Instructive-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

170

Trades

463

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-03 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% -$72

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:00 UTC	14	$74	68	65	+2	Down	-$1	04-06 12:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 08:15 UTC	14	$52	42	41	+1	Down	-$6	04-06 08:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 00:15 UTC	12	$45	34	33	+1	Up	-$3	04-06 00:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 08:00 UTC	9	$36	28	28	+1	Up	-$2	04-06 08:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 11:30 UTC	9	$35	30	29	+1	Up	-$4	04-06 11:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 17:00 UTC	8	$26	25	24	+1	Down	-$1	04-11 17:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 07:30 UTC	8	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	04-06 07:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC	7	$19	14	13	+0	Down	+$1	04-06 14:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 13:45 UTC	7	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	04-06 13:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 11:45 UTC	7	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	04-06 11:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 01:30 UTC	4	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	04-06 01:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 14:15 UTC	4	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	04-06 14:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 10:45 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	04-07 10:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:15 UTC	6	$12	13	12	+0	Down	-$1	04-06 12:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 11:00 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	04-07 11:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 07:45 UTC	2	$11	7	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 07:52
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	7	$10	13	11	+2	Down	+$0	06-03 10:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 05:30 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-19 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 12:45 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-20 13:01
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	10	$10	11	11	+0	Up	$0	06-03 10:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-19 19:05
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	9	$9	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	06-03 10:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 18:15 UTC	3	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	04-19 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 14:15 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-20 14:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 20:15 UTC	3	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	04-19 20:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 05:15 UTC	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	04-06 05:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 04:00 UTC	3	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	04-06 04:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 04:45 UTC	4	$8	6	6	+0	Down	$0	04-06 04:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 00:30 UTC	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	04-06 00:41
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$8	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	06-03 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 11:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x74c136…
06-03 11:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x68928c…
06-03 11:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x29bf52…
06-03 11:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc2ddf0…
06-03 10:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x436c27…
06-03 10:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xea76f3…
06-03 10:55:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x7db37b…
06-03 10:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c6bbd…
06-03 10:53:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xc8ff83…
06-03 10:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5822ee…
06-03 10:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xd38838…
06-03 10:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3b3341…
06-03 10:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xfc58be…
06-03 10:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb689da…
06-03 10:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x844a63…
06-03 10:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x1f31ad…
06-03 10:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf9073b…
06-03 10:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd10638…
06-03 10:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xeea843…
06-03 10:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7a56c3…
06-03 10:41:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb2df91…
06-03 10:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0xcac8da…
06-03 10:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe141d7…
06-03 10:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x814795…
06-03 10:34:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd333ba…
06-03 10:34:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x810c65…
06-03 10:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x17f7b0…
06-03 10:33:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x85b926…
06-03 10:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd43018…
06-03 10:31:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c8a06…
06-03 10:30:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe291d2…
06-03 10:29:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf5195f…
06-03 10:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8c6a9a…
06-03 10:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c007e…
06-03 10:22:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xce1665…
06-03 10:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x4bb4a7…
06-03 10:21:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbdca7b…
06-03 10:20:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x0008b4…
06-03 10:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xec7795…
06-03 10:19:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x54c8e1…
06-03 10:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8304bc…
06-03 10:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xca8d67…
06-03 10:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x894d6a…
06-03 10:17:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xb7a9b7…
06-03 10:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xce3fdd…
06-03 10:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x590004…
06-03 10:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3cbb67…
06-03 10:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x496fed…
06-03 10:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x6d9c05…
06-03 10:10:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc184f9…
06-03 10:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xcf6de0…
06-03 10:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x659997…
06-03 10:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca9fca…
06-03 10:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x17ad55…
06-03 10:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4cd4c8…
06-03 10:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x651fc9…
06-03 10:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xed43e2…
06-03 09:58:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x72495b…
06-03 09:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd3bd25…
06-03 09:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xccdfec…
06-03 09:57:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2632e1…
06-02 11:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xf4f015…
06-02 11:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdde7a5…
06-02 11:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x1dc3ad…
06-02 11:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd03b6c…
06-02 11:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x8422a0…
06-02 11:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x97cb36…
06-02 11:26:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb9c1b9…
06-02 11:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x3fdc3e…
06-02 11:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0e0a4a…
06-02 11:22:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xf3af18…
06-02 11:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3d6cac…
06-02 11:21:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x889c01…
06-02 11:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x884a70…
06-02 11:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x340525…
06-02 11:19:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7232d4…
06-02 11:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf5e245…
06-02 11:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe47daf…
06-02 11:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x48e140…
06-02 11:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe8326d…
06-02 11:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x89e68d…
06-02 11:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb92939…
06-02 11:02:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x10180a…
06-02 11:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x892481…
06-02 11:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x28d3ad…
06-02 11:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x70ffd7…
06-02 10:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x225755…
06-02 10:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0b6d49…
06-02 10:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xca7f9e…
06-02 10:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc40680…
06-02 10:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x418e77…
06-02 10:41:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x026dd3…
06-02 10:41:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x3fe50a…
06-02 10:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52e703…
06-02 10:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa81381…
06-02 10:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x968073…
06-02 10:20:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xedab32…
06-02 10:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x5522f2…
06-02 10:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8032ad…
06-02 10:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x82b690…