Queasy-Observatory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

166

Trades

393

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-05 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 41% -$113

Other

13% 25% -$39

Politics

6% 100% +$64

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+170	$92	37¢	$62	-$29	11-05 22:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	6	$92	170	0	+170	open	—	11-05 22:17
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	4	$66	130	0	+130	Yes	+$64	10-25 16:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:00 UTC	13	$58	110	0	+110	Down	-$13	01-12 17:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:30 UTC	11	$37	80	0	+80	Up	+$3	01-12 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:45 UTC	10	$37	80	0	+80	Up	+$3	01-12 15:55
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$36	115	0	+115	Portugal	-$36	07-03 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:45 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	06-17 12:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:45 UTC	13	$26	55	0	+55	Up	-$1	01-12 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:00 UTC	12	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	01-12 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	7	$25	70	20	+50	Up	+$14	06-17 12:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	9	$22	46	0	+46	Down	+$1	02-03 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:15 UTC	4	$20	40	0	+40	Down	-$10	01-12 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	5	$19	20	15	+5	Up	+$4	06-17 11:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	3	$17	22	12	+10	Up	+$14	06-17 12:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 22:00 UTC	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	01-24 22:13
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 goals erling haaland gte2	2	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	+$8	06-16 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:05 UTC	3	$15	30	0	+30	Down	-$15	06-17 13:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 16:30 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	01-10 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:45 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	06-17 11:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 14:45 UTC	4	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	01-12 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 19:00 UTC	6	$14	125	10	+115	Down	+$0	01-07 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 18:30 UTC	5	$14	20	10	+10	Down	+$5	01-07 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:00 UTC	4	$14	30	0	+30	Up	+$1	02-03 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 14:45 UTC	2	$13	50	0	+50	Up	+$7	01-08 14:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 22:45 UTC	6	$12	42	5	+37	Up	-$2	01-07 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 18:45 UTC	6	$11	35	5	+30	Down	-$1	01-07 18:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 22:30 UTC	6	$11	23	13	+10	Down	+$3	01-07 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:25 UTC	2	$11	20	0	+20	Down	-$11	06-17 12:24
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-25 16:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 16:45 UTC	2	$10	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	01-10 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 22:17:15	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfc0f52…
11-04 11:01:40	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xd896ef…
11-03 14:32:04	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x536741…
11-03 13:41:27	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xcb4c04…
11-03 11:43:48	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	48	56¢	$27	0x22ef9a…
11-03 11:19:45	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x88ecd4…
11-03 11:12:21	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xec839f…
10-26 10:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x0de86f…
10-26 10:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xddb248…
10-26 08:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd95f65…
10-26 08:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x289116…
10-26 08:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2f94d6…
10-26 08:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x1fd2ec…
10-25 16:55:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x350383…
10-25 16:55:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xd30ccf…
10-25 16:34:57	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x691014…
10-25 11:24:44	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x84ca7d…
10-25 11:06:24	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1ebfc3…
10-25 11:03:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0x0daef5…
07-03 00:27:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xadce20…
07-02 22:56:26	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0xcd6a3a…
06-17 13:12:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x7dd11d…
06-17 13:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf9a782…
06-17 13:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xe3f99b…
06-17 13:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x9bea68…
06-17 13:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xc9d081…
06-17 13:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x73798c…
06-17 12:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd5ed9e…
06-17 12:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfcdcc2…
06-17 12:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x187bac…
06-17 12:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe6d038…
06-17 12:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb68317…
06-17 12:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x65a4e4…
06-17 12:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x589a27…
06-17 12:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb57e93…
06-17 12:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xabfc5c…
06-17 12:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd3a1fc…
06-17 12:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x7fdc61…
06-17 12:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x49ef5c…
06-17 12:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc94141…
06-17 12:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbfdbfd…
06-17 12:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x479a6c…
06-17 12:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xea9832…
06-17 12:14:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xf77029…
06-17 12:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x3ebf82…
06-17 12:03:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x048131…
06-17 12:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x7014e8…
06-17 11:57:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4cb007…
06-17 11:52:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x26d64a…
06-17 11:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x40c2ff…
06-17 11:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x0ecad9…
06-17 11:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xaf859b…
06-17 11:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8d1844…
06-17 11:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbf1d6c…
06-17 11:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x020d6d…
06-17 11:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xead0ec…
06-17 11:43:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf1e7e5…
06-17 11:34:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe4ccdf…
06-17 11:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x75a408…
06-17 11:05:26	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x893030…
06-16 22:43:34	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0x31374d…
06-16 21:31:44	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xa37271…
05-11 14:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd55dce…
05-11 14:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x50345f…
05-11 14:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb6d240…
05-11 14:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd46cf3…
05-11 14:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe2cc8d…
05-11 14:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x234ac8…
05-11 14:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x669475…
05-11 14:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb6ac99…
05-11 14:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x509b1c…
05-11 14:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x65dc1c…
05-11 14:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xf2d8d5…
05-11 14:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xac148f…
05-11 14:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3cdf34…
05-11 14:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd8ecfc…
05-11 14:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8b4d17…
05-11 14:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe9fdae…
05-11 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5a3bab…
05-11 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8f88a5…
05-11 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x62ad43…
05-11 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x30168f…
05-11 14:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x97c455…
02-09 20:12:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xe8e5fa…
02-09 20:12:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x83db6c…
02-09 20:12:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x9c570c…
02-03 19:03:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaa1c04…
02-03 14:57:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0edd7c…
02-03 14:56:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf641fc…
02-03 14:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3466cd…
02-03 14:52:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xee2698…
02-03 14:52:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdaefcb…
02-03 14:52:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x89d5b6…
02-03 14:50:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6350bc…
02-03 14:49:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x288638…
02-03 14:49:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x608a07…
02-03 14:08:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6ca1cb…
02-03 14:08:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7dca23…
02-03 14:06:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x72d275…
02-03 14:06:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xdd11a2…