Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$639

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-09

last 09-11 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

99% 46% +$29

Politics

1% 100% +$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?	2	$79	60	50	+10	No	+$17	08-30 14:47
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?	2	$65	40	40	+0	No	+$12	07-17 14:58
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	6	$26	35	0	+35	Yes	-$26	09-11 00:13
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	07-14 08:48
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	3	$20	100	33	+67	No	+$0	08-30 14:45
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	2	$18	19	5	+14	No	+$4	07-14 08:17
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	6	$18	25	25	+0	No	+$3	07-22 09:48
Will ISM Services PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in August?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	+$5	08-28 14:07
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	1	$14	20	0	+20	No	+$6	08-07 18:10
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	2	$13	8	7	+1	No	+$1	07-29 00:32
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	3	$13	17	0	+17	Yes	-$13	08-04 16:10
Will PPI YoY be 5.3% in July?	1	$12	15	0	+15	No	+$3	08-10 02:17
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	6	$12	23	0	+23	No	+$11	08-10 04:06
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	4	$12	70	0	+70	Yes	-$12	07-22 18:18
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?	3	$12	19	18	+1	No	-$1	07-17 14:11
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	4	$11	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	07-20 20:31
wrby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt04	1	$11	16	0	+16	No	+$5	08-05 20:21
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	4	$10	25	0	+25	No	-$10	08-04 08:42
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	3	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	+$15	07-13 14:33
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?	1	$10	36	0	+36	No	-$10	07-13 08:22
sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	2	$10	100	0	+100	Yes	-$10	07-27 17:02
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	1	$9	30	0	+30	No	+$21	08-07 15:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$9	25	25	+0	No	+$2	07-21 15:54
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	3	$9	30	0	+30	No	-$9	08-03 19:12
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	-$8	08-03 11:49
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?	2	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	08-04 12:13
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	1	$8	13	0	+13	No	+$5	08-05 11:12
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$8	20	0	+20	Yes	+$12	08-03 14:31
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$1	07-21 16:42
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	3	$7	50	0	+50	Yes	+$43	08-30 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 10:50:18	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x18b424…
09-11 00:13:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xd3ee0c…
09-11 00:13:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x9cecce…
09-11 00:13:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x77f77e…
09-11 00:13:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x53b0e0…
09-11 00:13:57	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x06c606…
09-11 00:13:55	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd15644…
09-11 00:13:55	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x28c1b4…
09-10 23:24:04	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xaae899…
08-30 15:43:57	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x1e8da8…
08-30 14:47:06	Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x56fe07…
08-30 14:45:58	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	Yes	SELL	33	31¢	$10	0x43f312…
08-30 02:21:54	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x3cb4d6…
08-29 23:17:54	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x83f497…
08-29 05:40:27	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4d8366…
08-28 23:00:28	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xce5ccf…
08-28 23:00:28	Will the US lose more than 50k jobs in August?	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x75db32…
08-28 23:00:28	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x3ada1b…
08-28 14:07:15	Will ISM Services PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in August?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb61cc9…
08-28 11:33:10	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x56c607…
08-28 09:49:39	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xbf1d90…
08-14 13:06:12	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x9a806d…
08-11 22:17:06	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3244e7…
08-11 16:24:15	Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3862c9…
08-11 14:14:27	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xf4de72…
08-11 14:14:27	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x4ab548…
08-11 14:14:10	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5d1178…
08-11 14:14:10	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x302edc…
08-11 11:12:33	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x437c9a…
08-10 14:09:27	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x221c84…
08-10 13:56:07	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfa1fed…
08-10 11:52:31	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x64977a…
08-10 10:53:42	Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe157da…
08-10 10:53:42	Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc0e34f…
08-10 10:53:42	Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3bc078…
08-10 04:06:48	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa0c0c9…
08-10 03:59:40	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1539cf…
08-10 02:17:15	Will PPI YoY be 5.3% in July?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x6c3400…
08-09 18:47:22	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xea8e88…
08-09 17:05:46	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x270f0b…
08-09 16:18:51	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x69ed79…
08-09 15:04:01	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x06b374…
08-08 13:14:13	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2fa840…
08-08 13:00:24	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ac5bb…
08-07 20:13:42	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xef0e36…
08-07 19:44:10	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4d424c…
08-07 18:10:16	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x270258…
08-07 15:43:01	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x948160…
08-07 15:39:09	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x418fa4…
08-07 09:19:25	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1fbf78…
08-07 05:16:37	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe987ec…
08-07 05:03:36	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe7cbf8…
08-07 05:03:36	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2b5f2d…
08-07 04:10:12	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x68ae60…
08-06 18:14:57	dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt74	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x1ef689…
08-06 17:40:56	afl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt76	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5192e0…
08-06 17:38:51	abnb quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt25	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x13f8be…
08-06 16:24:24	mnst quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x205e08…
08-06 15:45:44	akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt58	No	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x4d03ca…
08-06 14:51:02	akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt58	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfa2fa8…
08-06 14:47:45	akam quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt58	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x33634b…
08-05 21:52:51	usfd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt36	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x57ceeb…
08-05 20:21:23	wrby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt04	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xbb72fa…
08-05 19:47:14	usfd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt36	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa4b8d1…
08-05 18:52:33	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x070ae4…
08-05 18:34:59	htz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 neg0pt2	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61a212…
08-05 16:48:30	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x46e40f…
08-05 14:56:39	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xc1e527…
08-05 14:01:27	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x10c9fa…
08-05 13:39:18	Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x343d16…
08-05 12:20:33	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x8dd728…
08-05 12:20:23	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xea69ec…
08-05 11:46:33	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x68985e…
08-05 11:12:53	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xfe1695…
08-05 11:08:45	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xaf6f51…
08-05 03:23:51	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt88	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x303c59…
08-04 18:11:15	fnf quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt32	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e3c83…
08-04 18:08:44	soun quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt04	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x90b34a…
08-04 17:53:21	expe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 5pt28	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x127360…
08-04 17:46:32	lly quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 6pt79	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc56427…
08-04 17:12:24	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xc90294…
08-04 17:00:36	dash quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt47	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x6a6c4a…
08-04 16:10:47	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x928333…
08-04 14:06:27	uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt83	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xb6c1f0…
08-04 14:06:06	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt67	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2849d2…
08-04 13:50:45	gtm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt26	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdda5d6…
08-04 13:43:14	lly quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 6pt79	No	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x61d9ad…
08-04 13:03:15	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x6f0924…
08-04 13:03:14	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x490d0b…
08-04 13:02:05	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xa0a069…
08-04 12:58:39	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x95c569…
08-04 12:57:26	met quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x0c8cc5…
08-04 12:50:59	uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt83	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe59bc1…
08-04 12:50:26	gtm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt26	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x100a79…
08-04 12:48:29	uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt83	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x7765b6…
08-04 12:30:36	gtm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt26	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x78609d…
08-04 12:29:26	uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 0pt83	No	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xd426bb…
08-04 12:13:14	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5149db…
08-04 12:00:21	dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 1pt86	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x115bcc…
08-04 11:54:36	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.6M and 7.7M in June?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xc09b5d…