Quarterly-Contagion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

468

Trades

3,520

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-10 00:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 62% $-13

Other

2% 42% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$67	82	+82	open	—	05-26 02:48
bnb updown 5m 1780870800	1	$59	60	+60	open	—	06-07 22:24
eth updown 5m 1780871700	2	$59	60	+60	open	—	06-07 22:39
sol updown 15m 1780893900	1	$59	60	+60	open	—	06-08 05:00
xrp updown 5m 1780874400	2	$59	60	+60	open	—	06-07 23:24
hype updown 5m 1780879200	1	$59	60	+60	open	—	06-08 00:44
bnb updown 15m 1780875900	1	$59	60	+60	open	—	06-07 23:59
hype updown 15m 1780883100	1	$59	60	+60	open	—	06-08 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$35	41	+41	open	—	05-26 03:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$35	41	+41	open	—	05-25 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$35	41	+41	open	—	05-26 10:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$35	41	+41	open	—	05-26 00:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$35	41	+41	open	—	05-26 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$35	41	+41	open	—	05-26 05:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$35	41	+41	open	—	05-26 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$34	41	+41	open	—	05-26 10:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$34	41	+41	open	—	05-26 02:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$34	40	+40	open	—	05-25 16:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$34	41	+41	open	—	05-26 10:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$34	40	+40	open	—	05-26 13:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$34	43	+43	open	—	05-26 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$34	41	+41	open	—	05-26 12:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$34	42	+42	open	—	05-26 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$33	41	+41	open	—	05-26 03:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$33	41	+41	open	—	05-26 02:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$33	41	+41	open	—	05-25 09:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$33	40	+40	open	—	05-26 03:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$33	41	+41	open	—	05-25 15:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$33	41	+41	open	—	05-26 10:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$33	41	+41	open	—	05-26 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 04:03:04	eth updown 5m 1781064000	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1374cb…
06-10 04:02:03	eth updown 5m 1781064000	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb1babf…
06-10 04:00:24	eth updown 5m 1781064000	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x23bc65…
06-10 03:58:06	eth updown 5m 1781063700	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4eac06…
06-10 03:57:33	eth updown 5m 1781063700	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xf1e00a…
06-10 03:55:31	btc updown 5m 1781063700	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdee3f2…
06-10 03:55:22	eth updown 5m 1781063700	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7c6196…
06-10 03:54:54	eth updown 5m 1781063400	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0be5e0…
06-10 03:52:18	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf588ff…
06-10 03:51:00	eth updown 5m 1781063400	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x24bc23…
06-10 03:50:52	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x96d654…
06-10 03:50:51	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x41dd7e…
06-10 03:45:27	eth updown 5m 1781063100	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc0509c…
06-10 03:43:48	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeecff5…
06-10 03:43:18	eth updown 5m 1781062800	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xaa4c75…
06-10 03:41:06	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x373891…
06-10 03:40:52	eth updown 5m 1781062800	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8bf231…
06-10 03:40:46	eth updown 5m 1781062800	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x15ccc7…
06-10 03:40:40	btc updown 5m 1781062800	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4e8da2…
06-10 03:40:31	eth updown 5m 1781062800	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb69c0d…
06-10 03:36:30	btc updown 5m 1781062500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x823a5f…
06-10 03:36:24	eth updown 5m 1781062500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x607d54…
06-10 03:36:07	eth updown 5m 1781062500	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x35b38e…
06-10 03:35:22	btc updown 5m 1781062500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3b639e…
06-10 03:35:21	eth updown 5m 1781062500	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf3717e…
06-10 03:31:03	eth updown 5m 1781062200	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6f7b09…
06-10 03:30:46	btc updown 5m 1781062200	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd1f3ac…
06-10 03:30:19	eth updown 5m 1781062200	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6a793a…
06-10 03:30:18	btc updown 5m 1781062200	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc8eec3…
06-10 03:30:18	eth updown 5m 1781062200	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x638738…
06-10 03:26:10	eth updown 5m 1781061900	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9dddb8…
06-10 03:25:34	btc updown 5m 1781061900	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcb5c63…
06-10 03:25:24	eth updown 5m 1781061900	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x273ffb…
06-10 03:25:18	btc updown 5m 1781061900	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8efde2…
06-10 03:22:52	eth updown 5m 1781061600	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf0954a…
06-10 03:21:55	btc updown 5m 1781061600	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x61dced…
06-10 03:21:28	eth updown 5m 1781061600	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xf72e15…
06-10 03:21:28	eth updown 5m 1781061600	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3e2f52…
06-10 03:21:21	eth updown 5m 1781061600	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd8f2c5…
06-10 03:20:45	btc updown 5m 1781061600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1fe485…
