Prudent-Exaggeration-Accent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$295

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$47

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 88% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	+12	$11	99¢	$12	+$1	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	+12	$11	99¢	$12	+$0	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	+12	$11	99¢	$12	+$1	05-05 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	+12	$12	94¢	$11	$-0	05-05 19:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$32	43	+43	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$23	24	+24	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$23	24	+24	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$22	30	+30	Down	$-12	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$18	20	+20	Up	+$2	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$16	20	+20	Up	+$4	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-05 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-05 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-05 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	05-05 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Up	+$2	05-05 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x392e55…
05-05 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x454a49…
05-05 19:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x4d276e…
05-05 19:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x428585…
05-05 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x3ccf6a…
05-05 18:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xef29aa…
05-05 18:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x59d3ed…
05-05 18:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x5573d4…
05-05 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc24d5d…
05-05 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xf14517…
05-05 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x42820d…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x3d9756…
05-05 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x077d22…
05-05 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x72e426…
05-05 15:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0xaec62f…
05-05 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x52f0ed…
05-05 03:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x72fa92…
05-05 03:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xd351b9…
05-05 03:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4b23ca…
05-05 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6b1159…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf9fd2d…
05-04 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xcbcb30…
05-04 23:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x661e7a…
05-04 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa434c2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$4.23K	122	05-05 19:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$8.18K	104	05-05 19:54
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	18	$1.27K	83	05-05 19:51
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	18	$1.03K	194	05-05 19:54
Angry-Suede 0x8692…fbac	18	$516	104	05-05 19:54
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	17	$1.80K	43	05-05 19:54
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	17	$1.79K	38	05-05 19:37
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	17	$1.17K	104	05-05 19:54