Elaborate-Dune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

185

Trades

2,650

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-21 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% $-35

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 829 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	8	$1.1K	623	618	+6	open	—	04-24 20:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	8	$541	443	430	+13	open	—	04-27 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$315	567	413	+154	open	—	04-27 16:49
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 17	1	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	04-17 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$223	141	130	+11	open	—	04-28 13:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$200	470	0	+470	open	—	05-18 12:20
Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	04-27 22:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$177	110	110	+0	open	—	04-30 19:12
will bitcoin reach 76k on april 16	3	$167	154	75	+79	open	—	04-16 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	8	$164	160	31	+128	open	—	04-29 01:39
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 16	5	$156	220	0	+220	open	—	04-16 16:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	4	$153	100	99	+1	open	—	04-25 13:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	3	$143	300	0	+300	open	—	04-28 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	8	$142	150	18	+132	open	—	04-29 00:43
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	2	$134	170	0	+170	open	—	04-15 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	7	$128	122	19	+104	open	—	04-28 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$120	157	0	+157	open	—	04-28 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$114	119	4	+115	open	—	04-28 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$110	124	0	+124	open	—	04-28 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	5	$105	120	3	+117	open	—	04-29 01:50
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$100	167	0	+167	open	—	05-14 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-27 17:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	1	$100	121	0	+121	open	—	05-13 17:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	05-19 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	04-30 03:49
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	04-30 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$99	75	50	+25	open	—	05-03 22:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 19	3	$99	200	0	+200	open	—	04-18 13:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	3	$98	75	50	+25	open	—	05-03 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 12:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc323d6…
05-19 13:54:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbecfc7…
05-18 12:20:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xe91ebf…
05-15 18:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x43ea9f…
05-15 17:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1d31d8…
05-15 17:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x10cccb…
05-15 17:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd5ae0f…
05-15 14:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf5bfd2…
05-14 13:51:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc3e2ad…
05-14 12:55:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa7810b…
05-13 17:37:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x766d8e…
05-13 17:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1917c0…
05-13 17:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x33a0f1…
05-13 17:33:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6980b2…
05-13 17:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x411b44…
05-13 16:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc9b26d…
05-13 14:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xd6f1f4…
05-13 14:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x427140…
05-13 14:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x70d04e…
05-13 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x70bf97…
05-13 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x0c684c…
05-13 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x085d7f…
05-13 14:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x3a8fdc…
05-13 13:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x77f5fd…
05-13 13:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4d5c33…
05-13 13:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0xf9e160…
05-13 13:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xccd1b3…
05-13 13:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xf2e41f…
05-13 13:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf0b5ff…
05-13 13:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x864afe…
05-13 13:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe2b7f5…
05-13 13:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xda0e3d…
05-13 13:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x391776…
05-10 01:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3bead1…
05-10 01:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xe5e1c8…
05-10 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0x2eef6b…
05-10 01:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x03feb6…
05-10 01:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xaa1ddb…
05-10 01:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5d8fad…
05-10 00:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd35feb…
05-09 23:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9b5405…
05-09 23:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3a74df…
05-09 23:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd38af9…
05-09 23:27:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb25687…
05-09 23:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x4bc6af…
05-09 23:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc49206…
05-09 23:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc2f1d6…
05-09 23:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xce400a…
05-09 23:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x55bb34…
05-09 23:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2880cd…
05-09 23:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xecf5c1…
05-09 23:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9ba5fb…
05-09 23:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x770050…
05-09 23:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x745a6b…
05-09 23:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9de506…
05-09 23:07:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x755c5f…
05-09 23:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe6ce67…
05-09 23:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x7727ad…
05-09 23:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcd2cde…
05-09 23:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x3b261a…
05-09 23:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8e8391…
05-09 23:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0c5ad3…
05-09 23:06:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x4d2520…
05-09 23:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a0b7d…
05-09 23:03:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf99623…
05-09 23:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x95dbaa…
05-09 23:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x7b0283…
05-09 23:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4076ab…
05-09 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x43b3a2…
05-09 23:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf02043…
05-09 23:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x602112…
05-09 22:44:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x460370…
05-09 22:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbb6846…
05-09 22:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x45c657…
05-09 22:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xbc276a…
05-09 22:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbf2dec…
05-09 22:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x80c1d3…
05-09 22:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xed4be4…
05-09 22:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7f979d…
05-09 22:10:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xc1cb88…
05-09 22:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8c4fba…
05-09 22:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x368505…
05-09 22:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x093e1e…
05-09 21:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x73aee5…
05-09 21:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3ef00e…
05-09 21:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xc5bee1…
05-09 21:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x276443…
05-09 21:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x0e33c0…
05-09 21:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x61a433…
05-09 21:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xffe4a8…
05-09 21:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x093075…
05-09 21:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x91f74d…
05-09 21:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xe170f9…
05-09 21:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xda30c5…
05-09 21:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xf677a2…
05-09 21:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1013a5…
05-09 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x43466a…
05-09 20:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x072941…
05-09 20:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe8eae1…
05-09 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb62f2e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	967	$215.6K	70,243	05-15 18:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	967	$190.2K	60,754	05-15 18:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	957	$160.7K	31,375	05-15 18:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	932	$464.1K	34,865	05-15 18:54
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	928	$174.7K	34,586	05-15 18:54
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	927	$69.3K	9,273	05-15 18:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	919	$471.0K	20,505	06-01 05:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	882	$1.36M	44,517	05-15 18:54