Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$190

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$3.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-14 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

52% 73% -$28

Crypto

25% 14% -$145

Sports

14% 43% +$9

Politics

9% 33% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+100	$20	28¢	$28	+$8	10-14 12:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		-350	-$88	3¢	$-11	+$76	05-08 09:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$789	510	510	+0	No	-$141	03-06 08:40
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$273	138	138	+0	No	+$0	03-18 01:24
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$271	143	143	+0	Yes	+$2	03-16 13:14
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	-$3	03-18 05:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$182	130	130	+0	Yes	-$29	06-13 09:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	4	$181	99	99	+0	No	+$7	05-27 09:17
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$175	1,635	1,635	+0	No	-$1	04-06 11:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$169	106	106	+0	Yes	+$1	06-25 20:33
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	2	$156	160	0	+160	No	+$4	01-19 14:59
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	1	$127	128	0	+128	Lakers	+$1	01-05 05:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$105	148	148	+0	No	-$46	09-12 02:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$5	06-03 08:41
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$92	100	100	+0	Yes	+$54	04-05 03:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	3	$88	0	350	-350	open	—	05-08 09:57
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	9	$77	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-18 03:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$71	100	100	+0	No	-$3	04-18 09:25
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	3	$30	100	100	+0	No	+$8	06-17 05:50
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	10	$24	50	0	+50	Suns	+$1	01-05 03:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	10-14 12:31
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$19	100	0	+100	No	-$19	03-18 05:26
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	8	$17	100	0	+100	No	-$17	03-18 07:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-09 11:47
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 17	5	$12	1,384	1,384	+0	No	+$1	03-18 02:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-23 17:05
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	7	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	03-18 05:41
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	07-28 05:19
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	4	$4	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-28 05:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 31?	3	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-30 14:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30?	5	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-30 07:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29?	5	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	07-29 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:31:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6f5eec…
10-09 11:47:18	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x019895…
09-25 06:01:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x240da8…
09-12 02:57:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	148	20¢	$30	0x86ccee…
08-31 13:12:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	45¢	$44	0x760c16…
08-10 11:58:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x05431d…
07-30 14:01:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0xbfa49e…
07-30 13:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x36ec00…
07-30 09:32:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x456a2f…
07-30 07:17:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x07d55a…
07-30 07:06:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x7661b2…
07-30 07:03:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x14409c…
07-30 07:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xf94045…
07-29 01:37:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xae93d6…
07-29 01:19:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x05e5c9…
07-29 01:15:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xa17780…
07-29 01:13:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb4c879…
07-29 00:27:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd04e90…
07-28 14:23:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 28?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x62f038…
07-28 09:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd583ba…
07-28 05:19:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0c8f75…
07-28 05:02:12	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xb650d7…
07-05 05:51:28	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xdbe814…
07-05 05:47:40	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0xf38f58…
07-05 05:35:02	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xc9fb2f…
06-25 20:33:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	106	80¢	$85	0xb1e615…
06-19 02:17:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xac401f…
06-18 12:01:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x73a086…
06-17 05:50:56	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0x628357…
06-17 05:15:07	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x50a6ee…
06-17 04:47:26	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x656719…
06-13 09:27:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	75	59¢	$44	0xbdfbec…
06-13 09:14:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x07c185…
06-13 09:09:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x7eed3e…
06-13 09:08:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xba1ffc…
06-13 09:03:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0x64639d…
06-09 12:22:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xcd9a0e…
06-08 11:49:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x7121f5…
06-03 08:41:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb5b79b…
05-27 09:17:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	99	95¢	$94	0x61bd6d…
05-23 17:05:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb7730c…
05-08 19:31:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0xb94c83…
05-08 13:13:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9ddb76…
05-08 11:05:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe137d4…
05-08 09:57:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	338	25¢	$84	0xeecb47…
05-08 08:30:33	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x7d026e…
05-08 08:29:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x4d0b13…
05-08 03:48:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x68f162…
04-18 09:25:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xff3363…
04-18 09:10:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0xc6093d…
04-18 09:10:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0x9bded8…
04-06 11:44:09	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x468878…
04-05 03:47:13	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x688d88…
04-05 03:47:03	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	99	73¢	$72	0x1d39f9…
03-29 06:42:16	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0x9805af…
03-18 07:25:01	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xcf649f…
03-18 07:24:49	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0c0218…
03-18 07:23:41	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x4ca8e2…
03-18 07:21:43	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xa4ddb8…
03-18 07:17:55	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x5c5d2f…
03-18 05:41:21	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7c3b55…
03-18 05:40:51	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0xe0e95f…
03-18 05:40:51	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x5bf834…
03-18 05:39:13	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6d7b17…
03-18 05:38:59	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x074ebf…
03-18 05:29:57	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x92970b…
03-18 05:29:55	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x98bead…
03-18 05:29:37	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7bed1a…
03-18 05:29:37	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3fdc09…
03-18 05:29:37	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x32f40a…
03-18 05:26:15	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xd916b6…
03-18 05:26:15	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x772c14…
03-18 05:26:03	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x529d2d…
03-18 05:26:03	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1ca9c5…
03-18 05:25:59	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb1b3f8…
03-18 05:25:59	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xa24dbd…
03-18 05:25:59	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x7a9a52…
03-18 05:25:59	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x3de210…
03-18 05:25:53	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xe1b0c8…
03-18 05:23:23	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xb1785e…
03-18 03:35:07	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2d98b5…
03-18 03:27:35	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x1516b8…
03-18 02:43:23	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x760c4a…
03-18 02:43:19	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8d43d1…
03-18 02:43:13	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed6767…
03-18 02:43:09	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0a8f84…
03-18 02:43:05	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8cb62d…
03-18 02:27:51	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x674088…
03-18 02:27:45	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7b71d5…
03-18 02:26:07	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x4480de…
03-18 02:16:57	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 17	Yes	SELL	897	0¢	$4	0x9b690c…
03-18 02:15:21	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 17	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xb07ffa…
03-18 02:14:15	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 17	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x653379…
03-18 02:10:33	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 17	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xb9bae4…
03-18 02:09:01	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,384	0¢	$6	0x0ce605…
03-18 01:24:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0xc69aff…
03-17 07:06:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xc0fdff…
03-16 13:14:41	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x09243b…
03-16 13:07:01	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x5155d2…
03-16 12:56:53	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x7b3d80…