Likely-Message — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-14 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

62% — —

Other

33% — —

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$618	1,234	0	+1,234	open	—	04-06 03:56
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	5	$612	0	1,222	-1,222	open	—	04-03 02:09
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$534	0	1,066	-1,066	open	—	04-03 01:36
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-24 07:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1AM ET	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-26 05:55
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-29 08:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	Down	+$0	05-14 03:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-10 01:31
highest temperature in nyc on april 4 2026 44 45f	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2a2791…
05-10 01:31:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xae7b3d…
04-29 08:13:14	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0c3d0…
04-26 05:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0ebfbc…
04-24 07:24:14	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7514e6…
04-06 03:56:39	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xc37807…
04-06 03:56:33	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xa31878…
04-06 03:56:03	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	541	96¢	$520	0x213b90…
04-06 03:55:57	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	541	4¢	$21	0x3af483…
04-03 03:03:51	highest temperature in nyc on april 4 2026 44 45f	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5d8eb4…
04-03 02:09:35	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	518	11¢	$54	0xe11adf…
04-03 02:09:13	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	11¢	$10	0x8d9f02…
04-03 01:58:29	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	459	90¢	$411	0x0adb19…
04-03 01:55:17	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$63	0x45497d…
04-03 01:54:43	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	82	90¢	$73	0x8e015d…
04-03 01:36:11	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	533	3¢	$16	0xd00741…
04-03 01:26:39	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	533	97¢	$518	0xa14726…
04-03 00:25:17	highest temperature in nyc on april 4 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dbe6f…