06-10 03:20:27	eth updown 5m 1781061600	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbf2417…
06-10 03:17:33	eth updown 5m 1781061300	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa61870…
06-10 03:11:06	eth updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xef319d…
06-10 03:10:42	btc updown 5m 1781061000	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xee931e…
06-10 03:10:42	eth updown 5m 1781061000	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xac3cb2…
06-10 03:10:22	eth updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x17f1e0…
06-10 03:07:37	eth updown 5m 1781060700	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x134798…
06-10 03:07:34	eth updown 5m 1781060700	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6aa781…
06-10 03:06:33	eth updown 5m 1781060700	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9e1e41…
06-10 03:06:04	btc updown 5m 1781060700	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd8d269…
06-10 03:05:58	btc updown 5m 1781060700	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x595970…
06-10 03:03:06	eth updown 5m 1781060400	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x370e87…
06-10 03:01:25	btc updown 5m 1781060400	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1973b2…
06-10 03:00:27	eth updown 5m 1781060400	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x596b5a…
06-10 02:56:39	btc updown 5m 1781060100	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1a2c56…
06-10 02:56:06	eth updown 5m 1781060100	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x933a92…
06-10 02:56:03	eth updown 5m 1781060100	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8ae9d5…
06-10 02:55:36	btc updown 5m 1781060100	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x11199a…
06-10 02:55:24	eth updown 5m 1781060100	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe36175…
06-10 02:50:30	btc updown 5m 1781059800	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4ff5e5…
06-10 02:50:28	eth updown 5m 1781059800	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7f2c0b…
06-10 02:50:27	eth updown 5m 1781059800	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x618142…
06-10 02:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781059800	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0cb4a0…
06-10 02:46:25	eth updown 5m 1781059500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x236fa8…
06-10 02:46:19	btc updown 5m 1781059500	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4d3602…
06-10 02:45:58	btc updown 5m 1781059500	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7c3338…
06-10 02:45:34	eth updown 5m 1781059500	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeb7ed3…
06-10 02:45:31	btc updown 5m 1781059500	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x890992…
06-10 02:45:19	eth updown 5m 1781059500	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3f7c25…
06-10 02:45:18	btc updown 5m 1781059500	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xebcfc8…
06-10 02:43:07	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x08a865…
06-10 02:40:58	eth updown 5m 1781059200	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7753f8…
06-10 02:40:46	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7f9594…
06-10 02:40:43	eth updown 5m 1781059200	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfe2644…
06-10 02:40:34	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1c2c98…
06-10 02:40:18	btc updown 5m 1781059200	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xba6776…
06-10 02:40:18	eth updown 5m 1781059200	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xac4202…
06-10 02:39:51	eth updown 5m 1781058900	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xa5543a…
06-10 02:39:51	eth updown 5m 1781058900	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0c005f…
06-10 02:35:27	eth updown 5m 1781058900	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x11f1a1…
06-10 02:35:19	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6924ca…
06-10 02:35:18	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe77dca…
06-10 02:35:18	eth updown 5m 1781058900	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x81fa3e…
06-10 02:30:54	eth updown 5m 1781058600	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x395b93…
06-10 02:30:45	eth updown 5m 1781058600	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x2dab5b…
06-10 02:30:43	eth updown 5m 1781058600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x11eb1a…
06-10 02:30:39	eth updown 5m 1781058600	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x05d403…
06-10 02:30:19	eth updown 5m 1781058600	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x71ba34…
06-10 02:30:18	btc updown 5m 1781058600	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x945bf3…
06-10 02:30:18	btc updown 5m 1781058600	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x730a6b…
06-10 02:29:06	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb84746…
06-10 02:28:13	eth updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x944ae5…
06-10 02:28:07	eth updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xca531d…
06-10 02:27:54	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd2af56…
06-10 02:25:54	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x243b03…
06-10 02:25:42	eth updown 5m 1781058300	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc851fa…
06-10 02:21:03	eth updown 5m 1781058000	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x751fab…
06-10 02:20:30	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x630e16…
06-10 02:20:30	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x373d61…
06-10 02:20:21	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xd6b648…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	928	$111.4K	23,879	06-10 04:03
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	923	$575.0K	23,297	06-10 04:00
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	915	$182.9K	60,359	06-10 04:03
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	914	$205.3K	64,756	06-10 04:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	914	$192.9K	35,450	06-10 04:03
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	910	$473.9K	66,331	06-10 04:03
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	909	$140.7K	23,606	06-10 04:03
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	909	$63.5K	11,310	06-10 04:04