Idolized-Resist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-20 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

75% 25% -$180

Other

22% 0% -$19

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$349	385	318	+67	Yes	+$49	05-29 15:42
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$132	344	0	+344	No	-$132	05-29 15:42
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$111	1,426	76	+1,350	No	-$79	05-29 15:43
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	5	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-12 13:35
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$27	32	32	+0	open	—	10-20 15:45
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-20 15:45
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	4	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	10-20 15:45
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	4	$19	77	77	+0	open	—	10-20 15:25
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?	4	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	10-20 15:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	3	$12	154	77	+77	Yes	-$8	10-16 02:50
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	10-20 07:40
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 16:35
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-20 15:21
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-12 05:35
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-20 15:21
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	-$1	10-20 15:20
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	2	$9	8	8	+0	No	-$1	10-20 01:35
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	10-17 15:20
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	10-11 03:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$8	125	125	+0	open	—	10-20 15:20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$8	32	32	+0	open	—	10-20 15:45
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	10-20 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 15:45:54	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x653739…
10-20 15:45:17	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd6b8f4…
10-20 15:45:15	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x8c8638…
10-20 15:45:14	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x801e3c…
10-20 15:45:14	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x482467…
10-20 15:45:12	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0xc781d4…
10-20 15:45:12	Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x1dd370…
10-20 15:25:20	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x38c3f5…
10-20 15:21:54	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xb11dad…
10-20 15:21:53	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xef8a0e…
10-20 15:21:42	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xb9aedf…
10-20 15:21:12	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x68e415…
10-20 15:20:41	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x7a822a…
10-20 15:20:11	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	125	3¢	$3	0xb5f1f6…
10-20 15:20:09	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8695ce…
10-20 15:20:09	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x729c80…
10-20 15:20:09	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$4	0x6e52f3…
10-20 15:20:08	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xea07cc…
10-20 15:20:08	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xe65ed9…
10-20 15:20:06	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xf0e36c…
10-20 15:20:06	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x9defc6…
10-20 15:20:05	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xc0de8c…
10-20 15:20:05	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xa222ee…
10-20 15:20:03	Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x3f7610…
10-20 10:15:33	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x95a62d…
10-20 07:40:28	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x2e8fbd…
10-20 05:10:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd8768d…
10-20 01:35:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x4a17cf…
10-19 23:40:41	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfe2bdf…
10-19 23:30:29	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdba3d7…
10-19 23:25:39	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x104467…
10-19 23:15:32	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8e57fc…
10-19 23:15:24	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x27bde2…
10-19 23:10:50	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x07117d…
10-19 19:35:35	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x522871…
10-19 16:10:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdeffca…
10-18 21:55:32	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc9e257…
10-18 13:10:26	Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x77f4b8…
10-17 20:10:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xc8ed54…
10-17 19:20:41	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa81f2a…
10-17 18:55:23	Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf7060b…
10-17 18:50:26	Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc8a36f…
10-17 18:45:39	Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd6b698…
10-17 15:20:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x04e4df…
10-17 02:40:26	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf03530…
10-17 02:35:41	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2da65d…
10-17 01:20:35	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1c5580…
10-16 23:30:39	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x404231…
10-16 22:20:27	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8cf876…
10-16 22:15:27	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4532cd…
10-16 19:50:29	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0xcd8af2…
10-16 19:05:29	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x32a269…
10-16 14:45:25	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x2dd634…
10-16 14:40:33	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf6227a…
10-16 08:15:34	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x24ca73…
10-16 08:05:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc8fd2f…
10-16 02:50:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0xdade35…
10-15 17:00:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xd313a6…
10-15 16:55:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x53abf4…
10-15 08:20:34	israel military action against syria by october 31 2026	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2a08b4…
10-14 16:40:28	us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 15	No	SELL	625	0¢	$2	0x70c5d6…
10-14 14:57:18	us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x1866e1…
10-14 14:57:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x972e21…
10-14 14:56:45	saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by december 31	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x553575…
10-13 20:31:37	will trump say hell during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x647e87…
10-13 15:05:22	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x72a8d2…
10-12 20:40:23	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3bc435…
10-12 18:25:21	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x0699e8…
10-12 13:35:26	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc48745…
10-12 13:05:35	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x91914c…
10-12 08:25:36	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf18de9…
10-12 08:25:28	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x170ef0…
10-12 05:35:29	Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3003a1…
10-12 03:50:33	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa88342…
10-12 03:45:27	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64c16f…
10-12 03:40:33	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf46171…
10-12 03:35:26	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49f54d…
10-11 23:05:30	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xe417da…
10-11 17:40:34	Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x408858…
10-11 16:35:30	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0b90d0…
10-11 16:10:33	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe67c30…
10-11 16:10:33	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x574b96…
10-11 15:35:30	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x9f07f5…
10-11 12:10:28	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd9bfcf…
10-11 03:40:27	Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd1b1af…
10-11 03:35:21	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x114070…
10-10 21:05:24	Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x51aaf9…
10-10 19:55:22	Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x01df5d…
10-10 16:35:24	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe22dc7…
10-10 13:20:39	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xaec6a4…
10-10 13:19:01	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc25d89…
05-29 15:43:34	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,186	4¢	$46	0xefcd87…
05-29 15:42:48	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	157	35¢	$55	0x93f992…
05-29 15:42:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x96df06…
05-29 15:39:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	250	63¢	$158	0x5b4b89…
05-09 11:12:28	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	240	20¢	$49	0x11feaf…
05-09 11:11:51	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0xffcb29…
05-09 11:10:09	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x65f532…
05-08 20:08:40	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	134	41¢	$55	0xe92939…
05-08 20:03:29	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	76	21¢	$16	0xba18d3…