That-Marble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

505

Trades

1,485

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-17 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 50% $-59

Other

23% — —

Sports

2% 60% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	11	$19	48	41	+7	Down	$-1	05-08 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	12	$17	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$16	38	38	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	9	$15	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	14	$15	64	64	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	7	$13	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:35
val f9 jl 2026 04 05	13	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	9	$13	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	9	$13	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	8	$13	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	8	$13	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$11	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	13	$11	44	34	+10	Up	$-1	05-08 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$11	20	13	+7	Up	+$5	05-07 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	7	$10	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$10	38	8	+30	Up	$-6	05-07 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	7	$10	31	7	+25	Up	$-6	05-09 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$9	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$8	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$8	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	6	$8	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	8	$8	29	29	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$8	21	7	+15	Down	$-4	05-08 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	8	$8	25	10	+15	Up	$-4	05-07 23:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Up	$-8	05-13 08:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$8	17	0	+17	Up	$-8	05-13 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$8	17	0	+17	Up	$-8	05-12 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$8	19	0	+19	Up	+$11	05-13 03:30
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5	4	$8	15	0	+15	Yes	+$7	05-08 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	10	$7	24	17	+7	Up	$-1	05-08 03:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 04:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2f6d40…
05-17 04:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5da643…
05-17 04:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7bd798…
05-17 02:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x013053…
05-17 01:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ad448…
05-13 15:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9e5ae1…
05-13 12:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x843a5e…
05-13 12:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x02d57a…
05-13 10:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x21ed84…
05-13 10:15:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1a9107…
05-13 10:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x840a54…
05-13 09:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd9f1fd…
05-13 09:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x10c926…
05-13 09:15:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x7946b4…
05-13 09:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd9cb7a…
05-13 08:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfce161…
05-13 08:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf9a0ed…
05-13 08:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x089830…
05-13 08:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x72bcb2…
05-13 07:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6a7e75…
05-13 07:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x258d28…
05-13 07:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa7acf4…
05-13 07:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x18d321…
05-13 06:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x613c85…
05-13 06:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d13d6…
05-13 06:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1f234b…
05-13 06:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3de346…
05-13 05:46:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xfd4af7…
05-13 05:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x09e7bf…
05-13 05:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7232bc…
05-13 05:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x757b8c…
05-13 04:48:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfa5021…
05-13 04:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe23868…
05-13 04:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x915df9…
05-13 04:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x69c570…
05-13 03:46:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc7ef25…
05-13 03:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3caafb…
05-13 03:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c7fd6…
05-13 03:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4bc364…
05-13 03:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x43659a…
05-13 03:25:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe2cf45…
05-13 03:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa88bbb…
05-13 03:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcbf2c3…
05-13 03:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2f2730…
05-13 03:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2446e9…
05-13 03:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x714c28…
05-13 03:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbca7c1…
05-13 02:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6eb291…
05-13 02:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe257fc…
05-13 02:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0bc30b…
05-13 02:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8b33a3…
05-13 02:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc1a8fd…
05-13 02:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x294eaa…
05-13 02:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf3d12c…
05-13 01:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd8c01a…
05-13 01:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe0a496…
05-13 01:20:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xcb79e6…
05-13 01:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9e4222…
05-13 00:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbbb8e9…
05-13 00:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xbb0422…
05-13 00:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25cab8…
05-13 00:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x011a77…
05-13 00:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x22276b…
05-12 23:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9aad27…
05-12 23:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcefd7b…
05-12 23:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd49d1a…
05-12 23:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa9c134…
05-12 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8e27f6…
05-12 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd21736…
05-12 22:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xeb58e7…
05-12 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x14f627…
05-12 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x81d92d…
05-12 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9334b2…
05-12 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x74ee26…
05-12 21:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x59d481…
05-12 21:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3f715c…
05-12 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x58395c…
05-12 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc5e053…
05-12 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x025a61…
05-12 19:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f3452…
05-12 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4e52b2…
05-12 19:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf06ccc…
05-12 18:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x00be28…
05-12 18:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe2307e…
05-12 18:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x631ec3…
05-12 18:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xf04d40…
05-12 17:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3e554c…
05-12 17:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe42dc5…
05-12 17:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbf6386…
05-12 17:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa82ba8…
05-12 17:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x24e9d8…
05-12 17:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7a57bf…
05-12 17:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x826ac9…
05-12 16:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x816ff0…
05-12 16:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4d7558…
05-12 16:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x043f69…
05-12 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8d660d…
05-12 15:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7e827e…
05-12 08:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x952e2b…
05-12 08:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9411ad…