:05:56	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xa7c09b…
10-24 15:01:53	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Bolaji Oki	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xe204e9…
10-24 14:56:02	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	56	37¢	$21	0x800143…
10-24 14:46:41	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xed8d33…
10-24 14:45:27	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x377c26…
10-24 14:45:17	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Bolaji Oki	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x78a1a2…
10-04 00:32:04	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0xc7cc5b…
10-04 00:31:50	UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Khaos Williams	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x44a3fd…
10-04 00:29:40	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xdf671b…
10-03 23:47:56	Will Ateba Gautier win in Round 3?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x83554a…
10-03 23:47:32	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x89a7fc…
10-03 23:47:17	Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x2585ae…
10-03 23:43:16	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Imanol Rodriguez	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x055663…
10-03 23:42:59	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x99a1c8…
10-03 23:23:50	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Imanol Rodriguez	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x781fb0…
10-03 23:18:29	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9dee2b…
10-03 21:52:40	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x0be9c2…
10-03 21:37:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x68e1a8…
09-26 23:31:27	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	32	66¢	$22	0x4f8d65…
09-26 23:10:21	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x60e08e…
09-26 23:07:51	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9dbc66…
09-26 22:41:24	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x4915c6…
09-20 03:15:10	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	209	42¢	$88	0x4ebea7…
09-20 03:14:25	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	SELL	91	99¢	$91	0x61e469…
09-20 02:53:07	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0xad2a5b…
09-20 02:52:21	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xf790e6…
09-20 02:38:49	Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x5bab1f…
09-20 02:37:39	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Patricio Pitbull	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xec2ec6…
09-20 02:32:04	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x37dbec…
09-19 16:21:15	Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Coventry City FC?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfa732d…
09-19 16:20:08	Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 2 - 0 Coventry City FC?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x270452…
09-19 16:19:30	Liam Delap: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xda4b02…
09-19 16:18:24	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xab3bab…
09-19 15:55:06	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x46e7fa…
09-19 15:51:20	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	97	80¢	$78	0x364b77…
09-19 15:45:05	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x70d0fb…
09-19 15:41:23	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	77	22¢	$17	0xf53bba…
09-19 15:39:48	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x8c1a28…
09-19 15:27:36	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x294282…
09-19 15:20:47	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	81	28¢	$22	0x873ddd…