Pitiful-Hacienda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.5%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$8.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-24 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 56% +$11

Other

27% 91% -$30

Sports

8% 0% -$4

Politics

1% 75% -$9

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	671	671	+0	No	-$1	03-21 21:17
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	2	$1.3K	671	671	+0	No	-$1	03-22 03:53
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	2	$1.3K	671	671	+0	No	-$1	03-22 09:52
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$1.3K	664	664	+0	No	-$1	03-24 03:54
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$698	349	349	+0	No	$0	03-23 12:28
will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$682	343	343	+0	No	-$4	03-23 01:55
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$630	315	315	+0	No	$0	03-23 12:29
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	1	$158	159	0	+159	No	+$1	02-26 08:58
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$110	56	56	+0	No	+$0	03-24 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 7?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-07 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 7?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-07 08:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	06-24 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 16?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-15 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 7?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-07 08:14
will iran strike iraq in march	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	03-07 08:50
will iran strike kuwait in march	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	03-07 08:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 7?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	05-07 08:12
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-24 03:59
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 24corbelow	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-18 04:32
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-24 03:58
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 19 2026 23corbelow	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-18 04:33
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	2	$23	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	03-09 04:13
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 25c	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-18 04:33
highest temperature in mexico city on april 18 2026 24c	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-18 04:34
highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 20c	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-18 04:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	03-13 03:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-07 08:12
highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 19c	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-18 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-07 08:14
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 19 2026 24c	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-18 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 08:02:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x08d935…
05-15 03:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd55819…
05-07 08:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x084e8b…
05-07 08:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa90110…
05-07 08:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 7?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa1f5f7…
05-07 08:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 7?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x07bc27…
05-07 08:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 7?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xcd534c…
05-07 08:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 7?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc54504…
05-07 08:12:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2d69cf…
04-18 04:35:24	highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 21c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda449b…
04-18 04:35:00	highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 20c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xf60893…
04-18 04:34:48	highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 19c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7c628e…
04-18 04:34:36	highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 18corbelow	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc05e9f…
04-18 04:34:22	highest temperature in mexico city on april 18 2026 25c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xec2cce…
04-18 04:34:10	highest temperature in mexico city on april 18 2026 24c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x60aca4…
04-18 04:33:48	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 19 2026 24c	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0f0972…
04-18 04:33:32	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 19 2026 23corbelow	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1e4bed…
04-18 04:33:18	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 32c	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x49e63a…
04-18 04:33:00	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 25c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe9826b…
04-18 04:32:42	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 24corbelow	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xedbae5…
04-10 03:12:49	highest temperature in seattle on april 10 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0xa4cff7…
04-10 03:12:35	highest temperature in seattle on april 10 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1e675a…
04-10 03:12:09	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xe2c320…
04-10 03:11:55	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xa2766c…
04-10 03:11:43	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 55forbelow	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8b96df…
04-10 03:10:25	highest temperature in singapore on april 10 2026 31c	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x182d65…
04-10 03:10:01	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 28c	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xc005ac…
04-10 03:09:43	highest temperature in hong kong on april 10 2026 27c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x014131…
04-10 03:09:15	highest temperature in milan on april 10 2026 21c	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xec5b41…
04-10 03:08:53	highest temperature in milan on april 10 2026 20c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1b9e08…
04-10 03:07:57	highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 21c	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x181474…
04-10 03:07:43	highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 20c	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xac6548…
04-10 03:07:13	highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 19c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcd4b2b…
04-10 03:06:55	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0xdf0c3d…
04-10 03:06:35	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xa4bd87…
04-10 03:06:19	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbf0600…
04-10 03:06:05	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x60b551…
04-10 03:05:35	highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 13c	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x84e009…
04-10 03:05:13	highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 14c	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x39653c…
04-10 03:04:53	highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 15c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x644fa9…
04-10 03:04:27	highest temperature in wellington on april 10 2026 18c	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9371bc…
04-10 03:03:05	highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 14c	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xd77d23…
04-10 03:02:45	highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 15c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xea11fa…
04-10 03:02:19	highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 16c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5c5e17…
03-24 03:59:33	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x02f346…
03-24 03:58:57	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x33d5bc…
03-24 03:57:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x2f766e…
03-24 03:54:11	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	664	100¢	$663	0x1cd056…
03-23 12:32:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	664	100¢	$663	0x8dd21c…
03-23 12:29:27	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	315	100¢	$315	0x523b3b…
03-23 12:28:59	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	349	100¢	$349	0x43cd06…
03-23 01:57:53	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	349	100¢	$349	0x63ebf7…
03-23 01:57:23	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0x1213ad…
03-23 01:55:49	will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	343	99¢	$339	0x5ce674…
03-22 09:56:37	will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0x80327e…
03-22 09:52:29	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	No	SELL	671	100¢	$668	0x65515b…
03-22 03:57:19	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	No	BUY	671	100¢	$669	0x97ff8a…
03-22 03:53:27	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	671	100¢	$669	0x7cd6b8…
03-21 21:18:33	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	671	100¢	$670	0x56784a…
03-21 21:17:47	Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	671	100¢	$670	0xe62cb3…
03-21 09:12:47	Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	671	100¢	$671	0x84e7e4…
03-21 09:07:01	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6a470c…
03-13 04:00:37	will mistral have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf5c819…
03-13 04:00:23	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x02dfad…
03-13 03:59:59	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa6525f…
03-13 03:59:45	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcca2c3…
03-13 03:59:31	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdb044e…
03-13 03:59:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xae01e0…
03-13 03:59:01	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2f5a4b…
03-13 03:58:43	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1b859c…
03-13 03:58:29	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xae2c60…
03-13 03:58:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xccd362…
03-13 03:58:03	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1fceae…
03-13 03:57:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x923ee5…
03-13 03:56:37	msft above 450 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd980d4…
03-09 04:13:55	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	Yes	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0xd9412f…
03-07 11:47:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x5e98e2…
03-07 11:47:25	highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x2c8fcc…
03-07 10:06:03	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x2d36d2…
03-07 09:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x12b562…
03-07 09:56:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xcbfba1…
03-07 09:50:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x99d6ff…
03-07 09:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc8a18f…
03-07 09:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbe5119…
03-07 09:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa0dfd6…
03-07 09:29:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xa69aef…
03-07 09:27:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xaacadc…
03-07 09:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa5bc8d…
03-07 09:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x934c38…
03-07 09:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x8f2cc0…
03-07 09:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa4c160…
03-07 09:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xe917dc…
03-07 09:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0x36d545…
03-07 09:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x9b6693…
03-07 09:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x9bd22d…
03-07 09:01:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x43e423…
03-07 08:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0xf35c1d…
03-07 08:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd3e273…
03-07 08:51:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x00781d…
03-07 08:51:07	will iran strike kuwait in march	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x8534cd…