Glass-Dredger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-13 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

77% 66% -$101

Other

23% 71% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		-6	-$5	92¢	$-6	-$1	05-13 19:39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-5	-$4	81¢	$-4	+$0	05-13 19:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on january 28 2026	4	$268	338	346	-8	No	-$101	01-29 17:17
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$229	120	120	+0	No	+$1	01-26 17:14
will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	2	$109	63	63	+0	No	+$9	01-27 05:23
will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	2	$103	55	55	+0	Yes	+$5	01-29 16:56
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	01-25 17:45
will trump say biden during the state of the union address 567	3	$97	0	200	-200	Yes	-$3	01-27 08:13
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$46	0	48	-48	No	-$1	01-22 17:53
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	2	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	01-28 17:16
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	1	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	01-24 05:27
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$25	60	31	+29	No	-$23	01-30 05:46
iran strike on us military by january 31	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	01-28 17:13
north korea missile launch by january 31 661	2	$21	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	01-22 17:38
will israel strike gaza on february 7 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-08 17:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-28 17:17
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	01-28 17:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	01-29 20:43
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	02-02 05:47
will the us strike somalia next 656	2	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	01-23 06:41
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	02-02 05:47
nothing ever happens iran strike edition	2	$16	53	53	+0	Yes	-$4	01-23 06:41
will israel strike gaza on january 27 2026	2	$16	34	34	+0	Yes	-$4	01-27 18:37
will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	01-22 17:41
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$8	01-22 04:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-09 06:57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-22 17:40
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	3	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	-$6	01-27 18:36
will israel strike gaza on february 8 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 09:30
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	05-13 19:39
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-09 07:00
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	02-09 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:40:23	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x86ff6b…
05-13 19:40:19	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x389a7d…
05-13 19:40:07	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xa1d2fa…
05-13 19:39:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xb64c18…
05-13 19:39:44	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x70fb8a…
02-09 07:00:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x004792…
02-09 06:57:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcb2a5c…
02-09 06:57:33	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7d5a56…
02-09 06:56:23	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfd2c69…
02-08 17:32:11	will israel strike gaza on february 7 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x64626b…
02-08 09:30:19	will israel strike gaza on february 8 2026	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x09c16a…
02-08 07:30:15	will israel strike gaza on february 8 2026	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x515926…
02-07 18:26:33	will israel strike gaza on february 7 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x584ef1…
02-02 05:47:54	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfc43c3…
02-02 05:47:48	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xac41ab…
01-30 05:46:44	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$1	0x32502b…
01-29 20:43:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x9e261b…
01-29 19:01:08	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x067df1…
01-29 17:47:56	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x50ca5d…
01-29 17:17:32	will israel strike gaza on january 28 2026	Yes	SELL	201	4¢	$7	0x657ee6…
01-29 16:56:38	will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	Yes	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xed45e2…
01-29 15:54:18	will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	Yes	BUY	55	88¢	$49	0x4534ec…
01-28 17:17:10	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7541c9…
01-28 17:16:58	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xd93d4e…
01-28 17:16:48	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x132dba…
01-28 17:13:50	iran strike on us military by january 31	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x6b4f32…
01-28 11:53:53	will israel strike gaza on january 28 2026	Yes	BUY	201	40¢	$80	0x016e3b…
01-28 11:18:27	will israel strike gaza on january 28 2026	No	SELL	145	55¢	$80	0x17c293…
01-27 21:48:43	will israel strike gaza on january 28 2026	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x1a1bef…
01-27 18:37:51	will israel strike gaza on january 27 2026	Yes	SELL	34	17¢	$6	0x2064a0…
01-27 18:36:45	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6d5552…
01-27 18:34:53	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4dcee8…
01-27 17:56:11	will israel strike gaza on january 27 2026	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xbe6dba…
01-27 17:48:15	will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd8febf…
01-27 16:29:33	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1099af…
01-27 08:13:35	will trump say biden during the state of the union address 567	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2ad146…
01-27 05:23:43	will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0x70b9d8…
01-26 17:15:49	will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x7c829a…
01-26 17:14:45	Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$115	0xb90810…
01-26 14:00:43	Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xb6fb1d…
01-26 00:14:30	will trump say biden during the state of the union address 567	No	SELL	99	7¢	$7	0x69f98f…
01-25 17:45:18	us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd03df6…
01-25 17:42:20	will trump say biden during the state of the union address 567	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xcbca8d…
01-25 16:51:04	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6b700b…
01-25 11:04:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x40ab29…
01-25 11:03:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x0bd159…
01-25 10:57:50	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x15eada…
01-25 09:56:10	us forces seize another oil tanker by january 25 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc1614d…
01-25 09:29:36	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x79ed80…
01-25 09:28:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1603b1…
01-25 09:27:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5bfcaf…
01-25 09:22:24	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x227b40…
01-24 05:27:20	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x035142…
01-23 06:41:42	will the us strike somalia next 656	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x378607…
01-23 06:41:28	nothing ever happens iran strike edition	No	SELL	53	12¢	$6	0xa4fac4…
01-22 18:08:24	nothing ever happens iran strike edition	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf6d90a…
01-22 17:58:52	iran strike on us military by january 31	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd9fba0…
01-22 17:58:08	will the us strike somalia next 656	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd7c842…
01-22 17:53:32	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xae761f…
01-22 17:42:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x20f1a7…
01-22 17:41:38	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xfbc1d1…
01-22 17:41:08	will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8a4ca5…
01-22 17:40:36	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x907ca3…
01-22 17:40:30	another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xa1790f…
01-22 17:40:10	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6fa076…
01-22 17:39:42	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x3ba713…
01-22 17:39:34	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7df98c…
01-22 17:38:46	north korea missile launch by january 31 661	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x867c6c…
01-22 07:40:24	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x8a82f0…
01-22 04:33:18	internet access restored in iran by friday 972	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x52d8db…
01-21 15:55:36	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x50296c…
01-21 15:51:46	internet access restored in iran by friday 972	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb53ff9…
01-21 15:38:24	us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x426093…
01-21 15:38:10	us bank failure by january 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd5d02a…
01-16 04:22:40	iran strike on israel by january 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x28fb0c…
01-16 04:18:32	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x444a98…
01-15 13:44:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x86c62f…
01-15 13:41:30	us bank failure by january 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa094cb…
01-15 13:32:28	will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfc8884…
01-15 13:22:12	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x911b6c…
01-09 17:25:44	another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf79a90…
01-09 17:24:44	maduro mugshot released by january 9	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc46513…
01-05 22:30:37	maduro mugshot released by january 9	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1ac82f…
01-05 22:29:45	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb02fab…
01-05 22:29:43	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa482a4…
01-05 22:28:31	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf1b131…
01-05 22:24:15	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x08d297…
01-05 22:23:01	north korea missile launch by january 31 661	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xba9766…
01-05 22:22:21	us strike on colombia by january 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed16fd…
01-05 22:16:21	another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x608b47…
01-05 22:15:31	us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x511bd0…
01-05 22:09:41	another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x021e60…
01-05 21:59:41	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x78d697…
01-05 21:58:31	khameneiq public appearance by friday	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x00bce5…