(anonymous) 0xfaa2df…bc36bb
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$138
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
36.5%
Resolved (30d)
573
Trades (30d)
2,424
12,681 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.12K
$8.83K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
29 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-29 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
58% 18% -$182
Politics
32% 12% -$112
Tech
7% 26% +$1
Crypto
1% 14% -$15
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Sports
1% 10% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 1542 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$3 10-18 15:01
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +9 $4 55¢ $5 +$1 10-25 23:39
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +6 $3 50¢ $3 $0 10-29 13:52
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +4 -$2 72¢ $3 +$5 09-26 14:32
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$5 74¢ $2 +$7 10-23 02:03
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $1 -$1 09-04 19:00
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 08-29 12:00
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $3 31¢ $0 -$3 09-26 15:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 $0 08-19 03:11
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-19 20:16
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 08-20 09:41
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +0 $1 87¢ $0 -$1 08-26 01:32
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 10-02 15:11
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 69¢ $0 -$1 09-22 19:40
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +0 $0 30¢ $0 $0 08-22 19:45
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by june 30 2027 Yes +0 $0 47¢ $0 $0 10-29 19:24
will rafael grossi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221279 Yes +0 $1 30¢ $0 $0 08-18 12:58
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 32¢ $0 -$1 10-03 20:40
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +0 $1 36¢ $0 -$1 10-17 05:15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +0 $0 34¢ $0 $0 10-22 05:44
will badr bin hamad al busaidi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221276 Yes +0 $1 26¢ $0 -$1 08-18 14:33
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 26¢ $0 $0 10-25 10:56
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 $0 09-02 16:44
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +0 $2 16¢ $0 -$2 09-28 23:32
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +0 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-01 07:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +0 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-14 15:36
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +0 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 09-24 04:32
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +0 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-22 07:49
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-07 22:58