Dual-Depth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

16,127

Trades

21,296

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 6% -$1,529

Other

13% 2% -$37

Politics

4% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No		+0	-$25	4¢	$0	+$25	10-21 23:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on february 4	2	$1.3K	628	628	+0	No	+$1	02-04 08:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 19:45 UTC	56	$1.2K	1,018	944	+74	Down	+$154	01-22 19:48
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$1.2K	595	595	+0	No	+$2	02-01 23:43
bitcoin up or down february 5 2pm et	6	$1.1K	3,023	3,023	+0	Down	-$238	02-05 19:45
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$1000	502	502	+0	No	$0	01-19 07:01
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	2	$755	757	0	+757	No	+$2	01-01 12:35
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	7	$722	422	422	+0	No	+$119	10-01 03:59
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	3	$647	466	466	+0	open	—	10-29 17:34
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	6	$591	948	948	+0	open	—	10-21 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 19:00 UTC	1	$567	578	0	+578	Up	+$12	01-22 19:13
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$532	533	0	+533	No	+$1	01-30 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	3	$501	300	300	+0	Up	-$45	10-14 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET	8	$442	500	0	+500	Down	-$442	10-14 08:17
bitcoin up or down february 5 3pm et	2	$433	795	795	+0	Down	-$401	02-05 20:38
bitcoin up or down february 4 6am et	65	$429	870	0	+870	Down	+$41	02-04 11:36
bitcoin up or down january 20 6am et	20	$375	791	0	+791	Down	+$16	01-20 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1AM ET	16	$355	450	0	+450	Down	+$94	10-14 05:31
bitcoin up or down january 7 4am et	2	$350	350	0	+350	Down	+$0	01-07 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	38	$346	400	400	+0	Down	+$24	10-22 09:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	30	$329	300	300	+0	No	-$45	10-23 06:39
bitcoin up or down january 5 7am et	26	$213	356	356	+0	Down	-$22	01-05 12:34
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	3	$212	200	200	+0	open	—	10-28 15:37
bitcoin up or down january 8 4pm et	3	$202	106	106	+0	Up	+$2	01-08 21:39
bitcoin up or down january 23 4am et	1	$200	200	0	+200	Down	+$0	01-23 09:57
bitcoin above 98k on january 6	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-06 15:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 13:00 UTC	1	$200	200	0	+200	Up	+$0	02-02 16:50
bitcoin up or down january 1 4am et	19	$197	399	0	+399	Up	+$3	01-01 09:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-24 14:05
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	01-24 14:05
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$175	140	140	+0	Yes	+$15	09-10 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:34:53	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	458	69¢	$316	0xb97119…
10-29 17:01:31	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x61a7f4…
10-28 15:37:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0xddbf88…
10-27 13:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x9b039e…
10-23 17:10:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x526b33…
10-23 15:19:05	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x46e448…
10-23 06:39:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	271	47¢	$128	0x8fe7af…
10-23 06:39:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0x85c099…
10-22 19:38:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	466	70¢	$326	0xc185a0…
10-22 14:17:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x87378a…
10-22 14:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xafde12…
10-22 14:08:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x86d056…
10-22 14:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x303298…
10-22 14:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x00aad6…
10-22 14:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3e5865…
10-22 14:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xda35a2…
10-22 14:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x78f600…
10-22 13:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc5eb54…
10-22 13:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe832aa…
10-22 13:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa2f457…
10-22 13:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x10be30…
10-22 13:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x701e8d…
10-22 13:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x03ee44…
10-22 12:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x6072d1…
10-22 12:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb9365e…
10-22 12:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe367cb…
10-22 12:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa1cf72…
10-22 12:52:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcacb35…
10-22 12:52:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe65fd6…
10-22 12:52:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x45ac88…
10-22 10:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	83	63¢	$52	0xbb4165…
10-22 10:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xd85dfb…
10-22 09:48:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x748cde…
10-22 09:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd9521c…
10-22 09:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2c5bc2…
10-22 09:08:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8bbab8…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	72	43¢	$31	0xef1210…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe5c2a3…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0xd9cfbd…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xd808a4…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xcf4796…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xce664d…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xb5b09b…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0xaa921f…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa1d43f…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8c0203…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x8aebbd…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x6189d9…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x594c3c…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x40c0c0…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	41	43¢	$18	0x328fd6…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x1d1651…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x1c31fa…
10-22 09:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x0bfbd2…
10-22 09:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xecc2a1…
10-22 09:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x62aac1…
10-22 09:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x232c60…
10-22 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xf77eed…
10-22 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xe58a74…
10-22 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xd4b60f…
10-22 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb05893…
10-22 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	24¢	$11	0x8b39bc…
10-22 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x2f5a3c…
10-22 09:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2c2d4a…
10-22 09:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x82e602…
10-22 09:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x181514…
10-22 09:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	95	33¢	$31	0xe88e8b…
10-22 09:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1beb07…
10-22 09:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0xc80a99…
10-22 08:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x95fe01…
10-22 08:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8b48d3…
10-22 08:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x05382b…
10-22 08:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xd670e0…
10-22 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xfc87f3…
10-21 23:59:26	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	764	33¢	$252	0xfe2e3e…
10-21 22:48:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x4231fd…
10-19 17:09:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	170	30¢	$51	0x9fa822…
10-19 08:14:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xf55be5…
10-18 21:56:06	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	808	30¢	$243	0x9407bf…
10-18 21:55:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	140	29¢	$41	0x3d1121…
10-18 07:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd2405f…
10-18 07:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc44032…
10-18 07:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x6a10d0…
10-18 07:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x45feec…
10-18 07:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x7f5d28…
10-18 07:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x107c29…
10-18 06:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xf918d0…
10-18 06:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x8dec71…
10-16 06:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x122a40…
10-16 06:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x9befd5…
10-16 06:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x98bc91…
10-16 06:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xec599b…
10-16 06:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xad87a9…
10-16 06:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7e0d48…
10-16 06:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xb10df7…
10-14 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	88	88¢	$77	0xe61ad3…
10-14 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x479188…
10-14 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0x372946…
10-14 08:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0x7b4959…
10-14 08:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x52544b…