Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

411

Trades

620

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 04-27 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 57% -$35

Politics

32% 33% -$46

Other

19% 20% -$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$598	422	422	+0	No	-$32	04-01 04:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	5	$421	326	326	+0	No	-$5	04-27 19:50
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$342	253	253	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 08:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$330	211	211	+0	Yes	+$90	04-05 05:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$277	195	195	+0	No	-$23	03-23 09:21
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	4	$211	121	121	+0	No	+$31	03-09 21:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$134	84	84	+0	Yes	+$34	03-08 23:29
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	5	$120	101	54	+47	No	+$7	03-06 19:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$78	912	912	+0	Yes	-$76	02-28 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:55 UTC	3	$76	47	47	+1	Down	+$17	03-12 22:01
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$58	141	141	+0	No	-$22	03-28 20:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$50	60	60	+0	Yes	-$50	04-07 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:50 UTC	4	$47	30	24	+6	Down	$0	03-05 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:10 UTC	3	$43	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	03-03 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:10 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:45 UTC	3	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:40 UTC	3	$41	27	26	+0	Down	+$11	03-20 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:20 UTC	3	$39	24	24	+0	Down	+$9	03-20 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:40 UTC	3	$36	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	03-20 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:50 UTC	4	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	03-04 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 05:50 UTC	2	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	03-25 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:15 UTC	3	$26	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	03-19 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:35 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	03-04 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 05:30 UTC	2	$23	19	19	+0	Down	+$14	03-20 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:25 UTC	2	$22	13	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-10 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:25 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-02 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 01:40 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-02 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 23:55 UTC	2	$21	16	16	+0	Down	+$11	03-01 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 22:40 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC	2	$20	11	10	+0	Down	+$0	04-08 00:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 19:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0c8a27…
04-27 19:50:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x562952…
04-14 08:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8d6db7…
04-14 08:21:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x655fb8…
04-14 07:56:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xac5a1f…
04-14 07:50:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x02af9b…
04-14 07:50:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	250	83¢	$208	0x75baf7…
04-09 19:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf22501…
04-09 19:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x958c63…
04-09 19:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe57a10…
04-09 09:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x61f061…
04-08 21:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x616930…
04-08 21:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x221f77…
04-08 10:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69a00b…
04-08 10:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x748471…
04-08 09:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x510601…
04-08 09:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e584f…
04-08 09:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x054946…
04-08 09:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0dc59a…
04-08 09:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x86de57…
04-08 08:57:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9f6cbb…
04-08 08:54:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b0495…
04-08 08:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x81e005…
04-08 08:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfb1d38…
04-08 08:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa37db9…
04-08 08:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf70adf…
04-08 08:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x339fdb…
04-08 08:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8f4532…
04-08 08:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x39ff1a…
04-08 08:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x48b1aa…
04-08 08:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc79e36…
04-08 08:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x82bf77…
04-08 08:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x60ade1…
04-08 07:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7cb5dd…
04-08 07:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x40fa9b…
04-08 07:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa206e5…
04-08 07:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcddcb4…
04-08 07:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd86ce1…
04-08 05:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x20321e…
04-08 05:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0xa61c37…
04-08 05:51:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5d2d56…
04-08 05:46:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x29181d…
04-08 05:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf5bb78…
04-08 05:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe17545…
04-08 05:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xcf6625…
04-08 05:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x10f664…
04-08 05:35:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb2297…
04-08 05:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x333dd0…
04-08 05:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8247ae…
04-08 05:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd69704…
04-08 05:26:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x90a156…
04-08 05:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x81c428…
04-08 05:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe7f44…
04-08 05:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x27322a…
04-08 05:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6723da…
04-08 05:07:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9f5479…
04-08 05:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x766d3e…
04-08 05:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf534c8…
04-08 04:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x924387…
04-08 04:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbe6874…
04-08 04:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe1666c…
04-08 04:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f0196…
04-08 02:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4b4aad…
04-08 01:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe2044b…
04-08 01:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd2cf7c…
04-08 01:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x404652…
04-08 01:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7e6f0a…
04-08 01:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1d23f7…
04-08 00:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5997cf…
04-08 00:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x70c4a5…
04-08 00:06:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x4227a6…
04-08 00:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x91a37e…
04-08 00:04:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3fa1ef…
04-07 23:47:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x2f5391…
04-07 20:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xf962f3…
04-07 20:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd54dfc…
04-07 20:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x685be4…
04-07 20:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0xdb4dab…
04-07 20:38:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc49713…
04-07 20:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x113cfb…
04-07 20:30:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfcf461…
04-07 20:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe6ef8b…
04-07 20:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x572d84…
04-07 10:42:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x34d980…
04-07 10:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xede2f8…
04-07 10:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x057fc0…
04-07 10:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe7893f…
04-07 10:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x88dc32…
04-07 10:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdc4c36…
04-07 10:30:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x015ba7…
04-05 09:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe1d0e1…
04-05 09:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x464bb5…
04-05 09:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x21d021…
04-05 06:58:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x9f1b78…
04-05 05:55:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0xf5210b…
04-01 19:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa3ab2c…
04-01 19:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc4de2…
04-01 19:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x72669e…
04-01 19:31:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	211	57¢	$120	0xbb1bff…
04-01 04:58:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	122	100¢	$121	0x4767d1…